Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMP INTO THE FIRE May13 Apr22 Mar19 Feb16   (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 123 0.60 49% 1.00    
2  CARRY ON May20 Apr14 Jan19     (sharp joe)HERRFORTH ERICA 108 10.00 ★    
3  MALIBU MARLEE May26 May13 May03 Feb10   (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 8% 11.20    
4  LA TOURISTA May22 May12 Apr30 Apr21 Apr13 (vasquez sr)COURT K 118 20.00    
5  SENSE YOU LEFT Apr22 Feb26 Jan14     (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
6  ABSOLUTE LOVE Apr22 Jan28       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
CD-2   06/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSALOT May04 Apr13 Mar12 Feb12 Jan09 (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
2  ONCOMING TRAIN Apr23 Feb11 Jan17     (foley greg)GRAHAM J 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
3  THUNDERHEART May17 Apr09 Mar25 Feb12   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  GRAYWING Apr20 Jan01       (hancock john)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  COLE SPUR May14 Apr07 Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 ★    
6  HANEY BOYS Apr30 Apr20 Feb27 Jan30 Jan14 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 ★    
 
CD-3   06/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B D VALESKI May04 Mar10 Feb11 Jan17   (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 4.50    
2  CANDY LANDING May04 Mar24 Feb12 Jan15   (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 ★    
3  RUN CURTIS RUN May04         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
SCR  DETROIT CITY May20         (sisterson )MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 8.00    
5  NOBALS May01 Apr02 Jan08     (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  AMERICAN STARLET Apr28 Mar26 Feb23 Jan07   (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 113 4.00 ★    
7  SKY AND SAND May14 Apr13 Feb26 Jan02   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 7% 14.10    
SCR  NAKATOMI         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 11% 8.10    
 
CD-4   06/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR GHOST Apr30 Apr20       (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 20.00    
2  GO VIRTUAL May19 Apr20       (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
3  SOUTHERN SENSE Apr20 Feb26 Jan16     (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
4  OFFICER NICK May03 Feb10       (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
5  WORKINFROMHOME Apr30 Apr01       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 8.00 ★    
6  WINTER'S GHOST May15 Apr23 Mar20 Jan21   (ali alnaz)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
7  ISTHMIAN May15 Apr20 Mar19 Feb19 Jan29 (gutierre)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  FOTHERINGAY May13 Mar31 Mar12 Jan22   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BROWN DELIVERS May15 Apr13 Mar03 Feb16   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  KEVALAR May13 Apr20 Feb23 Jan08   (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
CD-5   06/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL BOWMAN Apr15 Feb27       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00    
2  IMPRESSED May12 Jan01       (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
3  ESKENFORIT May12 Mar26 Jan23 Jan01   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00    
4  FLAT LUCKY Apr23 Apr09 Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 10% 8.90    
5  DOUBLE CROWN Mar24 Feb21 Jan29     (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 13% 6.70    
6  LONG TERM THINKING May08 Apr09 Mar13 Feb25 Jan29 (diodoro rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 13% 6.40    
7  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Mar19 Jan29 Jan13     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
8  COLONELSDARKTEMPER May13 Mar24 Mar01     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 ★    
 
