Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - May 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/5/2)-(2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/4/1)-(2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2/5)-(2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/2/6)-(6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY CUT Dec09 Nov16 Sep01 Oct06 Aug17 (brown h)AVILES YAN 123 3.50    
FABULOUS PHILLY Jan03 Dec06 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 (tomlinson ron)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
COMPUTADORA (ARG) Apr23 Mar13 Feb27 Jan31 Jan17 (brownfield clau)MOJICA JR 125 2.50    
NEUTRAL CAUSE Jan11 Nov25 Oct16 Sep13 Aug23 (axmaker w)MURGIA A 123 4.00    
SERENE WATERS Mar20 Feb21 Feb06 Jan01 Dec07 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 1.80 71% 0.40    
 
BTP-2   05/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERMANENT PROBLEM Mar21 Mar01 Jan29 Jan15 Dec20 (alvarez yimi)PAULY SUMMER 114 3.50    
OUR PRAYER Mar20 Feb27 Jan17 Jan02 Nov07 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00    
KOZAK SPIRIT Apr02 Feb16 Feb07 Jan25 Dec13 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 5.00    
KRICKLE Mar26 Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 Oct16 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
SHAMU Apr12 Mar28 Mar02 Feb19 Jan29 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 123 4.00 10% 9.00    
 
BTP-3   05/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATITA SUAVE Mar29 Mar14 Jan29 Jan18 Aug29 (walsh d)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.00    
NO LACA CHARM Apr23 Nov07 Oct14 Aug06 Jul03 (brownfield )JIMENEZ J 123 6.00 6% 15.10    
ALL ABOUT ME Apr22 Mar06 Sep22 Aug18 Aug01 (radosevich sh)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Dec26 Nov10 Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 (edwards william)MURGIA A 123 5.00    
LADY LIVERMORE Mar28 Feb24 Feb01 Dec28 Nov29 (armstrong ste)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
C F V TU BRUTUS Apr23 Apr02 Mar14 Feb28 Feb03 (castillo jab)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   05/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTAKE Feb23 Jan25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug07 (waltermire br)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
INNER HARBOR Jan25 Nov21 Oct04 Sep07 Jul05 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 125 3.50 52% 0.90    
RAINBOW TROUT Mar10 Feb19 Jan14 Nov18 Feb26 (brooks gerald)SOSA LAUREANO 125 10.00    
MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Sep17 Aug09 Aug01 Jun27 Apr24 (orantes r)HESS SARA 125 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  JANUARY JUBILEE May03 Mar12 Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 (sherman justin)JURADO EDDIE 125 8.00    
LA TOURISTA Apr22 Apr09 Mar18 Feb24 Feb04 (brooks gerald )PAULY SUMMER 120 4.00    
LIGEIA Mar26 Mar12 Feb23 Sep05 Aug23 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 125 5.00    
 
BTP-5   05/10/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KOHAKU Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Jan25 Jan08 (alessi ja)CORREA L 123 6.00    
SNOW KING Feb28 Feb05 Jan25 Dec04 Oct30 (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  NO TELLING Apr27 Mar21 Mar01 Jan12 Dec22 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 3.00    
CRUISIN AND BOOZIN Mar14 Feb21 Jan25 Nov13 Oct31 (jarvis kathy)ASHTON GAVIN 123 2.50    
CEEBEE Apr25 Mar26 Mar06 Feb14 Jan23 (lucas wayne)SOSA LAUREANO 114 5.00 5% 19.00    
LAST CHANCE LUIS Mar27 Mar05 Feb07 Dec13 Oct27 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 119 3.50    
 
BTP-6   05/10/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUND THE CHARGE Apr20 Mar27 Mar05 Feb13 Jan30 (ciardullo r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 1.80    
MASON A. P. Mar27 Mar12 Nov27 Oct29 Aug02 (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  BREADMAN May03 Apr12 Apr02 Mar15 Mar01 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 6.00    
WHERE IS LISA Apr26 Mar19 Mar05 Feb06 Jan15 (antonuik jerry)PAULY SUMMER 118 8.00    
FERRARI KID Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 Feb10 Jan15 (brooks gerald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.50    
AZURE SKY Apr23 Apr06 Mar23 Mar14 Mar01 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
BTP-7   05/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENTY B         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by UNIFIED out of FIT FOR A LADY by FIT TO FIGHT)
RACHEL'S KID         (clark le)SERPA ANGEL 121 10.00 13% 7.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SOUTHERN SWEETNESS by SOUTHERN HALO)
LARKSONG Mar06 Feb06 Jan17     (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 3.50    
  (by SHANCELOT out of PROUTS by GIROLAMO)
SCR  PAT'S BUTTON Apr11 Mar13       (lucas wayne)SOSA LAUREANO 125 2.50    
  (by LEA out of SHINING KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  CREATOR OF MAGIC         (reed r)MCKEE J 121 4.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ULLAPOOL by LANGFUHR)
VILEY LANE         (mckeever andre)ASHTON GAVIN 125 8.00 13% 7.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of WHISTLE SALUTE by HONOUR AND GLORY)
BARBIE B Mar12         (rodriquez )HERNANDEZ O 121 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BLUE COLLAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
BTP-8   05/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTA BOY ANTHONY Mar29 Mar12 Feb11 Feb01 Jan16 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 4.50    
AMERICAN PURE Mar13 Feb14 Jan30 Dec16 Nov06 (barker w)MCKEE J 123 5.00    
YES I'M A BEAST Nov16 Oct12 Sep13 Jul28 Jun16 (crichton roha)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00    
SHAKIN LOOSE Apr09 Mar21 Feb28 Feb07 Jan03 (molloy thomas)ELLIOTT JANE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWAYBACK JACK Apr15 Mar27 Mar07 Feb14 Feb01 (nocero ca)CORREA L 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
REAL NAUGHTY Apr21 Mar27 Mar04 Feb11 Dec30 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 2.00 69% 0.40    
SCR  ONE FOR MY BROTHER Apr16 Mar29 Mar08 Feb14 Feb01 (vosler eugene)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.