Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - August 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/2/6/1)-(7/8/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/1)-(7/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/1)-(7/8/6/4)-(2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/4)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/4)-(2/5/3)-(3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/6/4)-(1/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/4/5)-(6/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/3/4)-(3/7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YIPPEE KI YAY Jul10 May21 May05 Sep26 Aug30 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
SCR  HEY EUGENE Aug04 Jun30 May28 May07 Apr19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
WEEKEND BUZZ Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 May17 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 20% 4.10    
G T THREE FIFTY Aug11 Jul01 May29 Apr25 Mar25 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Jul17 Jun17 Apr22 Mar12 Feb10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PECKS NOT BAD Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jul16 Jun25 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  SERENDIPITOUS Aug11 Apr10 Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
HARTSTEIN Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May17 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   08/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK ON FRANK Aug12         (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POLISH NUMBERS out of HUSHLU by TSUNAMI SLEW)
LUCKY'S PRIZE Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May20 Apr29 (baird michael)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SARAH'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
STRIKING LAD Aug05 Aug19 Aug01 Jul22 Jul02 (flores christian)PEREZ A 123 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
PAULDING FLASH Aug11 Jul29 Jul09 Jun22 Jun08 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00    
  (by MADDY BIRD out of HOW MUCH DOWN by GHOSTZAPPER)
RUN VINICIUS Aug12 Jun20       (genoves)PILARES P 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CLASSY KATHERINE by OLD FORESTER)
BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Aug12 Jul01 Jun12 May26 May14 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
TURKODANCER Aug12 Jul01 Jun03 May26 May14 (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
MUSIC MO Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 May08   (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of MO MARGARITA by UNCLE MO)
SCR  GUESS IM JUST GOOD         (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
  (by CORFU out of LAVA FALLS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
TDN-3   08/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBIL MEMORY Aug07 Jul16 Jun07 May21 May05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
COWGIRL SARA Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun16 May26 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
BETTER HALF Aug07 Jul16 Mar10 Jan23 Nov19 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
VAL'S TWINSTAR Aug11 Jul01 Jun16 May06 Nov05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE KID'S PRAYER Aug07 Jul16 Jun26 Jun07 May21 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00    
COMMISSIONER D Aug07 Jul08 Jun16 May26 Apr28 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
KETTLE KISS Aug14 Aug07 Jul16 Jun16 Jan23 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
TWISTED JUSTICE Jul16 Jun26 May19 May07 Feb12 (wolochuk d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-4   08/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPERED DREAM Aug13 Jul14 Jun21 May28 May07 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00    
RELISH THE RIDE Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 May28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
SO THAT'S THAT Aug06 Jun21 May28 May07 Feb11 (poole m)AVILES YAN 115 8.00 6% 16.20    
RED CHIPS Aug06 Jul14 Jun21 Jun04 May14 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
BRIGHTER DAY Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 May28 May14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
MISTER MOBIL Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun21 Jun02 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
SCR  SHAKE THE FROST Jul15 Jun20 Jun10 Jan30 Dec27 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   08/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSETTA Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May14 Apr28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  MANDOLIN BREEZE Aug05 Jul01 May27 May06 Nov13 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.00    
MOST ADORABLE Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (yoder d)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
QUEEN KITTY Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 Jun07 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
DRILL BLITZ Aug11 Jul08 Jun09 May19 Apr28 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00    
BRIEF ENCOUNTER Aug11 May27 May06 Sep20 Aug15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 11% 7.80    
FAITHFUL SOLUTION Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 May26 Dec18 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   08/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIGPICLITTLEPIC Aug04 Jun21 Jun06 May12 Apr22 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 1.80 31% 2.30    
RUNAWAY POWER Aug07 Jul14 Jun24 May17 Apr30 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.00    
MY VALENTINO Aug04 Jul14 Dec16 Nov14 Oct29 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00    
SGT YORK Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May29 May12 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
A VAN ON THE RUN Aug08 Jun10 Apr30 Mar30 Mar13 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 16% 5.30    
MOR STORMY Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 May17 Apr30 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 3.00    
 
TDN-7   08/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNER GABRIEL Aug14 Jun30 Jun03 Jun22 Jun07 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
MR LOOOCH Jul09 Jun07 Nov25 Oct26 Oct10 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
BIG PRANKSTER Aug14 Oct18 Sep01 Aug21 Jun28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
GAMBOLING GHOST Aug20 May19 May06 Apr08 Mar22 (dacosta jason)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 18.70    
CHOCTAW ZIP Aug14 Jun30 May27 Apr26 Mar30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
SIMPLY VALID Aug14 Jun30 Jun07 May13 Mar13 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-8   08/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAZING ZENNA Aug11 Jul17 May03 Mar31 Mar12 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
FULL TIME STRUTIN Aug05 Jul28 Jul09 Jun30 Jun03 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
H. T. XENA Jul01 Jun17 May21 May03 Mar30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
SABELLE Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 May21 May03 (castro raque)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 4.00    
TIMELY SECRET Aug11 Jul28 Jun15 Apr28 Mar26 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
BATTLE TESTED Apr29 Apr12 Mar10 Feb28 Jan24 (crumley jevon)BRACHO A 119 10.00 8% 12.20    
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Aug13 Jun10 May21 Apr07 Mar22 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 14% 5.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.