Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - November 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   11/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST GUN IT Oct21 Sep30 Jul15 Jun10 May21 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 ★    
2  TALLESTOFTHETALL Oct09 Sep30 Aug27 Aug14 Aug04 (campbell joel)EMIGH A 121 1.80 19% 4.20    
3  PRINCE OF MAYHEM Oct09 Sep17 Sep06 Aug20 Aug06 (castro isidro)RIVERA BRYAN 114 12.00 ★    
4  CARTE BLANCHE Oct29 Oct09 Sep17 Sep06 Aug27 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  YAK Oct21 Oct09 Sep08 Aug27 Aug14 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
6  UNBROKEN SONG Oct02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (litfin nevada)COLON H 121 8.00    
 
HAW-2   11/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMATIC KITTEN Oct15 Sep23 Aug02 Jun24 Jun10 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
2  PERFECT WAGER Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep01 Aug21 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 5.00    
3  STAGE DOOR Oct22 Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 Aug22 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
SCR  CAMMACK Sep23 Jun24 Jun10     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  RUDIGER Oct11 Aug19       (sanner danie)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 12.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  DIAMOND DAVE Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Jun10 May01 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00    
SCR  MARV'S MAGIC Oct04 Sep23 Sep15 Aug17 Apr22 (granitz anthon)LEZCANO ABEL 121 8.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Oct22 Oct02 Aug13 Jun26 Jun04 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  HANNITY Sep23 Aug19 Jun24 Jun04   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 4.50    
10  JOLTING JOE Oct22 Aug02 Jun24 Jun10 May21 (cook brian)MOJICA JR 121 20.00    
11  HONEST TO GOODNESS Oct28 Sep23 Jun24 Jun11 Jun04 (ramirez carl)TAVARES JAVIER 121 30.00    
12  VITALE Oct07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun26 (block chris)MOJICA O 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
13  PISTOL BOX Oct14 Sep30 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 (kirby j)MOJICA O 121 12.00    
SCR  CHRISTIAN C Oct14 Sep30 May13 Apr17 Mar02 (bahena fe)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 15.00 15% 5.80    
 
HAW-3   11/06/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME HEIST Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 Jul28 Jul02 (perez manny)FELIX E 121 4.00 8% 12.10    
2  BRAVO BRAVO Oct28 Oct08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 ★    
3  JACK VAN BERG Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jul08 (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
4  D' YANK Oct15 Sep25 Jul16 Jun17 May24 (martinez a)LOPEZ E 121 10.00 ★    
5  MOVE ON OVER Oct08 Sep24 Jul15 Jun24 May27 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 6.00    
6  NAUGHTY ALFRED Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 Aug16 Jul29 (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  ROAD BIBLE Oct02 Sep18 Aug13 Jul29 Apr16 (arnett jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00    
 
HAW-4   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURTS SO BAD Oct22 Oct02 Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 (meraz antonio)RIVERA BRYAN 115 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  JIM AND JIM Sep25 Aug09 Jul07 Jun18 Jun03 (haran john)BAIRD T 122 2.50 ★    
3  LELAND JOHN Jun28 Jun17       (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
4  INSIDE THE CIRCLE Oct09 Sep24 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (lynch harr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
5  ANUNKA Oct09 Aug30 Aug05 Jul08 May24 (breaux danita)ORM CORY 122 20.00 ★    
6  SMOOTH ATTACK Sep24 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug05 (childers vance)MOJICA JR 122 15.00    
7  UNCLE DICK Jul19 Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 Jun09 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 8.00    
8  ROCKET MAN ATTACK Oct09 Sep10 Aug30 Jul29 Jul15 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUST DANCER (GB) Jun18 May27 May14 Apr23 Apr03 (bentler don)FELIX E 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  GREAT PLAINES May07 Apr23 Apr02     (lynch har)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 20.00    
3  DEMAND RANSOM Aug30 Aug09 Apr03     (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00    
4  MISTER CHARMING Sep24 Jun18 Jun10 May27 May14 (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 114 4.50 ★    
5  SWISHAWISH Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 Aug16 Jan16 (coontz art)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  DASTARDLY DEEDS Oct14 Oct02 Aug25 Aug13 Jul28 (candelas blanc)LEZCANO ABEL 121 15.00    
7  GHAALEB'S HONOR Oct15 Sep30 Aug30     (becker scott)EMIGH A 116 3.50 22% 3.50    
8  TUFF ATTACK Oct22 Oct07 Jun03 May27 May01 (arnett jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 5.00 49% 1.00    
9  HELA Sep24 Aug30 Aug16     (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
 
HAW-6   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC CASTLE Oct15 Sep10 Aug20 Jul27 Jul14 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00    
2  LAUDA SPEED Oct15 Jul16 Jun18 May31 May13 (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (becker scot)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  TIGHTROPE Apr09         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 121 4.00 8% 12.00    
5  BRING ME A CHECK Oct16 Sep14 Aug17 Jun12 May26 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 18% 4.40    
6  LATIN CASINO Oct15 Sep25 Jul09 Jun14 May21 (rosin cot)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00 7% 12.60    
7  IMPRESSED Sep25 Aug28 Jun22 Jun05 May12 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00    
8  TURBINADO Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 (lynch e)MOJICA O 119 15.00    
 
HAW-7   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Oct15 Jun11 May27 May07 Apr02 (knott nancy)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 8.00    
2  HIDE THE DEMON Oct08 Aug08 Jul11 May27 Apr08 (campbell michael)FELIX E 121 10.00    
3  OMAHA RED Oct15 Sep29 Sep10 Aug17 Jul21 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  MKAR THE FAST Oct09 Sep06 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 (lynch har)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 30.00    
5  CHICKS DIG SCARS Oct15 Sep26 Sep09 Aug07 Jul24 (arnett g)EMIGH A 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  W W CANDY Oct16 Sep24 Aug20 Aug05 Jun11 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
7  GOLDEN HORNET Oct01 Aug13 Jul19     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  MOTO MOTO Sep26 Sep09 Aug07 Jun25 May29 (arnett g)LOPEZ E 121 5.00    
9  TETSU Oct16 Oct02 Sep15 Aug20 Jul29 (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 10.00    
10  SILVER SEEKER         (lacroix g)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 20% 4.10    
 
HAW-8   11/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOSIER GOLD CASE Oct16 Sep24 Aug13 Jul22 May28 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  AIKEN TO BE TAKIN Oct21 Sep24 Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
3  PRESENT OF HERO Oct16 Sep17 Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 (quinonez max)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00 12% 7.10    
4  LINDALOUIMAGE Oct23 Sep30 Aug20 Jul22 Jun21 (quinonez max)FELIX E 121 4.00    
5  ASKEW Sep16 Aug28 Jul07 Jun09 Feb13 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 5.00 27% 2.60    
6  SHE TAKES FLIGHT Oct02 Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 Jul16 (butler ger)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
SCR  FOXGLOVE Oct22 Aug28 Jul31 Jun30 Jun09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 1.80 29% 2.40    
8  BEING CREATIVE Oct21 Sep23 Sep10 Aug22 Jul30 (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 118 10.00 ★    
9  BEZEL SET Oct21 Sep17 Sep06 Aug20 Aug06 (castro is)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.