Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - September 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (9/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/6)-(9/1/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/1/6)-(9/1/8/6)-(9/1/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/1/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(8/3/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/6)-(8/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/6)-(8/3/6/1)-(1/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-3   WIN (8/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/1)-(1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/1)-(1/7/4)-(2/9/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(2/9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(2/9/4/8)-(3/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/9/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/8)-(2/9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/8)-(2/9/4/8)-(2/9/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/4/8)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/8)-(3/6/1)-(4/6/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/7/5)-(2/1/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/3/7/5)-(4/6/3/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(2/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(2/1/7/8)-(3/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-9   WIN (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/8)-(3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   09/13/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARAVAGGIO'S SONG Jul13 Jun08 May21 Apr23 Jan28 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  KHOZANALL Sep06 Aug08 Jul26 May24   (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
SCR  CLUMSY CLAIRE         (mazza jose)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 12.00    
4  AERIALIST Jul25 Jul12 May16 Apr17 Apr06 (reynolds patr)JARA FERNANDO 119 3.50    
5  POINT TO THAT STAR Aug23 Jun07 May10 Apr11 Mar19 (maker michael )CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
6  SILVER FLAME Dec05         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRUMPS GIRL Aug09 Jun21       (alvarado diane)AGUILAR JEAN 119 6.00    
8  JERSEY JOYCE Jul20 Jul04 Aug18 Jul07   (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00 ★    
9  AUNT NONA May24 Dec15 Nov16 Jul27 Jun28 (kimmel john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
 
MTH-2   09/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ENTRY Sep01 Aug08 Aug01 Jul05 Jun14 (ortega leopol)JARA FERNANDO 124 4.00    
2  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun08 May11 (rabadan se)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 12% 7.60    
3  BRONX BOMBER May31 May03 Apr12 Mar21 Feb02 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
4  BUSTIN LOOSE Aug24 Jul16 Jun29 Jun08 Dec12 (rabadan sergio)LEON SONNY 124 3.50    
5  SWIFT TAP Aug31 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jun21 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
6  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Aug31 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun15 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DONTBESOOGROUCHY Aug31 Aug01 Jul06 Jun22 May26 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 124 6.00    
 
MTH-3   09/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILI BILLY Sep01 Aug10 Jul27     (ramirez s)VARGAS A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  VINO'S VALENTINE Aug03 Jul13 Mar09     (alvarado diane)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
3  OB LA DI OB LA DA         (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  SEXPECTATIONS Jul13 May17       (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 116 6.00    
5  GUN FIRE Jul06 May16 Dec08     (orseno jos)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 6.00    
6  RUM'S PRIDE         (pantaleo jose)JARA FERNANDO 119 10.00 17% 4.90    
7  NITRO SPECIAL Aug10         (clark a)OLVER MADISON 119 10.00    
8  OLEG Jan04 Nov30 Oct12 Aug10 Jul07 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
MTH-4   09/13/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESTLESS DREAMER Aug03 Jun20 May25 Apr12 Feb02 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by STREET SENSE out of DIVINE PRAISES by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  FADED JEANS (GB) Mar23 Nov30       (devaux ch)VARGAS A 123 4.50    
  (by KINGMAN out of MAMA TEMBU by STREET CRY)
SCR  DON'T COME LOOKING Feb20         (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DIVINE BEAUTY by DIVINE PARK)
4  SONJA HENIE Aug21 Jul20 Jun15 Dec08 Oct06 (proctor thomas)SUTHERLAND C 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of THEATRE STAR by WAR FRONT)
5  ALL NIGHT REVIVAL Aug02 Jun06 Mar22 Oct13 Sep15 (devaux cherie)LEON SONNY 119 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
6  MY DIVINE SPIRIT (GB) Jul20         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
  (by BATED BREATH out of MAID OF SPIRIT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
7  INVESTMENT PROCESS Jan21         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TANGAROO by LONHRO (AUS))
 
MTH-5   09/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE MOON TIDE Aug24 Jun27 May10 Apr13 Mar16 (owens jr)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of MIDNIGHT WITCH by LANGFUHR)
2  ROSIE'S SUGARPLUM Aug02         (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of ROSIE'S NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  INDIGO PASS Aug24         (spina charles)LEON SONNY 119 8.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of VISION IN BLUE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  BET ON BETH Aug24 Aug10 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of PADRINONEVERQUITS by EL PADRINO)
5  GYPSY STYLE Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun21 (marquez cesare)AGUILAR JEAN 123 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
6  EASTER MILLIE Jul11 Jun07 May26 May10 Sep14 (frangella jame)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of HONKY TONK LADY by LION HEART)
7  GARDEN GAL Aug24 Aug03 Jul11     (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of LILAC LILLY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  MO VITA Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 (milne joan)SUTHERLAND C 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of RIGHTFUL TIME by BODEMEISTER)
9  PURPLE LU LU Aug24 Aug02 Jun27     (servis j )VARGAS A 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by IL POSTINO out of HERE TO THE LEFT by HERE'S ZEALOUS)
 
