Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   07/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLYDE PARK Jul12 Jun29       (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
AREYOUTALKINGTOME Jul15 Jun25 Jun08 May06 Apr30 (quartarolo a)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 7% 12.60    
CAT'S CURIOSITY Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May26 May16 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.50 11% 8.30    
SOUL OF DISCRETION Jun27 Jun11 May30     (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
TARTAN THE BULL Jul12 Jun01 May04 Apr09 Mar23 (trevino s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
SUPER VALENTINE Jun27 May30       (genovese richard)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
GOLDEN READY Jun21 May30 Mar02 Jan19   (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
TDN-2   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMUDGE THE CAT Jul13 Jun22 May30 May12   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 3.50 15% 5.80    
WAITES KINGDOM         (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00 7% 14.30    
INSACIABLE PRINCE Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 Apr26 (romero jose )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 4.00    
DUKE OF FENWAY Jun22 May30 May12     (atala jose)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 8.00    
C C'S CLEAR CREEK Jul13 Jun22 May30 May21 May12 (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
CASH CUSTOMER Jul13 Jun22       (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.00    
 
TDN-3   07/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYE AYE SIR Jul18 Jun25 May30 May12   (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 5.00    
IRISH UNITY Jul13 Jun30 Jun07     (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 123 2.50    
FRANCO (MEX) Jul18 Jul07 Jun08     (hurley ma)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 9% 10.00    
LEXATOGA Jun27 Jun07 May12 Apr15   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
BEER CHASER Jul12 Jun25 Jun08 May17 Apr02 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 63% 0.60    
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jul14 Jun25 Mar07 Feb14 Jan22 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   07/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KONTAR Jul06 Jun08 Jan24 Jan04   (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
MAXIMIZER Jan21         (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
OWN THE TOWN Jul04 May31       (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 17% 5.00    
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Jul07 Jun14 May31 May21 Jan25 (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
BREEZY MONEY Jul01 Jun08 May25 Apr11 Mar21 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 2.50    
FRANKIE BARONE Jul07 Jun26 Jun11 May05   (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
PROFESSIONAL Jun27 Jun06 May23 Mar05 Feb06 (rini anth)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
 
TDN-5   07/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNVEGAN DOLL Jul04 May14 May03 Apr10 Feb11 (fadlovich megan)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
EMITYAAZ Jul11 Jun13 May11 Apr24 Mar05 (puhl kim)LOPEZ ALBERT 117 3.00    
JUDY'S WAY Jul07 May31 Apr26 Mar06 Jan29 (silva h)SANJUR SANTO 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
ESTILO ELEGANTE Jun28 Jun13 Jun02 Mar19 Feb26 (inirio carlo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE Jun29 May31 Apr24     (sims a)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50    
SIMONA'S CHOICE Jun28 Jun14 May25 May12 Apr22 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-6   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARSA Jul12 May24 Mar26 Feb18 Jan22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 58% 0.70    
COWCHI Jul11 Jun29 May24 May09 Apr11 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.50    
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Jul12 Jun11 May17 May03 Apr11 (atala jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
SWEET CHELSEA Jul12 Jun27 Jun01 May18 May03 (genovese richar)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jul07 Jun20 Jun06 May24 Apr28 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
ONLY ONE BOSS LADY Jun27 Jan05       (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
PERSEVERING HONOR         (mcdonald james)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 10% 9.50    
 
TDN-7   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING SCORE Jun30 Jun21 May17 Apr28 Mar21 (gorham m)DIAZ I 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
THANKSDAD Jul11 Jun29 Apr04 Mar19 Mar05 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00    
YOU'RE OUT Jul06 May21 Apr28 Apr06 Feb18 (dubie kat)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 12.00    
RACIN' JACIN Jun28 Jun21 May30 May12 Mar02 (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 110 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  LITTLE BITA SMOKE Jun21 May30 May12     (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 10.00    
THE GOSPEL OF MARK Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 May26 May11 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 9% 9.50    
DERBY INCLUDED Jul01         (cline robert )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 12% 7.40    
 
TDN-8   07/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABELLE Jul04 Jun25 May31 May11 Apr23 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
ABERRATION May23 May06 Apr16 Mar14 Feb26 (gorostie)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
ULTRA RAYS Jul20 Jun22 May30 May11 Apr27 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
BLUE SAGE (IRE) Jul11 Jun14 Mar01 Jan22 Jan12 (skerrett jef)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 10% 8.90    
PURITY Jul06 May25 Apr26     (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
EVER WONDER Jul07         (gorham ro)PILARES P 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
RIGHT TRAPPE May26 May11 Apr08 Mar20 Feb20 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.