Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(5/4/3)-(2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/4/5)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/5/1)-(5/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(5/1/6)-(2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(2/6)-(3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(3/2/1)-(5/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(5/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL'S BOY Aug25 Aug06 Jun17 May28 May07 (romero jo)MARTINEZ L 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  REDDEN Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun17 May28 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
3  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER May17 May04 Apr20 Dec14 Nov22 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHY KENNY WHY Aug25 Aug06 May29 May19 Apr30 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
5  VECCHI Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  GHOST OF LONDYN Sep01 Aug18 Aug07 Jun25 Oct09 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
7  NATIONAL STORY Aug25 Aug08 Jun25 May29 May06 (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
8  VERNON'S BEST Aug27 Aug18 Aug07 Jul07 Jun17 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 10.00    
 
TDN-2   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMY'S STAR Aug27 Aug07 Jul16 Jun21 May27 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.00    
2  THELMA LUCILLE Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Aug07 Jul01 Jun16 Mar10 Feb28 (rivera r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 18.60    
4  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Aug29 Jul14 Jun02 May05 Apr09 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.80 16% 5.10    
5  BOOGIE BOOGEE Jul08 Jun16 May19 Apr23 Mar30 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jul15 Jun10 May22 Apr22 Mar24 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE WINS Sep01 Aug13 Jun26 Jun04 Apr28 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 115 2.00    
2  CHAPTER AND VERSE Sep01 Aug13 Jun21 Apr04 Mar22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 4.00 58% 0.70    
3  PAMMY SUE Aug27 Aug05 Jun26     (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 1.80    
4  DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun04 (jackson r)PARKER L 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FREEDOM PRINCESS Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jul07 May05 (morales m)PEREZ A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TO MUCH STYLE Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
 
TDN-4   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL TIME STRUTIN Aug28 Aug05 Jul28 Jul09 Jun30 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BO RUNKLE Sep01 Jun05 Feb23 Dec19 Nov29 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
3  HARD TRUTH WINS Aug26 Aug05 Jul04 Jun14 May22 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50    
4  DIOSA CATRINA Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  MALI BALI Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 Apr28 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
6  H. T. XENA Aug28 Jul01 Jun17 May21 May03 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
 
TDN-5   09/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL BLITZ Aug28 Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 May19 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 19% 4.20    
2  MOST ADORABLE Aug28 Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (yoder d)PAUCAR E 121 4.00    
3  COUNT ON ME Jun27 Jun07 May14 Apr24 Apr03 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 115 5.00    
4  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Aug28 Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May26 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00    
5  QUEEN KITTY Aug28 Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 29% 2.40    
6  CHILLVILLE Jun23 Jun07 Nov16 Oct23 Oct12 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL HISTORY Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 May28 Apr03 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50    
2  COWTOWN BOSS Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 Dec30 Sep17 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
3  DANES HEART Aug25 Aug11 Jun17 Sep12 Aug26 (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
4  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Aug29 Aug11 Jul17 Jan29 Dec30 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 ★    
5  NAMBITI Aug29 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun07 (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
6  WEEKEND BUZZ Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 8% 12.00    
 
TDN-7   09/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLOILEDCAT Jul14 Jun07 May14 Apr24 Mar13 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  I BELONG FIRST Aug12 Jun21 Nov07 Oct10   (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 25% 3.10    
3  GABADOST Aug06 Jul14 Jun21 May27 May08 (esposito c)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 3.50 36% 1.70    
4  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 May29 Jun28 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
5  MYSTICAL MOBIL Sep02 Aug12 Jul03 Jun11 May08 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
6  OVER THE FALLS Sep02 May27 May08 Apr21   (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 115 4.50    
 
TDN-8   09/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Aug18 Jul08 May28 May08 Apr10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
2  POINTOF ATTRACTION Aug26 Jun10 May22 Sep28 Aug29 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 20.00    
3  ANGEL'S DESTINY Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 (morales m)PEREZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE KID'S PRAYER Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 Jun26 Jun07 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
5  COMMISSIONER D Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 Jun16 May26 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  DOLCE MARIE Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 Jun26 Jun11 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50 15% 5.80    
7  STATE OF GRACE Sep03 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jun10 (gonzalez )MARTINEZ L 119 12.00    
8  MOBIL MEMORY Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 Jun07 May21 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.50 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.