Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CD-1   06/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT DREAM Jun12 May14 Apr09 Mar22 Mar08 (salcedo ramon)MCKEE J 118 10.00    
JE SUIS RAPIDE         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
DILMUNIA Jun02         (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 118 10.00    
SURE WASN'T ME Jun12 Apr24 Feb18     (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 35% 1.90    
MAMBO KITTEN Jun17 Jun03       (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 111 6.00    
SLAM DIEGO Jun09 May12       (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
SWEET BEAUTY Jun09 May19 Apr24 Mar27 Mar12 (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
LAYLA'S SONG Jun12 May14 Apr29 Mar19   (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCONCE Jun09 May10       (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
CD-2   06/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER PROMISE         (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 3.50    
MY BUTTERFLY         (catalano m)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
DANSE MACABRE         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOPSY         (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
UNIFIED DECISION         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
KEY OF LIFE (IRE)         (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
WATCH THIS MUNNY         (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
CD-3   06/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPHEROID May16 Mar17 Mar06 Jan07   (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.00 9% 9.70    
MARKET DEVELOPMENT May25 May10 Mar25     (edwards w)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00    
ALTERED May28 May19 Mar24 Feb13   (lauer michael)BEJARANO R 124 10.00    
JUSTIN'S QUEST Apr29 Feb20 Jan16 Jan02   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
O CIGANO May28 May13 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 (roberson denni)CASTANON L 124 15.00    
SONIC CITY May14 Apr15 Feb16     (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 126 1.60 15% 5.70    
 
CD-4   06/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUY CARO May05 Mar21 Feb28 Jan08   (cowans wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
SCR  CHARGE THE LINE May22 Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 12% 7.50    
AREYOUTALKINGTOME Jun08 May06 Apr30 Mar31 Mar18 (quartarolo )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
STORM ADVISORY Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Feb18 Jan29 (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
MASON A. P. Jun10 May22       (hill f)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00    
MY MAN FLINTSTONE Jun08 May22       (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
TWOBIRDSONESTONE May26         (lauer mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SKYSCANNER May27 Apr29 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 (shorter )SANTANA JR 118 3.00 15% 5.90    
YES SIR ROBERT May22 May04 Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
CD-5   06/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRAWL May26 Feb19 Jan22     (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00    
BACKGROUND May26 May01 Apr02 Mar13 Feb20 (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
TWILIGHT BLUE May13 Apr02 Feb25     (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
FULSOME May06 Apr02       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 126 1.60 18% 4.50    
CHESS CHIEF Mar26 Jan29       (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50    
SCR  HEART RHYTHM Jun05 May08 Mar19 Feb20 Jan23 (duncan van)COURT K 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
MAILMAN MONEY         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00    
 
CD-6   06/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHORT SUMMER DRESS May27 Apr16 Feb14 Jan15   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 4.00    
QUEENGOL Jan02         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
ALBERTA SUN Jun09 Apr16 Feb19 Jan09   (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  SUNDAY GRACE May14 May04 Mar05     (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 116 8.00    
BOMBDIGGITY May21 Apr10 Feb18     (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 24% 3.30    
LOVE OF MY HEART May05 Mar19 Jan29     (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 8.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  TOUCH OF CLASS (GER)         (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
SYLVIA Q         (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
MAKESCENTSTOUS Mar21         (reed r)MCKEE J 121 15.00 9% 9.90    
 
CD-7   06/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD CAPTAIN         (simms mark )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
SUNDAY BREEZE         (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
LUCKY DEVIL May22 Apr02 Mar12     (west eth)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
CALL ME FAST         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 5.00    
BADGEBALL         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
VERITABLE         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  MR. MARIAH         (pittman bonni)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
INEXORABLE         (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 17% 4.90    
ENGRAVE May20         (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
CD-8   06/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SURVEILLANCE May28 Apr29 Apr09 Mar10 Jan27 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 8% 11.50    
PERFECT SPEIGHTY May21 May07 Mar18 Feb14   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  RUSTLER May29         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
COUNTY FINAL May28 Apr15 Feb20 Jan30   (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00    
GUN IT May28 May07 Apr02 Feb21   (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 61% 0.60    
ATOKA May28 Apr29 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00    
GET HER NUMBER May29 Apr30 Mar12     (miller p)SANTANA JR 121 3.00    
HAUNT Apr24 Mar12       (mcgaughey claud)LANERIE J 121 12.00 7% 13.50    
LYKAN May08 Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 Jan14 (mason ingrid)SANJUR SANTO 121 12.00    
 
CD-9   06/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYERNESS Apr30         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
  (by BAYERN out of WEIGHT NO MORE by PURE PRIZE)
PENNYBAKER Apr16         (stidham michael)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MACAROON by TAPIT)
LADY ROCKET May08 Apr09       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of ALLONS DANSER by ESKENDEREYA)
BELL'S THE ONE May07 Apr09       (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of STREET MATE by STREET CRY (IRE))
KALYPSO May30 Apr09 Feb05     (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MALIBU COVE by MALIBU MOON)
FOUR GRACES May07 Apr09 Mar12 Jan29 Jan06 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 11% 7.90    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of IVORY EMPRESS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCONSIN May30         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by INCLUDE out of SCONNIE by TIZNOW)
 
CD-10   06/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLLIEMEISTER Apr23         (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 8.00    
SCR  LET MY PEOPLE GO May22 Apr29 Mar27     (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
FAVORITE OUTLAW Jan29         (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
TOP OF THE CHARTS May28         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR May19 Apr14 Feb25 Jan29   (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
RESPECT THE CODE May29         (miller p)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
SCR  ANGKOR May30         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 6% 16.30    
RIGHT TONE May30         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
EYES OF GLORY Jun02 May19       (vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 123 30.00    
10  IGNITIS Jun12 May07 Apr08 Mar25 Feb26 (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
11  SCHMOOZIN May30 May04 Mar18 Jan23   (pessin l)LANERIE J 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.