Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - May 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(3/1/5)-(6/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(6/2/1)-(7/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(4/6/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/3/1)-(7/2/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(4/6/5/7)-(3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/7)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/7)-(3/5/6)-(1/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/2/7/3)-(7/6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(7/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-8   WIN (7/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/3)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/3)-(3/5/1)-(5/6/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-10   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIMROCK LAKE Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul12 Jun07 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
2  BEER BEGONE Apr16 Mar25 Feb26 Feb04 Jan15 (silva-mart)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 5% 18.70    
3  HE'S INIT TO WINIT Apr02 Mar18 Feb20 Jun08 May18 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
4  GIANOLA Feb21 Dec08 Nov15 Oct26 Oct12 (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 3.00    
5  PARK ROAD COWBOY Apr27 Mar23 Mar09 Aug24 Jul20 (greiner gary)MORENO JAIRO 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GETEMDUSTY Apr02 Feb16 Jan16 Nov30 Nov02 (crowe shelly)KRIGGER K 125 2.00 69% 0.40    
 
EMD-2   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MAFIOSO Sep08 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun16 (patino fausti)COUTON JULIEN 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  FIFTY CINCO Dec07 Nov30 Oct04 Sep07 Jul20 (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 4.00    
3  OWHATARUSH Jan25 Dec31 Dec18 Nov25 Sep15 (wisdom anne)KRIGGER K 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  LONG LANCE Aug11 Jun30 Jun08 Apr28 Feb16 (martinez david )CRUZ M 122 3.50    
5  MISTER MIDAS Aug04 Jul12 May26 May11 Jun25 (wright)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROLLIN DICE Nov24 Nov10 Oct19 Aug17 Jul06 (wright blaine)DURAN F 122 5.00    
 
EMD-3   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROY HOBBS Mar15 Aug05 Jun18 May27 May04 (maravill)AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOONLIGHTNWINE Sep01 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 (gibson vince)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  MR. FIGHTER Mar09 Feb09 Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 117 10.00    
SCR  A SKIP IN THE PARK Sep15 Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 (wenzel tom)DURAN F 122 3.00    
5  AWESOME MOVE Aug09 Jul26 Jun16 Jun01 Feb22 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 122 12.00    
6  GUNNIN FOR GOLD Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 Jul07 Jun07 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  DON'T HIT ME BASH Apr19 Dec15 Dec08 Nov09 Oct04 (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50    
 
EMD-4   05/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY GRACIOUS Aug09 Jul19 Jun30 Jun01 May11 (wright blain)HALDAR J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CODE RIBBON Nov03 Sep22 Aug16 Jul27 Jun08 (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  A ROUSING BABE Nov30 Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug16 (wright blaine)DURAN F 122 3.50 ★    
4  AFTER MY OWN HEART Feb09 Nov30 Nov08 Oct12 Sep14 (maravill)AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00    
5  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Feb13 Jan16 Dec27 Dec03 Nov11 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 4.50    
SCR  HARNEY LANE Apr19 Mar08 Feb08 Jan20 Dec18 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
7  BROOKYS GAL Apr10 Mar08 Feb12 Jan24 Dec30 (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
EMD-5   05/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIDDEN TIGER Mar24 Feb26 Feb11 Jan29 Jan06 (birdwell ten)MARTIN A 125 3.50    
2  PINEAPPLE CRUISE Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Oct04 Sep14 (trujillo m)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.50    
3  BOB'S VAI Jun16 May12 Apr28 Mar30 May19 (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
4  INFINITE LOVE Feb24 Feb10 Jan14 Jan02 Dec11 (silva-mart)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  BET THE CHALK Mar18 Feb17 Jan17 Nov29 Oct05 (peery debbie)COUTON JULIEN 125 6.00 17% 5.10    
6  ACCLAIMED PREACHER Feb09 Dec18 Nov23 Oct19 Sep14 (trujillo marcelino)DURAN F 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
7  VHAGAR Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Oct05 Sep29 (bean a)CRUZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHELBY SHORTSTOP Mar26 Feb13 Jan27 Jan02 Dec10 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 122 20.00    
 
