Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(7/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(7/8/6/3)-(7/8/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-2   WIN (7/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/6/3)-(7/8/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/3)-(7/8/2/6)-(6/1/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-3   WIN (7/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6)-(7/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/6)-(6/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/6)-(6/1/5/3)-(2/5/3/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3)-(6/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/3)-(2/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/3)-(2/5/3/1)-(4/5/6/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-5   WIN (2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/1)-(4/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/1)-(4/5/6/1)-(8/2/4/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-6   WIN (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1)-(4/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/1)-(8/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/1)-(8/2/4/1)-(7/1/3/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1)-(8/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/4/1)-(7/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-8   WIN (7/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/8)-(7/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/8)-(7/1/3/8)-(7/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Apr09 Apr02 Mar04 Feb10 Jan25 (christian )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRIBUNAL LOVE Apr27 Mar10 Jan30 Jan14 Dec04 (baze r)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 125 1.60    
3  QUIET CHARM Apr27 Feb23 Dec13 Nov24 Nov08 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
4  SURPRISE FASHION Apr27 Mar31 Mar20 Mar10 Feb19 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  EL BERRINCHES Feb17 Jan12 Dec10 Nov23 Nov04 (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 120 3.50    
6  SILENT DECLARATION Oct12 Sep22 Sep08 Jul28 Jul20 (bullene michael)KRIGGER K 125 15.00 23% 3.40    
 
EMD-2   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BAD BERT Apr29 Mar25 Feb12 Nov29 Nov15 (perez hilario)ALVARADO T 118 20.00    
2  ROPER Aug25 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12   (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 5.00    
3  SIR LUCAS Apr25 Mar15 Jan25 Dec15 Dec01 (koch nei)AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RAIL TOWN Apr19 Apr03 Feb28 Jan04 Jan19 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
5  WAITINGATTHEBAR Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 Jan08 Dec19 (nunnally j)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00    
6  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Apr02 Feb26 Jan23 Nov19 Oct14 (christian )MONROY FRANCISCO 122 12.00 11% 7.90    
7  PRECEDENT LUKE Apr25 Apr02 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 (tamayo isidr)OROZCO E 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
8  JACOB YEN May03 Apr02 Feb18 Jan23 Jan08 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 17% 5.10    
 
EMD-3   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YODERANDO Apr27 Nov03 Oct14 Sep30 Sep07 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 3.50    
2  THE GREAT HAYNES Mar30 Dec08 Nov30 Nov10 Nov03 (greiner ga)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 12.00 10% 9.50    
3  HAUGHTY KITTY Apr29 Mar27 Mar03 Feb13 Jan27 (perkinson c)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 4.50    
4  IT'S SAUL RIGHT May03 Apr23 Apr01 Mar19 Mar03 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
5  TOPANTICIPATION (GB) Apr27 Mar17 Jan20 Nov23 Nov03 (maravilla jo)HALDAR J 122 15.00    
6  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Apr27 Dec18 Nov30 Nov23 Nov10 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Apr29 Mar26 Mar03 Feb06 Jan27 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
8  DIAMOND DEE Apr27 Mar27 Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
EMD-4   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE BID May03 Feb11 Jan25 Dec30 Dec02 (essex charles)KRIGGER K 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
2  GYPSY GUN Sep15 Aug09 Jul27 Jun23 May26 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 4.50    
3  NO D'ORO May03 Mar09 Feb09 Jan16 Dec08 (birdwell t)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BERTACCHI Feb09 Dec15 Nov24 Oct19 Sep28 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 122 6.00    
5  COMPANY'S DREAM May03 Apr16 Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
6  MARS ON FIRE May12 Apr14 Apr07 Mar16 Feb24 (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  SQUARE CAT May03 Mar23 Feb21 Jan26 Dec08 (wright blain)HALDAR J 122 2.50    
 
EMD-5   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALY BALI Dec09 Nov19 Sep21 Sep05 Aug17 (puentes )AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 8% 11.70    
2  PINK SOLITAIRE Apr28 Apr03 Mar14 Feb14 Jan18 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  UNION HARBOR Mar24 Nov08 Oct12 Sep22 Sep01 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  ENGLISH MEADOW May03 Aug25 Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 (leonard ro)CASTILLO E 118 5.00    
5  SMILINGATTHEMOON Aug02 Jun29 May18 Apr27 Apr05 (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
6  DAME LORRAINE Apr28 Apr17 Mar26 Mar06 Feb11 (perkinson c)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 10.00    
7  CHILEAN BRIDE Apr28 Jan20 Dec06     (bean robert )OROZCO E 119 20.00    
8  POCKET KNIFE Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Nov19 Sep06 (carlson a)ALVARADO T 123 15.00    
 
EMD-6   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYSTALIZED SECRET Apr15 Mar25 Oct06     (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOONLIGHT GREY May03 Apr19 Mar25 Mar04 Sep06 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
3  SMOOCHERRO Mar11 Feb17 Feb03     (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 121 4.50    
4  HER BLIND SIDE Jul06 Jun22       (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 118 4.00 38% 1.70    
5  BELLE WEATHER Jul07         (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 118 8.00 29% 2.40    
6  SHESAYSHELLO Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Sep15 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 118 6.00 9% 9.50    
7  RIVERSIDE ROSE Apr22 Feb17 Jul07 Jun08   (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 118 20.00    
8  REBEL GAL May03 Jan27 Dec23 Dec05 Aug18 (bullock steve)COUTON JULIEN 118 1.80    
 
EMD-7   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEYJACK Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug11 Jul13 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (gibson vin)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 18% 4.50    
3  WHISKEY HARBOR Mar22 Oct14 Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 (lucarelli fr)RICHARD RONALD 122 20.00    
4  TOWN PERFORMER Oct11 Sep14 Aug10 May11 Apr21 (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.50 6% 15.40    
5  PERFECT DUDE Mar22 Feb11 Jun23 May04 Apr13 (gibson vince)ALVARADO T 122 10.00    
6  NAVAL ESCORT Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 May26 Sep17 (martinez david )CRUZ M 122 8.00    
7  EXECUTIVE CHEF Sep15 Aug17 Jul28 Jun30 Jun07 (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 122 3.50    
8  SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (wenzel tom)COUTON JULIEN 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
EMD-8   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3 F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAE ALLANNAH         (trujillo vic)HALDAR J 122 10.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  LOVELY STORY         (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 122 4.50    
3  TIETON RIVER Sep14 Aug31       (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOTSA SALITA May03 Apr15 Mar13 Mar03 Feb03 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
5  BEDOWNTOMESSAROUND May03 Jul28       (thomas jam)CASTILLO E 114 20.00    
6  EMERY'S ROSE Sep15 Sep06 Aug18 Aug10   (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00    
7  ROMAN BRONZE May03 Mar30 Mar07 Jan31   (maravill)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  LOVINGKINDNESS Jul07         (martinez david)ALVARADO T 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DYNAMIC FIRE May03 Aug25 Aug09     (birdwell tena)COUTON JULIEN 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.