Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Saturday - February 21, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(2/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(2/4/1)-(2/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2/6/1)-(3/2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(3/2/1/5)-(6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/5)-(6/3/5)-(5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/2/4)-(3/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(3/1/6)-(2/8/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/7/3/6)-(2/8/7/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   02/21/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIRBORNE ELITE Jan15 Dec27 Dec05 Aug16 Jul14 (potts wayne)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
TAPIZAR'S TEMPER Feb15 Dec13 Nov23 Oct20 Sep13 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE Jan15 Dec05 Oct22 May24 Mar16 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 123 15.00    
PANAGIOTIS Jan15 Jan03 Dec05 Nov14 Jun27 (synnefia)SANTANA JR 123 3.00    
ARI'S MAGIC Jan15 Jul30 Jun30 May26 Apr04 (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 5.00    
LAST MAN STANDING Jan18 Dec27 Nov29 Nov06 Sep28 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.00 56% 0.80    
 
AQU-2   02/21/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO SAY Feb06 Nov28 Oct16 Sep21 Aug24 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.80 26% 2.90    
GOOD BALI Dec28 Dec12 Oct08 Aug31 Jul14 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 123 15.00 9% 9.60    
MATH TUTOR Jan03 Nov22 Oct16 Sep18 Aug18 (antonuc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 8.00    
REDACTED Feb14 Jan01 Oct22 Sep18 Aug24 (synnefia)SANTANA JR 123 3.00    
RED MILLER Dec28 Nov22 Oct05 Sep12 Jun20 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
RULE SIXTY TWO Jan18 Dec06 Oct09 Aug30 Jul12 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
AQU-3   02/21/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLINT Feb14 Jan18 Dec31 Nov15 Oct18 (chichakl)VILLA FAVINHO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
FRIZZANTE Feb11 Dec04 Nov07 Oct24 Oct09 (schauer ste)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 33% 2.10    
COMMUTED Jan03 Dec06 Nov08 Sep12 Aug15 (falcone )SANTANA JR 123 3.00    
SHARP SPARK Dec27 Oct11 Aug15 Jun01 Apr06 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 121 8.00 31% 2.30    
MARKET MAVEN Feb11 Dec28 Nov25 Oct22 Sep19 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jan10 Dec05 Oct18 Aug13 Jul16 (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00    
 
AQU-4   02/21/2026 5940ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFABULATION Feb14 Jan17 Dec13 Nov07 Oct22 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR. RIPPLE Feb06 Jan10 Nov08 Aug26 Jul15 (synnefia)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 40% 1.50    
WHISKEY N SODA Jan10 Dec11 Nov20 Jan18 Dec12 (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.80    
BOB JOHN RAY Dec28 Dec05 Nov13 Oct11 Sep07 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
BREW PUB Feb14 Jan18 Jan02 Dec05 Nov13 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00    
HOURS IN A DAY Feb11 Sep27 Aug27 Aug09 Nov30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
HEY TOBY Jan17 Dec28 Oct05 Sep19 Jul30 (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 6.00    
 
AQU-5   02/21/2026 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE ACT Dec31 Dec06 Nov02 Oct04   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GOLDEN AWARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DR. SINATRA Jan10 Nov22       (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by BERTRANDO out of RIO TEJO by TSUNAMI SLEW)
TARIFF MINDSET         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of WEST PALM BEACH by SCAT DADDY)
PRINT Dec31 Nov15 Oct24     (ribaudo )SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
STREAM IT Dec06 Nov09 Oct02 Sep01   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of RIVER MAID by WHERE'S THE RING)
PAUILLAC         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
KAZ BRIO Jan18 Oct02 Sep13     (synnefias d)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ALL DAY LAWN by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
AQU-6   02/21/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($83K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LANDING CRAFT Jan04 Nov08 Oct19 Sep10 Aug07 (potts wayne)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 15.00    
SCR  YO BANANA BOY Jan17 Dec10 Nov07 Sep26 Aug09 (heath dest)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
COOL ANDY Feb05 Jan16 Nov27 Oct31 Oct08 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
RE MARKABLY Dec31 Dec13 Nov08 Sep20 Jul12 (synnefia)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
FUNNY UNCLE Jan11 Jan03 Dec05 Nov28 Nov14 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 8.00 5% 18.90    
SACROSANCT Dec13 Mar01 Dec14 Oct27 Sep22 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
BRACIOLE Jan04 Dec10 Nov07 Sep26 Aug30 (giglio )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 8.00    
 
AQU-7   02/21/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALWAYS ANGELS Jan09 Nov22 Sep25 Aug07 Jul10 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
ATARAH Jan15 Nov21 Sep13 Aug06 Apr17 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
IRISH MAXIMA Aug30 Aug02 Jun06 Apr05 Feb15 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 1.20    
RELIABLE LADY Jan22 Dec26 Oct29 Sep20 Jan18 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET BROWN SUGAR Apr06 Feb23 Feb06 Oct21 Oct09 (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
TWIRLING BEAUTY Jan22 Dec26 Nov28 Sep13 Aug04 (duggan d)SANTANA JR 121 10.00    
SCR  ALL CLASS Jan22 Dec26 Sep27 Aug20 Jul23 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00    
 
AQU-8   02/21/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($79K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINA KAY Jan10 Oct26 Jul24 Feb01 Jan17 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 19% 4.20    
SOLOSHOT Feb05 Dec28 Nov22 Nov09 Oct26 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
MUNNINGS EXPRESS Dec31 Nov23 Jun06 May17 Apr27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 53% 0.90    
JACKSON'S DIXIE Jan03 Nov28 Nov10 Oct18 Sep11 (miceli michae)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
INTENTIOUS Dec31 Nov22 Oct26 Sep19 Aug21 (duggan davi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
MAJESTIC RETURN Jan16 Dec11 Nov12 Sep11 Jul10 (schauer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
MONETARY MONARCH Nov08 Feb27 Feb06 Jan12 Dec13 (lugovich li)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 121 20.00    
 
AQU-9   02/21/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTERN COMMAND Jan04 Oct25 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
CAT FAST Nov23 Oct24 Aug22 Jun20 Feb15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80 52% 0.90    
SOLO FLIGHT Nov03 Oct20 Oct06 Sep23 Jun03 (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
KILLYBEGS KID Jan04 Nov30 Nov02 Aug25 Aug03 (terranova j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
DR. MERCILESS Dec31 Dec10 Nov10 Nov02 Sep28 (richa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00    
DAW SAMAA Jan11 Dec26 Jun22 May26 Apr24 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 20.00    
THE HERO CODE Jan23 Jan05 Nov23 Nov16 Oct26 (trites a)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
GREY ACE Jan11 Dec26 Nov29 Sep14 Jul24 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
PERFECT SHEPHARD Dec31 Mar22       (bond kevin)RIVERA R 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.