Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Wednesday - February 04, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/7)-(5/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/7)-(5/7/2/6)-(6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/6)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/6)-(6/4/5)-(4/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/6/3)-(2/6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/6/4/7)-(6/8/10/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/7)-(6/8/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/7)-(6/8/10/4)-(6/4/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/8/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/4)-(6/8/10/4/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/4)-(6/8/10/4/11)-(6/8/10/4/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/10/4)-(6/4/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/10/4)-(6/4/1/2)-(14/12/5/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/2)-(6/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/2)-(6/4/1/2)-(6/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/2)-(14/12/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (14/12/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (14/12/5/9)-(14/12/5/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (14/12/5/9)-(14/12/5/9/3)-(14/12/5/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/04/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OIL CAPITAL Nov23 Feb23 Jan25     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  COPIOUS Jan02 Nov01 Oct03 Jun07   (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
3  FREE SPIN Dec28 Nov23 Oct19 Oct05 Aug28 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR R T Nov23 Jun07       (jimenez jos)RIVERA A 115 30.00    
5  ANTIETAM Oct23 Sep20 Aug08 Nov03 Sep14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
6  GUALILLO Dec12 Nov01 Sep19 Aug09   (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
7  FROSTELLE Jan10 Aug01 Jul13 May03   (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   02/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC6 Optional Claiming ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. BRIGID'S CROSS Dec12 Nov21 Sep19 Aug21 Aug06 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
2  ADMIRAL SOL Dec07         (ortiz j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 4.00 10% 8.60    
3  BASEBALL LADY Dec26 Nov28 Nov07 Sep19 Aug07 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 123 5.00    
4  KAREY Dec27 Nov12 Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
5  DANIELLA MARIE Jan10 Dec06 Nov07 Oct05   (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
6  BELLORO Oct25 Sep12 Aug16 Jul19   (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  OHOOPEE Jan10 Nov26 Apr13     (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-3   02/04/2026 5940ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($77K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORVUS Jan17 Dec28 Nov15 Oct28 Jun21 (jimenez jos)RIVERA A 114 12.00    
2  CONCORDE SPIRIT Dec28 Nov29 Nov07 Sep20 Sep11 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.80 ★    
3  CADDIEMASTER Dec28 Oct12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00    
4  BERNING BEAUTY Dec28 Nov18 Nov04 Oct20 Sep10 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 10% 9.10    
5  SANZIO Dec28 Nov26 Nov13 Oct28 Oct15 (ferraro jam)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAD BANKER Jan15 Dec09 Nov16 Oct27 Aug27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 66% 0.50    
7  LANDAUER Jan22 Dec28 Nov29 Nov01 Oct22 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 20.00    
 
AQU-4   02/04/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCKE AND KEY Dec26 Dec11 Oct25 Sep27 Aug30 (ryerson james )CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL May03 Apr13 Feb25 Dec23 Oct20 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 121 12.00    
3  TOP GUN ROCKET Dec27 Nov21 Oct24 Aug31 Jul12 (synnefi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOXIC GRAY Jan09 Dec11 Apr05 Feb21 Jan18 (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  IGNITE THE LIGHT Dec27 Nov22 Sep27 Jun12 Apr17 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50    
6  EMIRATES ROAD Dec27 Nov21 Oct18 Feb22 Jan03 (cox h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
7  VETTRIANO (IRE) Jan09 Dec11 Oct25 Sep20 Aug03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
 
AQU-5   02/04/2026 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOME RIDE Dec26         (dutrow a)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of BAY WITCH by MINESHAFT)
2  BAFFLE Dec27 Nov29 Nov02 Apr30   (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PLEASE FLATTER ME by MUNNINGS)
SCR  BALLERINACAPPUCINA         (maker m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLIDAY'S ANGEL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  SARATOGA PARTY Dec27 Oct16 Aug16     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 18% 4.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of DELAVIE by UNION RAGS)
5  FULL OF TACT Dec27 Oct16 Sep12     (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
  (by TACITUS out of FONTANNE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  CARA FIORE Dec27 Nov02       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by MCKINZIE out of CHARLATANA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  JUST TELL ANNE Nov15 Oct16 Aug31     (handal raym)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KISS THE GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  CONTRARY MARY Dec27 Oct25 Oct04 Aug17 Jul12 (morey william)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
  (by BRIGHT LAUNCH out of CAT FIGHT by FIT TO FIGHT)
 
