Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   05/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOUMEA Apr20 Apr07 Mar14 Feb22 Feb11 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
MY FUNNY GAL Apr14 Mar22 Mar01 Jan20   (simpson shan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
FANCY GI GI Apr28 Apr14 Mar21 Mar02   (gangidino l)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 12.00    
SCR  FOXY CARMELA Apr27 Apr07 Mar16 Feb28 Feb03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50    
TANAGER Apr06 Jan24 Jan11     (bratcher ry)SCRIVER L 124 10.00    
MAYBEE A DIVA Apr14 Mar27 Mar13 Feb25 Jan25 (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 8% 12.10    
INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI Apr27 Mar31 Mar22 Mar01 Feb11 (carrete j)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  BONITA RAPIDS Apr28 Mar28 Mar15 Feb28 Feb18 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  MONGOLIAN EMPIRE Mar28 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Jan20 (alvarez ser)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
10  IKNOWYOURFACE Apr20 Mar28 Mar14 Feb11 Jan21 (bullene micha)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 8.00    
 
TUP-2   05/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLE WEST Apr11 Feb14 Jan24 Jan10   (gleason tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
SCR  ADD ON Apr26 Apr11 Mar21 Feb18 Jan20 (kenney dan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00    
SCR  COLAVITO Apr26 Apr18 Apr07 Mar07 Feb15 (silva jose )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL Apr13 Mar25 Jan25 Jan04   (chattong vi)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 10.00    
SCR  WARFRONT FIGHTER Apr27 Mar14 Feb07 Jan24   (simpson shanno)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
SKY CONFIDENTIAL Apr07 Feb10 Jan21 Jan06   (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
TWILIGHT RIDER Mar31 Mar17 Mar09 Feb17 Jan31 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ARUGULA Apr07 Mar08 Feb15     (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 122 15.00    
RENO ROY Apr11 Mar08       (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  SPEEDING STYLE Apr26 Apr01 Mar24 Feb16 Jan24 (simpson shann)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 8.00    
11  SOLEROCKER Apr20         (breashear bill)MAWING A 122 12.00    
 
TUP-3   05/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROADSIDE Apr25 Mar03 Feb07 Jan24 Jan07 (shipp micha)SCRIVER L 124 20.00 6% 14.60    
SHADYFIED Apr26 Apr06 Mar02 Jan24 Jan09 (alvarez ser)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 20.00    
INCREDIBE MO Apr27 Mar18       (whitehouse )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.00    
LETHAL ALEXANDER Apr26 Apr11       (meza franci)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
BAD BOY BILL Apr26         (gleason m)ZUNINO L 118 20.00    
TRINNI VALANTINE Apr27 Apr08 Feb01     (fearon johnath)DEONAUTH P 124 8.00    
MIZZEN POWER Apr27 Apr04 Mar23 Mar02 Jan28 (leon pris)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 17% 4.70    
TRAPALIS Apr26 Mar23 Mar02 Jan24   (belvoir vann)MAWING A 118 6.00    
SCR  KEEP IT LEGAL Apr04         (shantz coralee)GARCIA F 118 20.00    
10  DAREABIGDREAM Apr07 Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Jan28 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
11  ELIJAH SCHNELL Apr21 Feb07       (barraza rafael )NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00    
12  SUPER INTENSE Apr08 Mar23 Feb24 Feb07   (o'brie)FLETCHER D 124 8.00    
 
TUP-4   05/07/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXETER Mar25 Mar04 Jan25 Jan10   (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
OUTLAW BY NATURE Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Jan12   (oliver vict)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00    
TOP OF THE GAME Apr25 Apr01 Mar16 Mar04 Feb14 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 49% 1.10    
CIBERTRUCK Apr14 Mar30 Mar07 Feb18 Jan25 (stevens satch)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 6.00    
OSTINI Apr19 Mar16 Jan19     (weaver gord)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00    
BOB'S ALL IN Apr05 Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Jan31 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
WILLTOBELUCKY Mar30 Mar07 Jan25 Jan10   (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
BLUES RAPPER Apr28 Apr12 Apr04 Mar21 Mar10 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
SCR  MANY ROSES Apr11 Mar25 Jan21 Jan02   (bratcher ry)SCRIVER L 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
10  MONUMENTAL SEVEN Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 Jan31   (campo )FLETCHER D 122 10.00    
 
