Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - September 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROMIUM Aug18 Aug05       (rodak geraldine)BRYAN KERRY 125 10.00    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Aug18 Aug11 Jul26 Jun11 May31 (torres pablo )CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00    
STONE COLD CAT Aug16 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 May24 (cahill steven)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50    
JROCK Aug18 Aug02 Jul22     (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
ANYTIMEALLTHETIME Aug11 Jul15 Jun28 Jun21 Jun02 (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 125 4.50 10% 8.90    
FEELING IT Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 Jun10 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
BTP-2   09/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA Aug12 Aug03 Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.50 12% 7.60    
WILLIE JONES Aug04 May06       (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.00 17% 4.70    
HITE Jul21 Jun14 May26 May11   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 117 10.00    
PECKS NOT BAD Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May06 Apr13 (barker w)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
SAMMY'S SMILE Aug13 Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 May12 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 1.80 47% 1.10    
WORTHY OPPONENT Aug23 Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 May17 (miller arizona)FELIX E 117 5.00    
 
BTP-3   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERTRADA Aug18 Jul15 May03 Feb24   (helmbrec)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.00 15% 5.80    
SISTER'S GHOST Aug19 Jul28 Jul07     (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
NAUGHTY NELLIE Aug18 Jul28 Jul15 Jun10   (bends p)MOJICA JR 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
FUTURE FLAY Aug17 Aug05 Jul07 May14 Apr15 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 3.50    
MY ROSIE Aug09 Jul20 Jun23 May03 Apr16 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 117 3.00    
 
BTP-4   09/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTING HEART Aug17 Jul12       (cahill f)BUSH V 123 10.00    
EYES OF GLORY Aug09 Jul20 Jun25 Jun02 May19 (vosler eugene)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
DAWN WEST Aug03 Jul05 Jun11 May26   (wilson jr)FELIX E 123 20.00 5% 17.80    
DEFIED Aug13 Jul17 Jun22 Jun03 May05 (ortiz alexande)MCKEE J 123 2.50    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS Jul05 Jun02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (bogle fergus)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 11% 8.40    
OFFICIAL BUSINESS Jul23 May22 Apr24     (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00    
SARGEANT BARGER Aug18 Jul26 Jul05 May25 Mar18 (evans michae)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
MULBERRY STREET Aug09 Jul03       (humphries tho)BRACHO A 123 10.00    
BERN N ASH Jun23 May27 Apr15 Jan15   (dunn d)OUZTS W 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
10  PERFECT PAINTING Aug17 Aug05 Jun17 May21 Apr20 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 6.00    
 
BTP-5   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CARDINAL Aug02 Jun28 Jun07 Jan23 Jan07 (wineb)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 2.50 13% 6.60    
SONSHINE PEGASUS Aug03         (austin timothy)MOJICA JR 125 12.00    
SCR  LUTE'S ANGEL Aug10 Aug03 Jul19 Jul01 Jun21 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.50 11% 8.10    
MORNING DRIVE Aug10 Jul13 May07 Apr30 Apr10 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 121 3.50 10% 9.40    
HOW IT GOES Aug19 Aug10 Jul20 Jul13 Jun17 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 125 3.00 41% 1.50    
DARETOBELUCKY Aug19 Aug03       (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 8.00    
MAJESTIC MR. JONES Aug19 Aug03 Jul13     (bogart robe)JIMENEZ J 125 12.00    
 
BTP-6   09/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPHA DOG Jul20 May21 Feb18 Jan15   (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50 12% 7.70    
BAJAN RUM Aug12 Jul07 May17 Apr19 Mar24 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 1.80 34% 2.00    
BE MY DOCTOR Aug09 Jul19 Jun24 Jun08 May21 (wilson d)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.00    
GONE ROGUE Aug24 Jul20 Jul13 Jun11 May26 (wilson jr)FELIX E 121 3.00    
SCR  TEXAS HEDGE Aug18         (hernandez re)ROMERO GREGORY 123 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
BTP-7   09/01/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY OF TREASURE Aug09 Feb26 Jan15     (newton troy)FELIX E 121 2.50 8% 11.70    
GAMBLIN TRAIN Jul01 Jun09 Feb04     (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.00 10% 9.30    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Aug18 Jul26 Jul06 Jun28 Apr29 (axmaker cody )BRACHO A 121 8.00    
CELESTIAL SPIN Aug22 Jul27 Jun17 Jun08 May12 (cristel j)MCKEE J 121 5.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  BEL ARIA Jul30 Jul23 Jun22 Jun03 May12 (parker donald)LEBRON VICTOR 120 4.50    
AUCTION FEVER Aug18 Jul20       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
LA CUMPARSITA Jul27 Jun29 May10 Mar26 Mar03 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 113 10.00    
 
BTP-8   09/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL PAPA Aug25 Jul29 Jul12 Jun28 May25 (feebeck thomas )MOJICA JR 123 20.00    
BEAT DUKE Jun28         (harrison ron)REYES R 123 12.00 6% 16.70    
RAULITO Aug12 Jul29 Jul12 Jun28 Jun10 (adams l)BRACHO A 123 3.50 7% 13.60    
KOBE BEACH Jul29 Jul12 Jun28 Jun10 May31 (rodriquez re)HALDAR J 123 8.00    
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Aug18 Aug12 Jul26 Jul05 Jun23 (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
WE THANK YOU Aug19 Aug03 Jul13 Jan22 Jan01 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 5.00    
COMIN' BACK Jul07 May25       (gerteisen adam)OUZTS W 123 4.00 34% 1.90    
MECHANICVILLE Aug10 Jun07 May17 May04   (salcedo ramon)RIVERA BRYAN 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.