Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Churchill Downs
Friday - June 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CD-1   06/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HER GIANT Jan08         (durbin r)COURT K 118 8.00    
SMOKIN HOT BOBBIE May14 Apr27 Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 (gon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 8.00    
SUN DRESS May14 Mar25 Mar12 Feb24 Jan16 (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
L. A. STAR         (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
BOW MAKER May14 Apr27 Apr01     (vasquez german )BRYAN KERRY 118 20.00    
PRINCESS RENEE Apr27 Mar06 Feb25 Jan10   (blair jordan)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 27% 2.70    
MARCIE'S CANDY May14 Feb16       (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.60    
 
CD-2   06/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVING LUCKY May14 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Jan30 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00    
SCR  GENOMIC May14 Mar10 Feb10     (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00    
FORMAL ORDER May22 Apr30 Apr08 Feb06 Jan13 (habeeb donal)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
FERRYBOAT May14         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 5.00    
TEEWINOT PASS May13 Apr24 Mar12 Feb16 Jan07 (guerrero sa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  LEMONADEATTHELATCH May21 Mar19 Feb16 Jan07   (jacobson matthe)LANERIE J 118 1.40 39% 1.60    
 
CD-3   06/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JANE MAST         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  MINDFUL         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
REVERB Apr27         (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 125 20.00    
SPARTINA Apr22         (medina robe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
SCR  SCENT OF ROYALTY         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
HEDY LAMARR Jan02         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 9% 9.80    
LOFTYSHIPSLOWSAILS         (barkley j)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
TIFFANY'S MO Apr21 Mar05       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
PHAROAH'S SONG Apr22 Jan19       (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 35% 1.90    
SAINT SISTA         (toy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 30.00    
10  SHADY ROAD         (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
11  KIVALINA Apr22 Mar17       (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 24% 3.30    
SCR  WEST LOVE Apr27 Apr13 Mar10     (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
SCR  HENRIETTA TOPHAM         (mulcahy g)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 20.00    
14  ECONOMIC HANGOVER         (joseph saffi)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00    
SCR  EASY TO LOVE May14 Apr02       (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 12% 7.30    
 
CD-4   06/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICKI ROSE May13         (matejka pavel)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF May20 Apr21       (leonard geo)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN APPLE May05         (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SHEZA SHINING STAR         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
DIVINE GRACE May05         (ewing micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
SOUTHLAWN         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
WONDER WHEEL         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
BLACK FOREST         (gutierrez fausti)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 7% 12.70    
 
CD-5   06/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASEY Mar04 Jan22       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
MAGGIE'S WILL May27 Apr29 Apr15 Mar27 Feb27 (barrett ro)ANDERSON MCKENNA 111 30.00    
CLASSY MISS May22 Apr23 Mar24 Feb28 Feb05 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
MY DADDY'S TRAINER May04 Apr15 Feb25 Jan09   (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
DANIELLA'S CAUSE May03 Mar24 Jan01     (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
MAMBO KITTEN         (medina r)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
BEL ARIA May12 Mar24 Mar11     (howard j)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
JALEBI BABY May21 Apr15 Mar23     (flint bern)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
CHROME SAVAGE Jan14         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  KITCHEN TABLE May24         (kobiskie dane)LANERIE J 125 20.00 7% 13.50    
11  VERDANDI Apr26 Feb24 Jan20 Jan01   (foley greg)RIQUELME J 118 12.00    
12  IRRESISTIBLE LADY Mar31 Feb23 Feb11     (cowans wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  PURRFECT MISTRESS May08 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 111 8.00    
 
CD-6   06/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY STREAK Mar02         (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY PHAROAH May20         (sisterson)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00    
SCR  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  RODERICK May20 Apr20       (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.00    
MUTAKATIF (IRE) Apr10 Mar19       (brown h)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00    
JAMMERS JUSTICE May03 Apr15       (gon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 30.00    
HIDDEN STASH May05 Apr13 Feb27 Jan15   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
HOMBRE May01 Feb12       (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 7% 13.00    
SECOND OF JULY May12 Apr16       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
OFFLEE NAUGHTY Mar12 Feb04       (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
ATTORNEY TIM Mar12 Feb10 Jan13     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
10  MUD PIE         (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 6% 15.10    
SCR  SPA CITY Apr22 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
CD-7   06/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURFER DUDE May07 Apr08 Jan22     (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
GUNITE         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
CONAGHER Apr13 Feb23       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Apr08 Jan15       (stewart )SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
SCR  TEJANO TWIST May07 Apr08 Mar09     (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00    
CALL ME MIDNIGHT Apr16 Mar26 Jan22     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
 
CD-8   06/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL MOMENTS May06 Apr08 Mar05     (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 1.40    
FEELING HAPPY May06 Apr10       (baker james)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
FALCONET Apr21 Mar05       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
AMANI'S IMAGE Apr28 Apr02 Mar10     (gutierrez fa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
HEARTYCONSTITUTION Apr02 Feb26 Jan23     (sharp joe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
PRINCESS ELIN May06 Apr10 Mar12 Feb12 Jan15 (ali alnaz)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
OLIVIA DARLING Apr22         (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 6% 14.50    
MERCY WARREN Apr13 Mar10 Jan22     (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  LEGERITY Apr14 Jan23       (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
10  EARLY GLOW May06 Apr07 Jan14     (mott wil)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
11  HONEY RUN Apr28 Mar16 Feb14 Jan15   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  STREET JAM May06         (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
13  NAPA CANDY May06 Apr15 Feb12     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  KHULUQ Apr16 Mar18 Jan14     (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
CD-9   06/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERSATILE Apr22 Feb19       (cano munoz)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
MUCHO MOJO Apr02 Mar12 Feb12     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
POLSAR Mar03 Feb03 Jan07     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 10.00    
GUT FEELING May05 Feb26 Jan13     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 15% 5.50    
BRONZE HALO May05 Jan29       (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 125 12.00    
NINJA WARRIOR May22         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SERGEANT RECKLESS Apr29 Mar27 Mar03 Feb17   (stall al)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
OVERSLEPT May20 Apr23       (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  TRULY MISCHIEF Apr16         (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00    
10  DECLARE THE MOON Apr07 Mar17 Feb21 Jan28 Jan08 (hawley wesl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
11  CLOSE KNIT Apr29 Feb16 Jan07     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  BIG HELLO Apr24         (she)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
13  GROUP EIGHTEEN May05 Apr07 Feb20 Jan28   (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00    
14  DEFIED May05 Feb20       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLYING FRED Apr29 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 15.00    
SCR  BLUE BONZAI Mar18 Feb19 Jan22     (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  TIWANAKU Apr22 Mar18 Feb13     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 125 1.60 18% 4.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.