CD-6   06/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOUNT RUNDLE Apr23         (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUE DEVIL Apr02         (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
3  EL GEMAR Apr16 Mar19 Feb21     (peitz c)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY MIST May21 Apr24       (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
5  POLYGLOT Apr28         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
6  BOURBON ON FIRE         (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
7  SIMPLY JACK Apr28         (murphy conor)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 7% 13.80    
8  BLUE BONZAI Mar18 Feb19 Jan22     (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
9  OLD HICKORY May15 Mar27 Mar11     (flint bernard)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 4.00 11% 8.10    
10  TEPEU May15 Mar26 Feb19     (walsh br)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
11  THE CLOWN         (mate)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
12  PIPE RULES         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
13  SHIPMAN May21         (gre)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 8.00    
SCR  GRANTASTIC         (catalano )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
SCR  RIO KING May13         (sisterson jac)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  LOLAS BEAU May13 Apr29 Apr02 Feb16 Jan22 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00    
SCR  SPEED BIAS Apr30 Apr02       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
CD-7   06/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($150K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUNION Mar18 Feb03       (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00    
2  MR. WIRELESS         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 8% 10.80    
3  HEART RHYTHM May08 Mar19 Feb20 Jan23   (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
4  CADDO RIVER May01 Mar18 Feb19 Jan22   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 126 1.60 10% 9.20    
5  THREE TECHNIQUE May07 Apr09 Mar12 Feb12   (cook b)BEJARANO R 126 3.00 ★    
6  ENDORSED May07 Apr09 Mar05 Jan29   (maker mic)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOUTH BEND May07 Apr09       (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
CD-8   06/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAVER HAT Apr15 Mar13 Jan28     (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 30.00    
2  RISING EMPIRE May07 Mar24 Feb13     (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  RISK TAKING Apr22 Mar25 Feb26     (brown ch)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  SPA CITY Apr22 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
5  LIFE IS HARD May07 Apr02 Mar04 Feb12   (div)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
6  DECISION MAKER May08 Mar26 Mar04 Jan30   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00    
7  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00    
8  SCARLET FUSION Feb25 Jan08       (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
9  SOY TAPATIO May06 Apr02 Mar05 Feb18 Jan08 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50    
10  LAUGHING BOY May07 Apr13       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
11  EASTSIDE COOL Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 Feb19 Jan16 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 124 8.00    
12  INJUNCTION May07 Apr16 Mar05     (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
13  BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON Mar07 Feb01       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00    
SCR  SUPER CONSTITUTION May06 Apr16 Mar17 Feb25 Jan22 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS EAGLE May20         (cundiff waylon)DIAZ RENE 115 30.00    
 
CD-9   06/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETRICOR (GB) Apr24         (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 10% 9.20    
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of RUSCOMBE by DANSILI (GB))
2  MARKET RUMOR Apr23 Mar20       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of TAYLOR STREET by STREET SENSE)
3  WALIYAK (FR) Apr16         (vaughan edwar)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
  (by LE HAVRE (IRE) out of VADARIYA by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
4  KEEPER OF TIME (IRE) Apr23 Mar05 Jan28     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
  (by MEHMAS out of MOTHEEBA by MUSTANFAR)
5  LAKE LUCERNE May06 Mar26       (walsh bre)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of ROUND POND by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  DALIKA (GER)         (stall al)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by PASTORIUS (GER) out of DRAWN TO RUN (IRE) by HURRICANE RUN (IRE))
7  GAM'S MISSION Apr23 Mar26       (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 10% 9.20    
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of AUNTIE MARTHA by WAR PASS)
8  AMBASSADOR LUNA May05 Mar04       (colebrook ben)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of SPANISH AMBASSADOR by SPANISH STEPS)
9  HENDY WOODS May06 Mar26       (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 7% 13.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SEPARATE FOREST by FORESTRY)
10  TAKE CHARGE RO Apr23 Mar12 Jan21     (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 22% 3.50    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BIG AWAKENING by BIG BROWN)
 
CD-10   06/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER OF ARMS May07 Apr09 Mar05 Jan08   (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  PAPA ROCKET May07 Mar19 Feb12     (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 111 30.00    
3  CYCLONE Apr29 Mar16 Feb17 Jan17   (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
4  BOURBON HEIST May07 Apr09 Feb26 Jan29   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  MISBEHAVED         (pletcher)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
6  GRAND ASPEN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
7  FRONTAL ASSAULT May15 Apr29 Mar25     (raines lindsey)MACHADO LUAN 118 50.00    
8  KINGMAKER Apr24 Mar19 Feb12     (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
9  CONCERTED         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  LEGIONNAIRE         (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
11  MASTER GAME May07         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
12  ELITE POWER May07         (mott i)GRAHAM J 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  GENERAL STRIKE May07 Mar19       (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  YORK TAVERN         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  BENDETTIJOE         (cerin vla)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  BOONE'S PATH         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.