MTH-6   09/13/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEESE Jul19 Jun28 Jun12 Jun04 Mar08 (sullivan)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BONITA DIAMOND Jul12 Jun21 May25 Apr30 Apr19 (villanueva sergi)LEON SONNY 121 4.50    
3  U KNOW WHEN U KNOW Aug01 Jun08 May25 Oct26 Oct08 (pantaleo jose)JARA FERNANDO 117 4.00 52% 0.90    
4  DRINK DEEPLY Aug08 Jun30 Jun09 May21 May04 (alvarado diane)AGUILAR JEAN 120 12.00    
5  BEAUTIFUL BOLT Jul13 Jun13 Feb14 Dec18 Nov13 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 ★    
6  LANDOFHOPEANDREAMS Aug16 Jul26 Jun26 Jun06 Aug12 (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  A COZY THING Aug24 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May17 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 116 3.50    
8  PARK AVENUE BETTY Sep01 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Apr11 (volk scott)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00    
 
MTH-7   09/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIFTY GOLD Aug14 Jul19 May25 Mar16 Jan31 (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00    
2  BROOKLYN GUY Sep01 Jul04 May25 Apr11 Feb06 (alvarado diane)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
3  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Sep01 Aug17 Aug01 Jun27 May11 (padilla e)VARGAS A 124 4.00    
4  TALKLESSWORKMORE Aug17 Jul04 Jun14 Apr24 Feb17 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  PROTECTED Aug24 Jul20 May25 Apr25 Jul06 (kimmel c)SUTHERLAND C 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
6  SPACE LAUNCH Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr06 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
7  RABBIT HOUND Aug09 Jul04 Jun15 May25 Apr11 (ward dan)LEON SONNY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-8   09/13/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Pinot Grigio Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A BOMBSHELL Aug24 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 May24 (david a)SUTHERLAND C 118 8.00    
2  MY TWO SOPHIA'S Aug24 Aug10 Jul10 Jun26 Jun01 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
3  SUMMER'S COMIN Aug24 Jul23 Jul05 Jun01 May17 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 6.00 ★    
4  BEL PENSIERO Aug24 Jul05 Jun21 May17 Mar22 (margotta antho)MOYA F 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  JEWEL OF THE OCEAN Aug24 Jul18 Jul05 Jun07 May10 (spina charles)JARA FERNANDO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIA'S CRUSADE Aug24 Jun01 May17 Sep15 Jul26 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00 26% 2.90    
7  MOLLY'S A BULLET Aug24 Jul18 Jun29 Jun15 May10 (margotta j)NO RIDER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BINGO'S BIRKIN Jul18 Jun21 May17 Sep15 Jul19 (sanchez jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
9  PRECIOUS AVARY Jul05 May24 Apr19 Nov09 Oct12 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
10  ALLISON PARK Aug17 Aug02 Jun15 May24 May10 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 117 12.00    
11  KATE'S LOVE Sep06 Aug24 Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 (bertone joann)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
SCR  STARVIEW TWINKLE Aug24 Aug08 Jul13 Jun21 May25 (mazza jose)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
 
MTH-9   09/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSATI Aug22 Aug10 Jul05 Jun07 May03 (plaza alberto)IORIO MELISSA 120 2.00 27% 2.60    
2  LITTLE SQUEEZE Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 Jun15 Jan30 (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  ALI'S HANNAH Aug24 Mar08 Feb15 Jan16 Dec14 (wilson faith)MATOS PRANDY 121 20.00    
4  SPANISH GIRL Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jun15 (crowell )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
5  CHARLUCHE Aug16 Aug02 Jul04 May29 Apr19 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 10.00    
SCR  HIPATIA Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 (harris holly)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.50    
7  WONDERFULVENEZUELA Jul19 Jun19 Apr26 Apr12 Mar28 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  EATONTOWN GIRL Aug24 Jul18 Jul05 Jun15 May17 (frangella)VARGAS A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  QUEEN CATALINA Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jun27 Jun15 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 121 5.00    
 
MTH-10   09/13/2025 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Presious Passion Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHRUG Sep01 Aug10 Jul19 Jun21 Aug17 (alvarado diane)NO RIDER 118 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRIVATE GIFT by UNBRIDLED)
2  SUMMER CAUSE Jul30 Jun28 Apr11 Feb07 Dec12 (clement m)VARGAS A 118 4.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of OUR CAUSE by ARCH)
3  DRIPPING GOLD Aug20 Jul12 Jun14 Nov30 Oct19 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of AURELIA by DANZIG)
4  FIDELIGHTCAYUT Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Jun01 May18 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 30% 2.30    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BEAM REACH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  LORD EDDARD STARK Jul19 Jun14 Mar30 Jan25 Dec07 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ROUGH WINTER by MACHO UNO)
6  HARDSPUN REASON Aug16 Jul12 Jun21 Jul14 Jun15 (motion gra)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVE'S REASON by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  VITALITY Aug16 Jul19 Jun21 May11 Dec21 (orseno f)NO RIDER 118 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BELISSIMO by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  TEE AT ONE Aug09 Oct13 Sep22 Aug02 Dec09 (alvarado diane)NO RIDER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TUNWOO out of SEACRYSTAL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.