AQU-6   02/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOT'S DOLLAR Jan09 Nov22 Nov01 Sep20 Jul13 (rodriguez g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00    
2  FOR SOME REASON Dec31 Dec06 Nov15 Oct19 Sep20 (shivm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
3  PRINCE OF TRUTH Dec31 Nov25 Nov13 Oct14 Sep24 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 123 15.00    
4  EMERALD FOREST Dec31 Dec13 Nov22 Oct15 Sep30 (baker charl)RIVERA A 116 8.00 6% 16.10    
5  MISTER J T Dec31 Nov25 Oct15 Sep29 Sep09 (grusmark karl)GOMEZ O 121 30.00    
6  BRAVE BUCK Jan23 Jan01 Dec06 Nov14 Oct19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
7  PRINCE OF JOY Oct11 Sep20 Jun13 May16 May03 (legall r)VILLA FAVINHO 121 50.00    
8  TIZMARKUS Jan02 Nov15 Oct18 Sep13 Aug14 (ferraro )SANTANA JR 123 2.00 25% 2.90    
9  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Jan11 Dec31 Dec06 Nov07 Sep14 (shivmangal l)HARKIE K 121 20.00    
10  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Jan02 Nov25 Oct13 Sep24 Sep01 (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 12.00 17% 5.10    
11  CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN Nov07 Oct20 Sep14 Aug30 Aug01 (gittens dev)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   02/04/2026 5940ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BLUE LINE Dec26 Nov12 Sep10 Jul26 Jun07 (ortiz j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 8.00 13% 6.50    
2  FILM STAR Dec27 Nov20 Oct21 Aug22 Jul26 (rodriguez gus)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  YO DADDY Jun06 May04 Mar01 Feb06 Jan12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
4  DONEGAL SURGES Dec27 Nov21 Oct24 Dec12 Sep20 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 21% 3.70    
5  CLASSICIST Sep13 Jul13 Sep27 Aug03   (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
6  KINETIC Dec27 Mar22 Jan25 Dec21 Nov09 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
7  DREAMLIKE Dec26 Dec06 Nov08 Oct05 Sep12 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 123 5.00    
 
AQU-8   02/04/2026 4290ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACH SEVEN Dec28         (d'angelo jose )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of HIGH SPEED STEF by LIAM'S MAP)
2  ICE HOUSE         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of MORE THAN MAGIC by MORE THAN READY)
3  MANHATTAN CHROME         (cox h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DOWNTOWN MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  BOOTSY'S A RASCAL Dec31 Dec07       (schettino dom)SILVERA RUBEN 122 30.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of NOT NOW HILLARY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  POWER SPEED Sep28 Aug29       (pletcher)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by YAUPON out of FROSTY MARGARITA by FROST GIANT)
6  PROFESSOR PROTON         (hennig mark)CIVACI SAHIN 122 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ADDED UNTO YOU by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
SCR  HURRICANE KAZ Jan03 Dec06 Nov14 Oct11 Sep13 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of STORMIN SISTAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  NOWUCME NOWUDONT Jul04         (maker m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of POPSTAR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  BOUNTY BANKER Jan03         (barrow paul)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MIDNIGHT BOUNTY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
10  DIAMOND LIFE Oct17 Sep28 Aug15     (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
  (by SEVEN RIVERS out of DIAMOND FAVOR by DON B.)
11  EYE ON THE BALL         (handal r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of PIROUETTE by TWIRLING CANDY)
12  TWENTY ONE RED Dec31 Dec05 Nov14 Sep20 Aug31 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 18% 4.50    
  (by TONALIST out of CATALINA ISLAND by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  PRIDE OF THE UNION Nov22 Oct11 Aug15     (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 122 4.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of TANGLEWOOD TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
14  B THEDONALD Jan03         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by GIRVIN out of MYCRAZYXGIRLFRIEND by RACE DAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.