Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - September 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(6/3/1)-(6/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(6/5/1)-(8/5/3/6/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(8/5/3/6/10)-(4/3/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-5   WIN (8/5/3/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/6/10)-(8/5/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/6/10)-(8/5/3/6/10)-(8/5/3/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(4/1)-(2/9/12/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/1)-(2/9/12/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/9/12/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/12/10)-(2/5/9/12/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/12/10)-(2/5/9/12/10)-(2/5/9/12/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 Jul01 Feb07 (dimmett james)SOSA LAUREANO 123 1.80    
2  CENTRIFUGAL FORCE Aug13 Jul24 Jul09 Jul02 Jun19 (helmbrecht )LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 15.00    
3  JABRAN Sep10 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jun21 (spanabel r)MCKEE J 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 Jun13 May23 (guerrero s)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 4.50 39% 1.50    
5  CELTIC MISCHIEF Aug22 Aug14 Jul16 Oct03 Aug29 (cook k)MOJICA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SAY IT AIN'T SO Aug27 Aug14 Jul16 Oct03 Aug29 (cook k)MURGIA A 123 3.50    
 
BTP-2   09/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANA GRIS Aug30 Aug13 Jul27 Dec01 Aug01 (rodak geraldin)PAULY SUMMER 118 10.00    
2  OCHO'S SECRET Sep01 Aug18 Jul07 Jun17 May19 (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00    
3  LITTLE MUSIC Sep03 Aug23 Jun13 May09 Aug30 (holsapple )HERNANDEZ N 125 5.00    
4  YEHAWMEMAW Sep03 Aug15 Mar31 Mar22 Feb28 (short thomas)MURGIA A 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  LONIE MO Aug30 Aug15 Jun27 Jun12 May23 (danner do)CORREA L 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  MARKET OF STOCKS Sep03 Aug22 Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 (rodak geral)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   09/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIXITWITHFORWARD Sep10 Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 Jun20 (cook k)MURGIA A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  REDHILL Aug21 Jul24 Jul01 Jun18 Mar20 (gorostieta)HERNANDEZ N 123 5.00    
3  NICE SHOT DOUG Sep05 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 119 1.40 25% 2.90    
4  SKY KEY Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 Jun28 (melancon paul)PAULY SUMMER 118 4.00    
5  LYLA'S LUCKY BOY Sep05 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 (mendieta a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 10.00    
6  EGYPTIAN QUEST Sep04 Aug15 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 (adams l)HESS SARA 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
BTP-4   09/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD ROVER LADY (IRE) Sep05 Aug16 Jul16 Jul09 Jun19 (childs russ)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 7% 13.10    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of STRAW HAT by POSSE)
2  BETTER HAVE CASH Mar28 Jan31 Jan15 Dec21 Nov02 (alessi james)PAULY SUMMER 116 20.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BLAZING BELLA by YONAGUSKA)
SCR  TOOLBELT Sep06 Jul03 Jun11 Jun04 May11 (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 4.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  NOT THIS GAL Aug27 Aug07 Jul11 May24   (mcpeek kennet)CANNON DECLAN 121 2.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of POUND STERLING by ASCOT KNIGHT)
5  LEMON YEA         (norris mik)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of LEMON AND ICE by ICE BOX)
6  SEVEN EMMYS Aug21 Jul05 Jun04     (morey wil)CORREA L 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TOMLIN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  YOURGLORIOUSDAYLIS Sep05 Aug21 Jul30 Mar08 Feb26 (fernandez edwar)BOCACHICA O 121 5.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of HESSIAN BONFIRE by FRIESAN FIRE)
 
BTP-5   09/18/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMISTIC INCOME Aug06 Jun18       (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 120 4.00    
SCR  STATE PARK Mar08 Feb21 Nov17     (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00    
3  RUNAWAY KITTEN Feb22 Jan29 Dec28 Dec07 Oct24 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00 18% 4.60    
4  FOX CREEK Aug06 Jul26 Jun12 Nov27 Nov07 (carvalho dioc)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00    
5  COCKTAILS N DREAMS Sep05 Jun01       (estvanko ri)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  BALAM         (acevedo i)CORREA L 125 12.00 8% 11.60    
7  CAN OF CORN Aug20         (torres mar)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 8.00    
8  RANCHO Aug30 Aug15       (hernandez )HERNANDEZ N 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  OWEN'S CANDY BOY May04         (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 20.00    
10  PAPA ALDEN Aug14 Jan01 Oct31 Sep28 Mar07 (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  ATOMIC SNOW Sep02 Jul13 Jun26 May25   (gorostieta )FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 15.00    
 
BTP-6   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT ZIP Aug30 Aug13 Jul23 Jun19 Sep26 (bates l)MOJICA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENTICED BY CHANCE Aug30 Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 Jun06 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
3  C V JERSEY BEE Aug30 Jul23 Jul03 Jan25 Dec28 (gonzalez agusti)BOCACHICA O 125 6.00 30% 2.40    
4  BLAZING TONY Sep05 Jul26 Jul02 Jun13 Dec16 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
5  DOUBLE AGENT Aug30 Aug13 Aug02 Jul03 Jun07 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 2.50    
6  MR. BALI Aug27 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 4.00    
7  CANNON MAN Aug27 Aug02 Jul19 Jul03 Jun20 (orantes yon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00    
 
BTP-7   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R CLIFFHANGER Sep05 Aug08 Jul23 Sep25 Sep06 (melancon paul)MOJICA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SILVER IS A GIFT Sep03 Aug08 Jul01 Jun18 May29 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 119 4.50 ★    
3  PLAYFULASITGETS Jun28 Jun06 May14 Apr05 Mar19 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 6.00    
4  GUESS AGAIN Aug13 Aug01 Jul17 Jul01 May28 (hamm timothy)MCKEE J 123 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  MERGER Aug25 Aug07 Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 5.00 ★    
6  DYNAMIC GIFT Sep05 Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 May29 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 6.00    
7  BUCKEYE MIKE Sep05 Aug08 Jul01 May28 Apr05 (silva fern)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50    
 
BTP-8   09/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCIENCE (IRE) Aug30 Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 Jun13 (adams l)HESS SARA 123 12.00    
2  DEL MO Aug27 Aug14 Jul25 Sep19 Sep04 (orantes j)CORREA L 123 3.00 41% 1.50    
3  PICKFORD Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 Jun19 Feb02 (conto kevin)MURGIA A 123 15.00    
SCR  BOBBY'S GIFT Aug28 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 May21 (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 120 8.00    
5  MAJOR SPARKS Aug27 Aug14 Jul02 Jun20 Jan02 (estvanko ri)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00 ★    
6  AUTHORITARIAN Aug27 Aug07 Jul09 Dec13 Oct14 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
7  STITZY Aug14 Jul04 Jun20 May21 Apr06 (alessi jame)NUNEZ Y 123 20.00    
8  JURA Sep04 Aug14 Aug02 Jul02 Jun19 (baez sergi)VILLARREAL OSCAR 125 5.00    
9  BREAKWATER Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 11% 7.70    
10  BULLSEYE BUN Sep03 Aug14 Oct06 Aug31 Jul02 (green troy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  NO PROOF Sep05 Aug13 Jul31 Jul12 Jul01 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 6.00    
12  CASANOVA KITTEN Sep04 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 May21 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.