Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - August 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORMLEYS GOT GAME Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 (swingle)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
ROCK N JUNE BUG Jul20 Jun29 May30 May03   (douglass dev)RAMOS D 119 5.00    
BOCA BOY Jul28 Feb12 Jan15     (winebaugh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
ASH FLAT Jul01 Jun08 May31 May04   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
BREAKING NEWS (GB) Jul20 Jun11 May16 Apr02 Mar05 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 24% 3.30    
ON YOUR MARK Jun22 May30 May03 Mar18 Feb20 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 12% 7.20    
 
IND-2   08/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOTOX KATIE Aug10 Jul18 Jul04 Jun22 May18 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 10% 8.60    
CLEVER KATE Aug08 Jul11 Jun28     (holden j)POMPELL L 122 15.00    
SKYS IMAGE Aug08 Jun22 Jun09 May19   (duran antonio)PARKER L 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
SONG OF THE SIREN Aug08 Jul09 Jun09 May12   (fridley steve)REYES R 118 8.00    
MAKE OVER Aug10         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 10.00    
HOOSIER PREMIUM Aug10 Jul09 Jun09 May12   (herrell d)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 5% 17.80    
TRIP CHARGE Aug08 Jul09 May23 May09   (green da)RODRIGUEZ C 115 6.00    
AMAZINGNESS Jul09 Jun09 May17 May07   (patrick gary)PRESCOTT R 118 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
IND-3   08/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARAYA Jul04 Jun02 May11     (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
MORNIN' BOSS Jul19 Jun28 Jun02     (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
DREAMS OF YOU         (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 11% 7.80    
FROSTALICIOUS         (mason ingrid)PRESCOTT R 118 6.00    
LILLY CHROME Jul04         (acevedo isra)RAMOS D 118 8.00    
PIGEON CAY         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 10.00    
THATSHOWSHEROLLS Jul04 Jun23 Apr29 Apr21   (dyer john)HOLMES GAGE 111 15.00    
GOGO GEISHA         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
FLY CONDOR         (meah m)PARKER L 118 12.00    
SCR  LA SHARK         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  JOYS LANDING         (lyster st)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00    
 
IND-4   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANUELITO Aug02 Jun27 Jun08 Jun01 May16 (haran john)HOLMES GAGE 112 15.00    
A FEW TOO MANY Aug04 Jul12 Jun29 May30   (elliott michel)REYES R 122 20.00    
STOP HAMMERTIME Aug04 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 May19 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
FLOWERPECKER Jul20 Jun29 May24 May03   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Jun29 Jun11 May03 Apr16 Mar25 (lauer michael)COURT K 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
CHANDANA Jun29 Jun04 May03     (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 117 4.00    
ORO AZTECA Aug04 Jul18 Jun22 Jun16 May31 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 7% 12.90    
SCR  JOVA Jul07 Jun27 Jun11 May19 Apr26 (contreras ci)RAMOS D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-5   08/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH STICK Jul06         (mcgaughey cla)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
ORNAMENTAL Jul13 Jun17 Apr24     (mott i)PRESCOTT R 120 3.50    
MY SWEETNESS Jun30         (baker james)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00    
BEG BORROW N STEAL         (dobbsjr robe)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
PARIS KENTUCKY Jul12 Apr22 Apr02 Mar19 Feb19 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 5.00    
AZAMANA EMPIRE Jul03         (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 113 15.00 14% 6.20    
JOYFUL APPLAUSE May29 May04 Apr16     (pitts helen)PARKER L 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
MS MAGGIE         (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
QUEEN IN THE NORTH Jul11 Jun01       (amoss m)REYES R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  I'M BOX OFFICE Jul13         (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
11  LAMASCO Jul03 Jun11 May26     (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00    
12  MILAN'S GIRL Jul09 Jun09 May06     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
 
IND-6   08/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNUGGLER Jul14         (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00    
TAP THE LINE Jul14 Jun07 May16 May09 Feb27 (lauer michael)COURT K 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
ALLIE MAES REVENGE Jul14 May30 May09     (herrell ron )MORALES JOSHUA 124 30.00    
ANGELSNDISGUISE Jul14         (glyshaw tim)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
BAND OF ROSES         (ashby)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 20.00    
ANOTHER ACCOUNT Jun16 Jun07 Jan01     (green darlene)REYES ANGEL 120 30.00    
HER WAY Jul14         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
GINGADONTCHAKNOW Jul20         (nance w)PRESCOTT R 120 6.00 9% 10.40    
RUN AWAY FEVER Jul11 May16       (steele brandi)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
10  VIVIJO Jul14 Jun28 Jun07     (short j)HOLMES GAGE 113 5.00 26% 2.80    
11  MOLLY'S WARRIOR Jul14 Jun28 May30 May09 Apr27 (steele br)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00    
 
IND-7   08/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUR THE MOON Jul14 Jun22 May26 May16   (duran antonio)REYES R 118 20.00    
HUMBLE WARRIOR Jul09 May26 May07     (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
VENICE BEACH Jul19 Jun29 May25 May16 May04 (garcia genaro)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
REMEMBER HYMN Jul14 Jun30 Jun07 May16 Apr19 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
JACKSONS GOLD Jul14 Jun30       (thompson eri)MORALES JOSHUA 122 5.00 27% 2.60    
AMICABLE (IRE) Aug03 Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 Jun01 (livers charl)RAMOS D 115 4.00    
GOT LOST Aug04 Jul07 Jun21     (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 124 12.00    
SHOTGUN JOE Jul21 May11       (matthews randy)HOLMES GAGE 112 15.00 8% 11.70    
AEROBALLISTIC Jul20 Jun29       (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 117 6.00    
10  BOULDER BAY Jun22 May26 May04     (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 118 8.00    
11  GRAND IN BAY Aug03 Jul04 Jun16 May18   (glyshaw tim)POMPELL L 115 8.00    
12  BROKEN JUSTICE Jul14 Jun21       (short j)PARKER L 122 12.00    
SCR  RE ANTE Jun30 Jun07       (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-8   08/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMING VICTORY Jul21         (haran j)DE CRUZ 116 30.00    
FASTBYTE Jul24 May30       (leit)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00    
VAMONOS Jul13 Jun15 May27 Apr26   (wohlers laur)RAMOS D 119 5.00    
EL RAYO (ARG) Jul23 Jul10 Jun11     (manley steve)PARKER L 119 4.50 30% 2.30    
LORD DONEGAL         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
OUT OF ALCATRAZ         (amoss m)REYES R 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
FOXY BOXY Aug08 Jul09       (mullins )RODRIGUEZ C 109 30.00    
PLAIN OR PEANUT Aug09 May30       (elliott michell)HOLMES GAGE 112 10.00    
KING ICE         (leonard g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00    
10  NOBLE CREEKER         (reavis l)PRESCOTT R 119 12.00    
SCR  GIOVANNINO         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 8.00    
SCR  NAGIRROC         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.