Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Tuesday - October 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALMO Oct11         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 1.80 60% 0.70    
CAPITAL JOKE Oct01 Sep22 Sep02 Jul24 Jul03 (green greg)TOHILL S 120 1.60 9% 10.30    
WEST TEXAS COWBOY Oct11         (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
PLAIN TAP WATER Sep23 Aug20       (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 5.00    
PINEY BLUFF Oct11         (van ro)CEBALLOS F 120 12.00    
SUPER BESLIU Sep23 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20   (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 120 10.00    
BLUE JEAN BOURBON         (lambert case)FUENTES A 120 6.00    
 
ZIA-2   10/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPTAIN COMEBACK Sep05 Jun20 May18 Apr25 Apr05 (williams stev)JUAREZ J 123 20.00    
FLAT FAST Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 Aug03   (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 1.50    
GOSPEL BUZZ Jul05 Jun21 May10 Apr27 Apr13 (williams f)TOHILL S 123 15.00    
SCR  YANO'S WAY Oct09 Sep16 May21 Mar08 Mar01 (baldwin lynett)CEBALLOS F 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEXY DEXY Sep28 Sep03 Aug14 May14 Apr29 (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 1.80 68% 0.50    
RUN FOR MATTY Oct04 Sep26 Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00    
PAPA JUSTICE Sep28 Sep18 Sep02 Aug07 Mar24 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
SAMURAI JACK Sep28 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug13 (rojero luis)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
 
ZIA-3   10/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY'S SONG Sep30 Sep17 Aug12 Jan01   (morales danny)PEREZ A 123 10.00 8% 11.00    
RANSIER Sep23 Aug31 Aug05 Mar13   (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
TRIPP A MATIC Sep18         (crow kevin )SCRIVER L 123 8.00    
MT. TAYLOR Sep28 May28 May13 Mar19 Mar01 (armstrong sher)CEBALLOS F 123 4.50 8% 11.00    
BLUEGRASS FAITH Oct10 May08 Mar01 Jan18   (marr h)TOHILL S 123 5.00    
JUVAL Sep16 Aug17 Aug12 Jul24 May30 (vurgun zafe)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
BARBIERE Oct10 Jun17 May13 Apr30 Mar18 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 1.80 18% 4.40    
 
ZIA-4   10/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($44.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PULPITS FOX Sep15 Sep03 May15 Apr29 Jan25 (esparza)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
DEL MAR SUMMER Sep03 Jul04 Mar19 Feb13   (marr h)TORRES J 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
HOLD ME ONLY Aug28         (cross gary)TOHILL S 123 12.00    
SUNSCREEN Jul04 Apr03 Mar27 Mar08 Feb13 (lambert case)FUENTES A 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  MY INDIAN WARRIOR         (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 8.00 8% 11.40    
DANZ AT COLFAX Oct04 Aug21 Aug06 May22 Apr22 (morale)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00    
WHEREDOESTHECASHGO Aug20 Aug06 Apr30     (gonzalez andres)PEREZ A 123 1.60 32% 2.20    
 
