Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - October 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/7/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/7/9/10)-(4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/7/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/10)-(4/7/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/10)-(4/7/9/10)-(4/7/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9/10)-(4/1/5)-(10/7/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (10/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/3/1)-(10/7/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/3/1)-(10/7/5/3/1)-(10/7/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/7/3/1)-(3/2/5)-(2/8/11/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(2/8/11/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/8/11/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/11/3/10)-(2/8/11/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/11/3/10)-(2/8/11/3/10)-(2/8/11/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOSSIER Sep13 Sep04 Jul26 Jul02 Jun07 (fosdick ste)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 1.80    
LAST ROO Sep13 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun25 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 3.00 51% 0.90    
STOMPING HOTROD Aug22 Jan31 Jan17 Dec07 Nov22 (wiggins lon)ELLIOTT JANE 123 2.00    
SOUTHERN BREEZE Aug23 Aug06 Jul23 Jul04 Jun27 (ramos rafa)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 12.00 13% 6.50    
IMPROBABLE STORY Aug29 Aug20 Jul11 Jul01 May29 (king l)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 4.00    
WILD UNION Sep12 Aug29 Aug20 Jul26 May24 (ocasio osvaldo)JURADO EDDIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   10/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIESENBERG Sep19 Sep04 Jul30 Jul02 May22 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 125 3.50    
MASON A. P. Jul18 Jun26 Jun04 May21 May10 (hill f)BRYAN KERRY 123 8.00 10% 8.60    
BIG PAPER Sep17 Aug29 Aug01 May18 Feb24 (van thom)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.50 16% 5.20    
RACE DAY REBAL Sep05 Jun12 Apr28 Apr14 Mar31 (adams l)HESS SARA 123 10.00    
SCR  MOTOR CITY MENACE Sep17 Aug13 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 (heath dest)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 4.00    
BOBBY'S GIFT Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
BTP-3   10/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATIS Aug30 Jul30 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 3.50    
CHAR Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAP THE LINE Sep10 Aug30 Aug16 Jun19 May03 (lauer michael)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 2.50    
TUENDA Sep15 Aug27 Jul31 Jun14 May31 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
LAST CHANCE DANCE Sep13 Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
FEARLESS COWGIRL Sep16 Aug29 Aug12 Dec18 Oct29 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50    
 
BTP-4   10/02/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAX N' LOU Feb16 Jan03 Dec01 Oct13   (ewing mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 2.00    
ATOMIC SNOW Sep18 Sep02 Jul13 Jun26 May25 (gorostieta )FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 20.00    
COMMANDER'S COIN Jun19 May26 May13 Apr15 Nov05 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 123 30.00    
PAPA ALDEN Sep18 Aug14 Jan01 Oct31 Sep28 (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  GUNNER Jun21 Apr04 Mar01 Feb07   (reed r)ENRIQUEZ C 121 5.00    
SCR  COCKTAILS N DREAMS Sep18 Sep05 Jun01     (estvanko ri)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.00    
BALAM Sep18         (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 125 10.00 36% 1.80    
SQUEAKY CLEAN Oct05 Aug24 Aug02 Jun27 May24 (hernandez)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 30.00    
MADCAP Sep19 Aug16 Jul19 Jun28 Jun11 (alessi james)PAULY SUMMER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  CAN OF CORN Sep18 Aug20       (torres marceli)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   10/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Aug13 Sep14 Aug08 Jul23 Jul04 (bennett ro)HERNANDEZ N 123 10.00 20% 4.00    
MR. BALI Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 4.00    
KOZY K Jan09 Dec19 Nov27 Nov12 Oct28 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 114 2.50    
ENVELOPE PLEASE Aug20 Jul03 Apr03 Mar03 Feb13 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
GOT ZIP Sep18 Aug30 Aug13 Jul23 Jun19 (bates l)MOJICA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE AGENT Sep18 Aug30 Aug13 Aug02 Jul03 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.50    
 
BTP-6   10/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGAL TITAN Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 Jul23 Jun20 (haehn terr)HERNANDEZ N 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISSION MIKE Sep11 Aug18 Jul25 Jul12 Jun20 (cahill steven )PAULY SUMMER 117 12.00    
COUNT OF AMAZONIA (IRE) Jul03 Jun06 May04 Mar23 Feb23 (hess b)CASTANON L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
READY TO ROLL (IRE) Sep17 Aug23 May16 Mar13 Feb07 (van thom)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.00    
AUTHORITARIAN Sep18 Aug27 Aug07 Jul09 Dec13 (estvanko ri)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
STRIDE Sep15 Aug27 Aug12 Jun20 May29 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 6.00    
JUANITA'S EXPRESS Sep20 Jul04 May27 Mar13 Aug22 (deegan c)MOJICA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ENGLISH CHALLENGE Sep20 Aug27 Jul30 Jul04 Jun19 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Sep20 Jul31 Jun26 Apr24 Feb07 (caramori eduardo)MURGIA A 122 20.00    
10  SOME R BLESSED Sep20 Aug27 Jul30 Jul04 Jun14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.00 72% 0.40    
 
BTP-7   10/02/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALEY'S DANTE Sep03 Aug08 Jul12 Jul02   (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 8.00    
MAMAS HOME COOKING Sep18 Aug13 Jul14 Jun12 May20 (cline robe)HERNANDEZ N 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
GUESS AGAIN Sep18 Aug13 Aug01 Jul17 Jul01 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
HE IS DYNAMIC Sep03 Jun18 May16 May09 Apr10 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 4.00    
REDDEN Sep16 Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun17 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
DYNAMIC GIFT Sep18 Sep05 Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 119 3.50    
 
BTP-8   10/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMO Sep19 May31 Nov29 Nov03 Aug11 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.00    
ONE DESTINATION Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 (torres con)HERNANDEZ N 119 6.00 42% 1.40    
LYTE CRUDE Sep19 Aug22 Jul23 Jul10 Jan26 (short w)JURADO EDDIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
AMBUSHED Sep11 Sep03 Aug15 Jul11 Jun07 (ramos ben)SOSA LAUREANO 123 10.00    
SPUNS SON Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jun28 May28 (hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 15.00    
SCR  ZEN IT Sep19 Aug21 Jul04 Jan23 Oct03 (axmaker w)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
STRADIVARIAN Sep19 May16 Apr10 Mar18 Jan26 (forster g)CAMACHO JR 123 4.00    
TURF CAT Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug10 Jun03 (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  GHOST PRINCE Sep19 Sep11 Aug16 Jul30 Jul04 (quartarolo ant)PAULY SUMMER 118 20.00    
10  CHANCES TAKEN Sep19 Sep13 Aug12 May25 Feb15 (mcguire kara )GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  STARSHIP D'ORO Sep20 Sep11 Aug23 Aug10 Jul23 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  SUPERSONIC ME Sep15 Jul16 Jun13 Mar17 Feb18 (kubinova el)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 12.00    
13  FORE FLAG Sep19 Sep11 Aug08 Jul25 Jun28 (mendieta a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 15.00    
SCR  SON OF A GRAY Sep11 Aug21 Jun12 Apr29 Mar20 (gorostieta)HERNANDEZ N 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.