Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLAND WINTER Aug23 Aug10 Jul05 Jun20 May04 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 7% 13.50    
2  IMMACULATE HEART Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 Jun08 May17 (atal)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
3  PROUD MAID MARIAN Aug30 Aug03 Jun22 May26 May11 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 15.00    
SCR  JILLY FROM JERSEY Sep01 Aug15 Jul25 Jun11 Jun01 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50    
5  MANHATTAN LADY Aug16 Jul18 Jul06 Jun20 Jun01 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00    
6  DESIGNATE Aug24 Aug08 Jul18 May31 Mar10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00 9% 9.70    
7  PLATINUM SKY Jul26 May23 May02 Mar11   (huffman candace )RIVERA R 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
8  BLACK BUTTE Aug25 Aug03 Jun28 May25 May09 (bird dann)CORREA L 123 10.00    
9  ANNMARIA Aug30 Aug03 Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-2   09/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jun22   (radosevich s)YARANGA Y 118 8.00 ★    
1A  MY TWO JAKES Aug24 Aug02       (estvanko richa)GONZALEZ A 118 8.00    
2  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Aug31         (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.00    
2B  SHESANOTHERSONG Aug31 Jul28 Jul05     (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 113 4.00    
3  LEMON MOUSSE Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05   (gorham m)DIAZ R 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
3C  EXPRESS FASHION Aug31 Aug15 Aug01     (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 3.00 ★    
4  GO GIRL Aug31 Jul28 Jun22     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.50 ★    
5  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Aug31         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-3   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUEGO CALIENTE Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 May24 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 34% 1.90    
2  FU ROO Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 Jun08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 ★    
3  ANGEL'S ENTRY Sep05 Aug29 Aug03 Jun22 Jun02 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
4  LAUTREC Aug17 Jul25 Jul13     (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 ★    
5  SILENCE Aug18 Jul28 Jun25 Jun03 May21 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
SCR  STRIKE A BEAT Jun22 May31 May10 Apr16 Apr01 (pu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
7  OWN THE TOWN Aug10 Jul27 Jul04 May31   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-4   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL O. T. Aug09 Jul26       (schuster r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
SCR  BOLD GINGER Aug09 Jul26 Jun27     (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
2  STARLITESLEW Aug30 Jul26 Jul07 Jun27 Jun11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
3  HEART OF RUBY Jan04         (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00    
4  KENZIE'S SONG         (kauffman l)JIMENEZ S 119 8.00 6% 15.20    
5  KISS THE RED HEAD Jul26 Jun27 Jun11 Jan19   (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  SWEET DREAMS LUCIA         (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00 7% 12.90    
7  ETTA Aug30 Aug09 Jun27 Jun11   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
8  SHANGHAI ROYALTY         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 7% 12.90    
9  QUIET LADY Jul26 Jun27       (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 119 15.00    
10  I'M JAC'D Aug30 Jul26 Jul07 Jun07 May11 (vazquez iva)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
TDN-5   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT A WILD BRAT Aug13 Jul20 Jun08 Jan05   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  JUSTA COWGIRL Aug15 Jul13 Jun14 May18 Jan21 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00    
3  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Aug13 Jul19 Jul06 Jun06 May24 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 8% 11.70    
4  SWEET BETTY JOYCE Aug15 Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 Jun14 (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 ★    
5  COWCHI Aug15 Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 May24 (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 3.50 ★    
6  DANCIN' ROSIE Aug13 Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-6   09/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL MAN Aug30 Aug10 Jun22 Jun02 May12 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  BRAVE HILARIO         (gotera juan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
3  SMUDGE THE CAT Aug30 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 ★    
4  BUILT LIKE TARZAN Aug30 Aug17 Jul25 Jun29 Jun16 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 ★    
SCR  ASTRAY CAT Aug30         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
6  ENOUGH ICE         (pease )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-7   09/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT POWER Aug30 Aug15 Jul20 Jul12 Jul04 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 12.00    
2  MOESTER Aug12 Jun23 Jun11 May21 May06 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 3.50    
3  CATMAN JACK Jun25 May26 May11 Mar14 Feb28 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Aug24 Aug12 Jul12 Jun23 Jun14 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 ★    
5  BABA LOOEY Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 May16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50 55% 0.80    
6  DYNAMIC REACH Aug30 Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
7  POWERFUL PHIL Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 Jun28 Jun11 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 8.00 5% 18.60    
8  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Aug30 Jul25 Jul07 Mar22 Feb22 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   09/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZINFATUATION Aug29 Jul11 Jun28     (alamo miguel )CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 ★    
SCR  WAITES KINGDOM Aug10 Jul27       (romero jos)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00    
3  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (flores isr)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  INSACIABLE PRINCE Aug30 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 ★    
5  JOE BRRRR Aug17 Jul28 Jul19 Jun21 Jun08 (chapman j)CORREA L 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
6  DIAMOND MONEY Aug29 Aug17 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 3.50 8% 11.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.