ZIA-5   10/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOSING TIME CUTIE Oct11 Sep21 Sep04 Aug26 Aug03 (silva n)MEDELLIN A 123 8.00    
GOSPEL GINA Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Jul18 (william)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
LEMON ICE Oct17 Sep21 Aug27 Aug10 Jul02 (cross gary)SCRIVER L 123 15.00    
BERNICE WHO Oct11 Aug27 Aug10 Jun19 Mar27 (fincher w)CEBALLOS F 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
LA DIAMANT Oct05 Aug27 May01 Apr02 Mar06 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  LOOKOUT FOR LANDRY Sep21 Sep08 Aug21 Aug07 May21 (marquez m)BARAJAS J 121 10.00    
BLUE LUNA WHO Sep04 Aug27 Aug10 Aug03 Jun11 (silva n)PEREZ A 123 2.50 14% 5.90    
INDIAN EXCELLENCE Oct11 Aug10 Apr24 Mar27 Feb20 (pier)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
ZIA-6   10/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAN'S RESERVE Jul30 Jun17 May28 May14 Apr29 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 11% 8.10    
PHOENIX FIRE Oct01 Sep23 Aug21 Aug14 May22 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 123 4.00    
WISKEY CROWN Oct11 Feb22 Jan09     (danley )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 3.50    
FABOZZI Jul23 Jul01 Jun05 Mar26 Mar15 (ritchie g)TOHILL S 123 12.00    
HUNTER QUICK Sep26 Aug23 Jul30 Jul18 Jul05 (williams ste)FUENTES A 123 10.00    
KRIS WHO Sep16 Aug19 May13 May01 Mar27 (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
ONOMATOPOEIA Oct09 Sep20 Aug29 Jul15 Jun27 (williams stev)JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
VODKA TWIST Oct01 Sep04 Aug17 Aug07 Jun10 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
BAYERN TO BE WILD Sep28 Sep18 Jun26 Jun05 May27 (grah)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
 
ZIA-7   10/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OJO FELIZ Sep25         (barrios bern)SALAZAR TERESA 115 20.00    
EL ZARAPE Sep25 Aug20       (munoz gu)BENN J 120 12.00    
CLUE Oct10 Aug24 Jul30     (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 5.00    
VALENTINO WHO Oct04 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29   (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
HENNESSY LOOKER RF Oct04 Aug14 Jul29 Jul03 Jun19 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
SWAYEM Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 Jun10 Apr02 (lambert cas)SCRIVER L 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
EL RAFA Q Oct04         (quiroz fi)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  LAUGHTEN Oct04 Sep03 Jul29     (riddle jackie )CEBALLOS F 120 4.00    
 
ZIA-8   10/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT MOJO Oct04 Jun20 May17 May02 Apr18 (william)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
HEREDITARY Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 May28 (cappellucci jim)PEREZ A 123 3.50 9% 10.20    
SCR  SHARPSHOOTINGEORGE Oct01 Sep24 Sep03 Aug19 Jul23 (acosta carl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
SAYIN GRACE Oct01 Aug13 Jul30 Jun26 May13 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
STRYDER Oct01 Aug24 Aug07 Jun26 Apr02 (rojero c)TOHILL S 123 4.00    
KENTUCKY PEERLESS Oct01 Sep15 Aug06 Jun17 May13 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 6.00    
IZA DADDY Sep15 Jun26 Mar27 Mar08 Jan25 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
GLENDORA MINECAT Oct16 Oct01 Sep15 Aug31 Aug19 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 12.00    
STOCK DEAL Oct01 Sep15 Jul30 Jul11 May08 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
 
ZIA-9   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY WITH YOU Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug03   (chavez larry)BARAJAS J 123 15.00 15% 5.70    
LEAD MONTEREY Oct09 Aug14 Jul30 Jun17 Feb27 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
BREXTON Oct05 Sep04 Jul31 Jun12 May25 (woolley l)MEDELLIN A 123 5.00    
FIRST COUNT Sep17 Aug31 Aug17 Apr26 Apr03 (cappellucci j)JUAREZ J 121 4.50    
FROGGY Oct18 Sep20 Aug23 Jul18 Jul05 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00    
BUMPER POOL Oct02 Sep20 Aug22 Jul31 Jul12 (chavez j)BENN J 121 30.00    
COMMISSIONER DAVID Sep28 Aug10 Jun05 May01 Apr03 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 2.50    
SO CAL MEMORY Aug03 Apr24 Mar22 Mar01 Jan29 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 10.00 10% 9.00    
CATABILITY Aug03 Apr30 Apr03 Mar19 Feb26 (chadborn kenneth )PEREZ A 123 15.00    
10  SMOOTH BLUES Oct17 Sep30 Sep15 Aug31 Aug10 (rojero c)TOHILL S 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.