Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/2/4)-(7/9/4/13) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(7/9/4/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(7/9/4/13)-(6/11/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (7/9/4/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/13)-(7/9/4/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/13)-(7/9/4/13)-(7/9/4/13) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/4/13)-(6/11/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/4/13)-(6/11/3/10)-(1/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (6/11/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/3/10)-(6/11/3/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/11/3/10)-(6/11/3/9/10)-(6/11/3/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/11/3/10)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/11/3/10)-(1/5/2)-(9/3/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(9/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(9/3/6/1)-(2/6/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (9/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/6/1)-(9/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/6/1)-(9/3/6/1)-(9/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/6/1)-(2/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/6/1)-(2/6/5/3)-(6/8/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (2/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/3)-(6/8/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (6/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/4)-(6/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/4)-(6/8/7/4)-(6/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY CARA Aug29 Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 May09 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
2  BEST IMPRESSION Aug29 Aug06 Jul10 Jun07 Apr19 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  SHE'S COMPLICATED Sep18 Aug01 Apr23 Apr12 Mar15 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 0.60    
4  BROOKLYN DANTZ Aug31 Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 May11 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 15.00    
SCR  DOLCE SERA Sep14 Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 May24 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
6  RODEO STAR Aug06 Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 May02 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
 
BAQ-2   09/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDLE ON YOU Aug31 Aug06 Jul31 Jul10 May24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
2  BELLE CHERIE Apr27 Mar07 Feb16 Dec20 Oct10 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  CAROLINA SMOKESHOW Aug31 Jul31 Jul12 Jun11 May08 (quick patrick)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
4  RAGTIME SIZZLE Jul27 Jul11 Jul03 May23 Apr25 (kantarmaci)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOING FOR GLORY Aug31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun22 May17 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
6  AURORALINNA Aug15 Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 May17 (synnefias dimit)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FILLY CRYSTAL Mar29 Apr30 Apr06 Mar09 Jan31 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00    
SCR  WILL NOT BE SWAYED Aug15 Jul06 May08 Mar20 Oct06 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 120 3.50    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL CRAZY May25 Mar27 Oct26 Sep28 Jul20 (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
4  SHE'S COOL Jul31 Jul11 May24 Apr18 Apr03 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WATDOYOUSAY JOSE Aug24         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHTLOVEAFFAIR Aug30 Jun26 Dec29 Nov01   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
7  GRATEFULLY Aug20         (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
8  DELIGHTFUL FLAME Aug07 Jun20 Jul22 May16 Apr12 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50    
9  MAXALUNA Jul31 Mar28 Feb23     (nevin mi)SANTANA JR 120 12.00 30% 2.30    
10  HEY COOKIE Aug15 Jun29 Jun07 Mar30 Mar08 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
11  SHE'S A BOMBSHELL Sep13 Aug24 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 (david a)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
12  KADENA Aug17 Aug01 Jun20 May17 Mar14 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00    
13  SAILAWAY Jul31 Jul16 May30 May18 Apr23 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD WIDE WEB Aug08 Jul13       (orseno f)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
2  FOOLISH MORTAL         (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
3  LEXINGTON PIKE Aug20         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 7% 12.40    
4  FRENCH KNIGHT Aug30         (mcpeek kenne)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
5  SILVADAR Aug08         (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
6  MR BROWNS TOWN Aug20         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
7  YOU'RE LOOKIN GOOD Aug30         (green am)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
8  MAGNUM'S MACROBRST Aug07         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
9  SUPREME GOOD (IRE) Aug16 Aug01       (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119 4.50 ★    
10  NATURAL SHOOTER Aug03 Jul06       (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  THE OBLITERATOR Sep13 Jul31 Jul06     (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   09/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYSTEMIC CHANGE Aug31 Aug22 Jul16 Jun11 May18 (kantarmaci ilk)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
2  LOST IN ROME Aug20 Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 (samsundar)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 12% 7.70    
3  TIGER MOON Aug27 Aug09 Jun25 Jun06 May18 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  JACKSON HEIGHTS Aug20 Jul05 Jun08 May09 Apr13 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00    
5  RITHM NIC Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Aug15 Jul13 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Aug13 Jul16 Jun08 May10 Mar29 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00    
7  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Aug28 Aug02 Jul04 Jun07 May08 (martin car)RIVERA R 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   09/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVER HEATHER Aug07         (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COPPER CADUCEUS         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
3  WINROOSKI Sep05 Aug06 Jul03 Jun06   (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  DEFINING ROLE         (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
5  ZUBY         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
6  BLAZING BRIDGETTE         (mcpeek kenne)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00 14% 6.30    
7  CATHOLIC VICE Aug27         (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
8  GIGI CAKE'S Aug27 Jul31       (giddings m)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
9  SCORCH Aug27 Jul31       (abreu fe)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
10  AVERY'S WONDERLAND Aug16         (dutrow richar)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  HARPY Sep01         (smullen heather)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/25/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRAPPED Aug06 Jul26 Jun27 May16 May04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50    
2  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Aug21 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 May09 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  WYNSTOCK Aug22 Jul31 Jun14 Jun07 Apr06 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOTED Aug23 Jul23 Jun19 May09 Apr08 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 124 6.00    
5  TABEGUACHE Aug29 Aug06 Jun28 Jun08 May18 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 5% 18.00    
6  MR. PAPAGIORGIO Jul19 Jun20 May23 Apr13 Sep21 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  WHITTINGTON PARK Aug17 Jul11 Jun07 May17 May04 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMAZING GRACER Aug24 Jun29       (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
2  HELLO BEAUTY Aug24 Aug03 Jun14 May01 Feb28 (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MAXIMOVA by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
3  LADY DELILAH Aug24 Aug07 Jul18 Jun26 Jun04 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MARIE ANTOINETTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  NIGHT JASMINE Aug24 Jul26 Jun29 Jun05 Apr26 (de horacio)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
SCR  SKY LOW LOW Aug23 Oct20       (devaux )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of DAPHNE MOON by CAIRO PRINCE)
6  OFF SCRIPT Aug24 Jul26 Jun17 Oct05 Aug30 (walden willia)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of GOODBYE BROCKLEY by COSMONAUT)
7  CHARMEUSE         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STEVIE RUCKUS out of SHIMMERING COMMAND by TOP COMMAND)
8  IVERAGH         (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MO JUSTICE by LEMON DROP KID)
9  A. P. SLINGSHOT Sep10         (breed ronald )SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of PERFECT FREUD by FREUD)
SCR  STARSHIP PEGASUS Aug24 Jul26       (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of KHANCORD KID by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.