Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Churchill Downs
Friday - June 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CD-1   06/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PONTIFFANY May30 May12 Apr15 Mar13 Jan17 (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
DAYS REMEMBERED         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
OAXACA May30 Apr23 Mar23 Feb25 Jan09 (quartarolo )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.80    
SCR  AWESOME ALLY VEE         (toy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
SCR  CONTESSINA         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
TACHLIS May05 Apr02 Mar05     (arnold g)SANTANA JR 118 1.20 57% 0.70    
 
CD-2   06/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINGRICH Apr30 Mar12 Jan01     (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
MAXIMUM IMPACT Apr27 Mar25 Feb27 Feb19 Feb10 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
BRIT'S WIT May19 Apr16 Mar25 Feb18   (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50    
READY PURSUIT Mar12 Feb26 Jan07     (antonuik j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
MALIBU TIME May13 Apr03 Mar06 Feb19 Jan15 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00    
AMERICAN HERO May14 Apr14 Mar12 Jan07   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 24% 3.30    
STOCKPILER May19 Mar23 Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 6.00    
SCR  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) May19 Mar25 Jan16     (stewart dalla)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00    
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE May07 Apr13 Mar12 Feb11   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
CD-3   06/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE DROP MADDY         (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00    
SCR  PERSONAL PURSUIT         (casse mark)ROCCO S 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
EMPIRE OF MY OWN May05         (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 39% 1.50    
RUM RUNNER READY         (morey willia)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
HOLIDAY DECISION         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 15% 5.80    
NAUGHTY GAL         (lukas wayne)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00    
LOYAL TO A FAULT         (o'n)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 8.00    
SCR  FAST N HAPPY         (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   06/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDICINE TAIL May26 May04 Mar19 Feb12   (kobiskie dane)LANERIE J 125 2.50 43% 1.30    
AMANI'S EAGLE Mar31 Jan07       (gutierrez faustio)DIAZ RENE 116 3.00 13% 7.00    
ISLAND BOY Mar13 Feb11 Jan14     (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00    
WHAT A COUNTRY May06 Mar24 Feb19 Jan01   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.00    
TILLIS Apr07 Feb19 Jan16     (morse l)COURT K 123 5.00    
VASARIANO         (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 13% 7.00    
 
CD-5   06/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED DIAMOND May22 Apr23 Feb16     (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
SWEET TRUFFLES May05 Mar17       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00    
WEST LOVE Apr27 Apr13 Mar10     (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 3.00 16% 5.30    
LANTERN'S CANDY May28 Apr23 Mar22 Mar05 Feb12 (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 18% 4.50    
YO PUEDO Apr22         (medina r)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
CAMI CAT May20         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
DARENE Apr27         (moquett ronal)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   06/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUPLANTIS         (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00    
MATARO         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
MACHO VILLA         (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
COACH ROGERS         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
EASY BIG BOY May20         (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 119 5.00    
REIQUIST         (morey wi)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
GULFPORT         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
CAPACITY         (engler jeff)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
ZAFIRO ANEJO         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   06/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBDUED May16 May04 Apr01 Mar02 Feb10 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
DRENA'S STAR May12 Apr23 Apr02 Feb26 Jan01 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
FIRERY TALE May27 Apr16 Apr09 Mar13 Feb18 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 10.00    
RYE HUMOR Mar17 Jan08       (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00    
SEAU May22 Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 Jan29 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
TRAPPE VALLEY Apr24 Apr03 Mar17     (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
MASON A. P. May22         (hil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
HIDDEN PROMISE Apr24 Apr02 Mar06 Feb12   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
ESPIONAGE May20 May08 Apr24 Mar26 Mar12 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
CD-8   06/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANCE RHYTHMS May03 Apr16 Mar13 Feb13   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
SCR  STROLLIN THE BAYOU May03 Mar12 Jan15     (rodriguez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
KIMBERLEY DREAM May20 May03 Apr14 Mar18 Feb17 (win)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
SARIAH SARIAH May03 Apr14 Mar01 Jan20   (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  HAT TIP May12 Apr20       (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00    
SISTER ANNIE May11 Mar09       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 120 1.60 59% 0.70    
TILTINGATWINDMILLS May17 Apr02 Feb18 Jan29   (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
GIANNA'S GIFT May29 Mar12 Jan29 Jan15   (miller f)COURT K 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   06/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PIRATE'S PUNCH May26 Apr13 Feb26 Jan22   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY TYCOON May07 Apr16 Jan22 Jan01   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00    
BUCK MOON May13 Apr13 Mar26 Feb26 Feb10 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SOUTHERN DISTRICT Apr30 Feb05 Jan09     (brown c)GRAHAM J 124 3.00    
SCR  SPA CITY Apr22 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
WEYBURN May06 Apr02       (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  TWELVE VOLT MAN Apr02 Jan22       (joseph saff)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00    
SUPREMACY Apr16 Apr02 Feb20 Jan13   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
DOUBLY BLESSED Apr28 Mar26 Feb26     (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.