Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDE RED Aug10         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 10.00 ★    
2  NOSEY POWER Aug22 Aug10 Jul21 Jul11 May31 (spiess m)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
3  BRILLIANTBENNY Sep01 Jul28 Jun29 Jun14 May31 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  JOHNS BIG RED Aug22 Aug10 Jul28 Jul11 Jun29 (radcliff donal)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 4.00 ★    
5  DASH OF FIRE Sep01 Aug10 Jul28 Jul21 Jul11 (faulkner )CORREA L 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  BAD BACK         (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 13% 6.50    
7  PLAYING BALL Sep01 Aug22 Aug10 Jul28   (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSHI Q Aug23 Aug03 May20 May10 Apr26 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00    
2  HITCH CITY Aug25 Aug08 Jul05 Jun13 May12 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 11% 8.00    
3  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Aug04 Jul13 Jun22     (evans micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 5.00 ★    
4  DIAL AGAIN Aug10 Jul08 Jun03 May21 May10 (andrade hu)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
5  INDELIBLE IMAGE Aug10 Jul25 Jul07 Jun20 Jun03 (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
6  STARRY JAYLEN Jul15 Jun20 Jun03     (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  NEXT GENERATION Aug10 Jul20 May10 Feb19 Jan24 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 117 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  SWEET OUTLOOK Aug10 Jul07 Jun20 May25 May10 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 115 15.00    
9  MOBIL CHIC Mar26 Feb18 Jan22 Jan05   (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 8% 11.40    
10  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Aug25 Aug10 Jul07 Jun20   (shanyfelt valerie)VELEZ J 119 20.00    
 
TDN-3   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY ANDY Aug10 Jul26 Jun22 May21   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
1A  LEOMBRUNO Aug08 Jul19 Jun30 Jun07 May18 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
2  ALGORIX Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 Jun30 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 27% 2.80    
3  ADANO Aug31 Aug18 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 ★    
4  GOD'S WILL BE DONE Aug31 Aug18 Jul14 Jun20 Jun01 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00    
5  YONDERING Aug10 Jul21 Jun22 Jun08 May09 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 6% 16.10    
SCR  PALTARREVENGE Aug16 Jul28 Jul04 Jun13 May26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 11% 7.80    
7  WISE KHOZAN Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
 
TDN-4   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL OF DISCRETION Aug29 Aug03 Jul27 Jun27 Jun11 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
2  CAT'S CURIOSITY Aug29 Aug15 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  BROADWAY JONES Jul28 Jul08 Jun30 May12 Mar05 (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00 ★    
4  KOSCIUSZKO Aug15 Aug03 Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 (brown glenroy)JIMENEZ S 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  YO BERBS Aug15 Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 May26 (brown t)BRACHO A 119 12.00    
SCR  LOVE TREE Aug29 Jul28 Jun28 Jun13 May11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
7  ALL STAR JUSTICE Aug29 Aug15 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 ★    
8  VENETIAN DREAM Aug29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul28 Jul19 (bailey ricard)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
TDN-5   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 Jun07 May16 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 68% 0.50    
1A  ICONIC Aug04 Jul07 May31 May11   (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50    
2  ELGAR Aug11 Jul04 May21 Mar31 Mar10 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 1.80 9% 10.30    
3  KHALFANI Aug18 Jul07 Jun16 Jun06 May04 (pattah shahab )HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 ★    
4  THIS MAN CAN Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 May31 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 119 10.00 ★    
5  MINE'S DIALED IN         (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
6  KEYED ON TOP Jul21 Jun25 Jun07 May16 May02 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   09/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MAXIMIZER Aug31 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 Jan21 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  GUCCISSIMO Aug25 Aug10 Jul18 Jul11 Jun22 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.00    
2  ISTILLGOTIT Jul18 Jun22 Jun13 May21 May02 (puhl kim)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
3  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Aug18 Aug03 Jul18 Jun28 Jun20 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 ★    
4  WILLY'S CASTLE Aug25 Jan14       (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 ★    
5  SUPER VISION Aug29 Aug10 Jul26 Jul11 Jun30 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00 9% 9.70    
6  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN Aug25 Jul18 Jun28 May26 May09 (genovese richa)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUST AND OBEY Aug25 Aug16 Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
2  DREAM PRIZES Sep01 Aug13 Aug04 Jul13 Jun27 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00 8% 11.60    
3  CRAFTY CHIEF Aug25 Aug13 Jul26 Jul07 Jun21 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 ★    
4  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Aug25 Aug13 Jul26 Jun30 May31 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
5  OHIO PLAYER Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul07 Jun06 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  TWO EAGLES Aug25 Aug13 Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  QUALITY MAN Aug13 Jul18 Jun30 May31 May18 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 7% 12.90    
 
TDN-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLUME OF TRUST Sep05 Jul20 Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
2  MUCH TIMES TWO Aug08 Jul21 Jun29     (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 ★    
3  GIBBY MY CORN Aug24 Aug13 Jun29     (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 ★    
4  COLOR CODED Aug24 Aug08       (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 19% 4.10    
5  COWTOWN BOSS Aug24 Aug08 Jul04 Jun14 May26 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Aug12 Jul14 Jun29     (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 6.00    
7  SURROUNDER Aug19 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.