Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Great Meadow
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRM-1   10/22/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHERKALI (IRE) Aug29         (kingsley ar)GILLIGAN G 149 8.00 ★    
2  WEBB Oct02 Sep17 Aug07 Jul21 Apr30 (elliott ja)BESWICK HARRISON 150 4.00 ★    
3  SEISMIC WAVE Oct08 Sep05 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154 6.00 59% 0.70    
4  ZARKALLANI (FR) Sep05 Aug15 Jul11     (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154 20.00 16% 5.40    
5  THAI TERRIER Oct08 Aug01       (neilson kathy)FOLEY BARRY 154 3.00 ★    
6  LEFT BLANK Oct08 Sep09 Aug05 Jul18 Jun25 (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 145 10.00    
7  CAPTAIN MIDDLETON (IRE) Aug01 May14       (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 8.00    
8  GOLD (FR) Oct08         (fout dougl)DALTON BERNARD 150 15.00    
9  TAPWOOD Sep07 Aug01 Jun26     (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 150 10.00    
10  LOWCOUNTRY Oct08 Oct02 Jul18 Apr30   (boucher lilith)BOUCHER R 150 15.00    
SCR  MISSION BRIEF Oct08 Jun08       (hodsdon danielle)NO RIDER 150 15.00    
 
GRM-2   10/22/2022 11220ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNING ROD Aug17 Jul04 Jun03 Apr28 Jan20 (george laird)GERAGHTY ROSS 150 8.00 7% 13.80    
2  MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) Jun19 May21 May12 Apr22 Mar18 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 150 4.00 45% 1.20    
3  RIENDO         (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 154 8.00    
4  EAGERLY Oct15 Jun04       (voss eliza)BESWICK HARRISON 154 15.00    
5  SOUTH MOUNTAIN (IRE) Oct08         (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 154 6.00 ★    
6  FLYING SCOTSMAN Oct02 Jan29 Jan08     (morris neil)GALLIGAN GERARD 154 8.00    
7  ARROWHEART Oct08 Jan02       (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 10.00    
8  REWIND (GB)         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 150 15.00 7% 13.70    
9  POTUS Oct08 Jul26 Jun04     (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 150 3.00 19% 4.20    
10  CATCHER'S MITT Oct08 Sep21       (miller zach)GILLIGAN G 145 20.00    
 
GRM-3   10/22/2022 15840ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 5UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUC DE MERAN (FR) Oct08         (murphy cyril)BARGARY JAMIE 160 1.20 41% 1.50    
2  BODES WELL (IRE) Oct08         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 160 1.60 30% 2.40    
3  REAL GOOD MAN (IRE)         (dowling will)WATTERS GRAHAM 160 10.00 ★    
SCR  GAYE BREEZE (IRE) Oct08 Apr30       (morris meriw)MCDERMOTT SEAN 160 6.00 9% 10.00    
5  NATHANIELHAWTHORNE (GB) Oct08         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 160 8.00 ★    
 
GRM-4   10/22/2022 11220ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERRY MAKER (IRE)         (kingsley ar)GILLIGAN G 147 4.00 ★    
2  JIMMY P Oct02 Aug15 Jul26 Mar06   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 152 1.60 59% 0.70    
3  CONNAGH'S QUAY Aug08 Jul18       (valentine richa)FOLEY BARRY 152 6.00    
4  SAIGON Oct02 Sep10 Aug07 Jul13 Jun29 (elliott jan)GALLIGAN GERARD 149 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GREY FALCON (IRE) Oct15         (voss elizabet)GARNER THOMAS 152 10.00    
6  ROBERT'S LUXURY Oct08 Sep05 Aug17 Aug08 Jul27 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 152 8.00 11% 7.90    
7  R S ONE (IRE) Oct08         (beecher mark)LEVENTHAL ALEX 149 6.00 ★    
 
GRM-5   10/22/2022 11220ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOVIET PIMPERNEL (IRE) Oct15         (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 150 3.00 ★    
  (by ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL out of SOVIET BELLE by SOVIET STAR)
2  DOWN ROYAL Aug17 Jul20 May14     (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 147 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by ALPHABET SOUP out of MISS CROWN by HIGH YIELD)
3  CITY DREAMER (IRE)         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 152 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by CASAMENTO (IRE) out of CADESCIA (IRE) by CADEAUX GENEREUX (GB))
4  GOING COUNTRY (IRE) Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 May14   (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 146 1.60 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
 
GRM-6   10/22/2022 18480ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRACKER FACTORY (GB) Oct08         (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 165 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  ANDI'AMU (FR)         (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165 0.60 46% 1.20    
3  FLAMING SWORD (IRE) Oct08         (valentine richa)FOLEY BARRY 165 6.00 ★    
4  MASTER SEVILLE Mar27         (beecher mark)OWINGS BRETT 165 8.00 ★    
5  WITHOUTMOREADO (IRE)         (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 165 10.00 ★    
 
GRM-7   10/22/2022 11220ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST NEWTON (GB) Oct12 Oct02 Sep10     (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 163 8.00 ★    
2  THREE O ONE Oct02 Sep03       (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 137 10.00    
3  MOLLY FANTASY (GER) Oct08         (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140 4.00 ★    
4  SEMPRE MEDICI (FR) Oct02         (beecher mark)LEVENTHAL ALEX 154 15.00    
5  YANKEE DOODLE BOY Oct08         (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 153 6.00 ★    
6  TEASE AND SEIZE (FR) Oct15         (valentine ri)WATTERS GRAHAM 153 8.00    
7  HURTGEN FOREST Oct02 Aug10 Jul18 May14 Apr30 (kingsley ar)GILLIGAN G 146 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  TOP BRASS (GB) Oct08 Sep19 May07 Mar31 Mar24 (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 150 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
GRM-8   10/22/2022 11220ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Sep01 Aug04 (smith lawren)DALTON BERNARD 148 4.00 ★    
2  PLENTY IN THE TANK (IRE)         (young leslie )GARNER THOMAS 148 2.00 57% 0.70    
3  SEIZING THE DREAM Sep07 Aug15 Jul15 Jun18 Feb17 (webb sandra)FOLEY BARRY 152 15.00    
4  PING PONG CHAMP Oct02         (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 144 8.00 ★    
5  REAL FACTOR Sep05 Aug01       (kingsley ar)GILLIGAN G 143 15.00 20% 3.90    
6  ECONOMIC POLICY         (bourke liam)PROCTER FREDDIE 143 20.00    
7  MAGICAL CHARM Oct02 Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 Jun15 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 137 10.00    
8  HAIL TO THE CHIEF Oct08 Apr21 Feb17 Jan14   (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 148 6.00    
9  HARD TIMER Sep02 Aug06 Jul25     (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 152 10.00 ★    
10  ALWAYS COOL Oct08 Apr30       (boucher lilith)BOUCHER R 148 20.00    
SCR  BRAVE DEACON Aug15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26   (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 151 15.00    
SCR  MERKABA Oct08 Jun21 Jun01     (dowling willi)BARGARY JAMIE 144 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.