Handicappers' Racing Form

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Laurel Park
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LRL-1   09/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT ASSUMPTIONS Sep23 Aug29 Jul23 Jun11 Jun01 (neilson c)CENTENO E 122 4.50 9% 10.80    
ELEAZAR Sep09 Aug05       (frock l)BOYCE FOREST 126 4.50 31% 2.20    
PANNA MINE Sep09 Aug19 May13     (clagett ch)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPRITZER Sep06 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 (kee willi)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 20.00    
SCR  KEFI Sep10 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun18 (lopez ro)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00    
SUNDAY MISCHIEF Jun18 Apr23 Mar11 Feb21 Jan22 (salzman john )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
CHROME DIXIE Jul19 Jul01 Jun20     (falcone n)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
CHAUFFEUR Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (salzman e)RUIZ JORGE 126 4.50 16% 5.40    
WINSTON'S GOLD Aug28 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May13 (bracciale vi)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 20.00    
10  REFUND RIGLER Aug29 Jul23 Jul08 Jun15 May21 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00    
11  FLASH IS BACK Aug22 Aug05 Jul15 Jun26   (mcfarlane b)BETANCOURT R 122 20.00    
 
LRL-2   09/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM THE MIKE Sep09         (mancilla a)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00 8% 11.00    
OVER THE BORDER Aug29         (allen ferris)ALVELO C 122 10.00 8% 11.00    
RASCALLY REBEL Aug29 Jul28 Jul01     (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50    
GRO Sep18 Aug29 Aug01     (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 6.00    
READ THE SPEC Sep05         (capuano )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
PREACHER AMOS Sep17 Sep03 Apr22     (lockard donna)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
BUCK WILD Sep09 Sep03 Jul28     (frock char)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 9% 10.70    
 
LRL-3   09/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNDRY         (beecher ma)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
THE LAST SCIP Sep09 Aug23 Jul16 Jul02 Jun25 (stettinius suzann)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
CROSSLAND Sep09 Jul17 Jun25 May28 May01 (eppler e)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.00 13% 6.80    
GRAND MANNER Aug21 Aug05 Jun17 May01 Apr15 (keefe timothy)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00    
SCR  UNION LEAGUE Sep06 Jul30       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00 17% 4.80    
MAILMAN'S A FLYER Aug09 Jul27 Jul15 Jun25 May28 (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 12.00 6% 15.60    
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Aug31 Aug15 Jul12 Jun25 May29 (mcmahon thomas)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
SWEET STREET Aug02 Jun24       (meyers madison )ALVELO C 118 15.00    
RIP IT Sep18 Jul31 Jun05 Apr29   (haughton donnovan)GARCIA LUIS 122 20.00    
 
LRL-4   09/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORMLEY'S GABRIELA Sep07 Jul15 Jun19     (smith hamilton)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 12.00    
LADY SERENITY Sep11 Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 (salzman john )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00    
TAPPIN JOSIE Aug31 Aug10 Jun15 Jun01   (robb joh)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
MISS GEORGIE Sep04 Aug20       (gaudet lace)CARRASCO R 122 4.50    
BOSSERATI Sep02         (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
CONDESCENDING Sep02 Jul27 Apr25     (servis c)CRUZ ANGEL 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
HEARDITALL Aug27 Aug04       (dove kevi)ORTIZ ORLANDO 115 30.00    
DON'T TELL DEREN Jul23         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 6.00    
 
LRL-5   09/30/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U S CONSTITUTION Aug19 Jul21 Jun26 May20   (trombetta mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.50    
FERMAT Aug20 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 May30 (mcmullen marilyn )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
SMILE BRYAN Sep14 Aug09 Jul11 Jun25 Apr30 (mcmahon hugh)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 6.00 69% 0.40    
BELTWAY BOB Sep07 Aug20 Aug13 Jul20 Jun26 (wilson l)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00    
DANCING TIL DUSK Aug19 Aug03 Jun25 Jun05 May05 (white alexand)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 10.00    
THIS ILL DEFEND Mar08 Feb08 Jan19     (ness jam)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00    
ARTEMUS BRIDGE Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 May28   (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50    
BATTALION Aug21 Jun25 May28 Apr24 Feb10 (klesaris robert)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
GO POKE THE BEAR Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 Jun19 Jun04 (juarez cal)RODRIGUEZ A 112 6.00    
10  RESIDENT LIBERAL Sep16 Sep01 Aug05 Jul22 Jun17 (walters j)ACOSTA D 119 15.00    
 
LRL-6   09/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERAWAN Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 Jul15 (corrales j)RODRIGUEZ A 116 12.00    
VINNY Sep09 Aug12 Jul06 Jun12 May08 (aguirre anthony )PEREZ XAVIER 119 5.00    
CLOSER LOOK Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 Mar06 Feb20 (mcmahon hugh )RUSSELL SHELDON 123 12.00    
ONE TWO KID Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul29 (serey jr)WHITACRE GRANT 126 15.00    
BOSS LOGIC Sep15 Jul21 Jul07 Jun12 Apr22 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.60 40% 1.50    
UP AGAINST IT Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 Jun05 May13 (dilodovico dam)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50 10% 8.60    
FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Sep07 Aug22 Jul11 Jun18 Jun04 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
MILLEAN Aug21 Apr03 Feb19     (klesaris robert)KARAMANOS A 126 8.00    
 
LRL-7   09/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE TOAST Aug19 Jul20 Jun11 May06 Apr01 (vera miguel)ACOSTA D 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Aug31 Aug14 Jul17 Feb18 Jan27 (maldonado jonathan)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
MIT MAZEL Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 Jan16   (sanchez-salomo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 1.60 50% 1.00    
CHICA RABIOSA Sep03 Aug14 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 (shankle joanne)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
FLIMSY (GB) Aug19 Jul28 Jul03 May05   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00    
DRY WELL Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jul02 Jun10 (walters henr)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 10.00    
QUIET IMAGINATION Aug14 Jul06 Jun19 May12 Apr09 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
STARTWITHABANG Aug23 Aug14 Jul22 Jul10 Jul03 (sanchez-salomon)ALVELO C 123 15.00    
 
LRL-8   09/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIRTATIOUS LASS Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul07 Jun12 (capuano a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
MIRANDA'S DESMOND Jul30 Jun15       (perkins ben)CARRASCO R 123 6.00 7% 13.00    
QUEEN SHEBA Sep11 Aug10 Jul22 Jul03   (demario charles)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00    
GALS GAL Aug19 Jul22 Jun11     (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
GRAND SKYLARK Sep05 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun17 (cooney susan )RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.50    
HITCH A RIDE Aug19 Jul10 Jun18 May08   (capuano a)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
SPARKLE SPRINKLE Jan29         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00    
WINKED Aug28 Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 May29 (merryman w)ACOSTA D 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   09/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARIBBEAN (AUS) Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jun26 Jun12 (sanchez-salomo)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
ABSENTEE Sep19 Sep12 Aug18 Jul25 Jun19 (ramirez silvino)OCASIO M 126 6.00    
WALK AWAY JOE Sep09 Aug20 Jul28     (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00    
UNCLE JEROME Aug27 Aug06 Jul07 Jun24 Jun03 (gonzalez cl)CARRASCO R 122 15.00    
BUMPERDOO Aug25 Jul25 Jun30 Jun15 Jun05 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
WELLING Sep09 Aug27 Aug05 Jun12   (magee ki)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00 9% 10.60    
KERSHAW Jul14 Jun16 May28 May08 Apr22 (d'angelo jose)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.