TUP-5   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE AXE SOUL Apr13         (mccartney jack)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00    
PAISLEY'S VISION Apr13         (rollins sco)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00    
NATURAL IMMUNITY Apr13         (mendez luis)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 7% 13.60    
SCATALICIOUS Apr13         (rollins scott)CARTER KYLE 121 10.00    
ARIZONA KALEI Apr13         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00    
BEYOND AWESOME Apr13         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.80 41% 1.50    
PANZER PRIDE Apr13         (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 124 12.00    
DIAMONDS DANZING Apr13         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.00    
ONE IN VERMILLION Apr13         (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
TUP-6   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIA KNOWS Apr11         (fearon john)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 20.00    
SCR  C'MON LETS SWITCH         (whitehouse )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00    
TAYLOR'S SISTER         (kenney)FLETCHER D 124 12.00    
AWESOME LADY Apr27 Apr13 Apr05 Mar21 Mar08 (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  HUDSON FLYER         (martinez silveri)MAWING A 124 10.00    
LOTSA LACE Apr21         (cuccia susa)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 10.00    
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Apr18 Mar09 Feb15 Jan26   (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
TEMPORARILY Apr11 Mar11 Feb28 Feb10 Jan17 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
DOWNTOWN CUTIE Apr07 Mar17       (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
10  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Apr18 Mar28 Mar12 Feb24 Jan06 (simpson shanno)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
11  BETTY'S BAR Apr07         (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
12  LOW DOSE Mar04 Feb04       (kenney dan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Apr20 Apr06 Mar07 Jan11   (whitehouse wilton )GARCIA F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOUNTY OF GOLD Apr20 Apr08 Mar02     (saldana reed)VERGARA P 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
SCAT ATTACK Mar08 Feb09       (rollins scott)CARTER KYLE 116 10.00    
BLUE GESSAMI Apr24 Apr11 Mar27 Mar19 Feb27 (bazurto ramon)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
BOLD INTENTION Apr21         (perren a)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
MISCHIEF MAMA Apr21 Apr11 Mar16 Feb28 Feb11 (mcfarlane d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
WORKIN NINETOFIVE Apr26 Mar24 Mar04 Feb16 Jan31 (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 20.00    
GLORIOUS DAY         (urias soto )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
WAY TO FIRE         (rollins sco)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
10  GO GO SADIE         (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 116 5.00 16% 5.10    
11  ADDYDIDIT Apr18 Mar28 Mar15 Mar04 Feb21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 116 3.00    
 
TUP-8   05/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZONA Apr18 Apr01 Mar10 Jan03   (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
PERFECT COME BACK Apr18 Apr01 Mar21 Mar08 Feb22 (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
THORN HILL CAT Mar30 Mar18 Mar10 Jan07   (asprino alf)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
TW SKIPPING STONES Apr11 Mar07       (story chad)MAWING A 122 8.00    
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Apr14 Apr05 Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 (mcfarlane d)SCRIVER L 122 15.00    
SCR  VICENTE'S SHADOW Apr25 Apr07 Mar21 Feb28 Feb04 (stevens satch)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00    
SCR  TRUTH TO POWER Apr14 Mar14 Feb24 Jan16 Jan07 (kenney dan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 15.00    
CLUB MESQUITE Apr26 Apr01 Mar21 Mar10 Feb02 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
THIRTY SECONDS OUT Mar30 Mar16 Mar04 Jan25 Jan05 (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
10  MEET JOE Apr11 Jan21 Jan03     (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
11  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Mar21 Mar10 Feb24 Jan19   (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.