EMD-6   05/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR Aug24 Aug09 Jul03 Jun16 May11 (wright)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 2.50    
SCR  BUMPING RIVER Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
3  AUTISM INSPIRATION Apr27 Mar17 Feb17 Jan23 Nov17 (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 118 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  ELWOOD ROAD Dec15 Apr07 Mar17 Feb25   (thomas ruby)KRIGGER K 122 4.50    
SCR  BRING A SMILE Mar24 Feb20 Jan30 Dec17 Jun09 (gibson vin)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  POP CHART Sep01 Aug11 Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 (madrigal elo)MARTIN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOT BETTY Jan25 Dec18 Nov08 Oct25 Oct11 (thomas jamey)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
EMD-7   05/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVOIR Mar11 Dec27 Nov17 Oct18 Apr18 (wright blain)HALDAR J 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  HALFWAY TO NOWHERE Mar02 Jun02 Aug31 Jul28 Jun04 (thomas j)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50 19% 4.10    
3  KISS OF SPICE Jun02 Apr22       (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 12.00 11% 7.70    
4  NATION'S BELLE Sep15 Sep06 Aug04 Jul03 Jun16 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 122 8.00    
5  CLASSIC AMERICAN Sep01 Aug04 Jul14 Jun22   (martinez b)MATIAS J 122 4.50    
6  CLUBHOUSE DRAMA Apr10 Mar12 Feb06 Jan15 Mar04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00    
7  SPECIAL DIVA Sep01 Aug11 Jun15 Jun02 May11 (gibson vin)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 12% 7.60    
 
EMD-8   05/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOWIE Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 May04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 12% 7.50    
2  HE'S NOT TALKING Aug25 Aug11 Jul07     (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 119 4.00    
3  TIZ'S HARBOR Mar17 Feb07 Dec07 Nov23 Oct27 (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DA SMOKE Jan28 Jan16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul07 (wisdom anne)KRIGGER K 119 6.00    
5  CHECKERED FLAG Dec07 Nov23 Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 (wright blain)OROZCO E 119 12.00    
6  CANDY CABALLO Jan17 Dec27 Dec10 Sep15 Aug11 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 3.00 15% 5.70    
7  SI THAT TIGER Sep15 Aug04 Jul13 Jun09   (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
EMD-9   05/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIREWALKER Sep07 Aug25 Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  TOUGHERTHANTHEREST Sep14 Aug11 Jul13 Jun16 Jan14 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50    
3  ELDER MACK Sep07 Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 (wright blain)HALDAR J 122 3.50 39% 1.50    
4  VERITAS AEQUITAS Feb22 Jan26 Dec18 Nov23 Nov09 (markle dan)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
5  DYNAMIC SECRET Aug11 Jul28 Jul03 Jun15 Jun01 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 122 1.80 25% 3.00    
6  GRACEFUL MISCHIEF Mar09 Dec18 May26 May11 Apr28 (thomas rub)CASTILLO E 117 12.00    
 
EMD-10   05/11/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THECHIEFHASTRICKS Oct12 Sep22 Jun09 May04 Apr14 (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 120 12.00    
2  FURYS GIFT Aug23 Jul27       (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALLANTE Sep14 Aug31 Jul12 Jun23 May25 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  K V CANDY Apr02         (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 125 4.00    
5  TIGERSUN Mar09 Jan16 Dec15 Nov30 Nov09 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 125 2.00 62% 0.60    
6  R D STIMULUS Feb10 Jan24 Dec28 Dec19 Sep23 (baze r)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 125 10.00 6% 16.10    
7  EL GOLOSO Feb07 Dec15 Nov23 May04 Apr12 (de pa)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 20.00    
8  FIRST ENDEAVOR Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jun29 (bullock st)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.