Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - May 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(6/4/5)-(6/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/1/4)-(5/2/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/2/7/1)-(4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/1)-(4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/1)-(4/3/7)-(6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(6/1/7)-(2/1/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMBLING Apr13 Oct29 Oct03 Sep15 Aug25 (boyce mic)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 113 4.50    
2  MARK MY MEMORY Apr17 Sep26 Sep15     (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 118 4.00 ★    
3  FRONTIER MARSHAL Oct03 Sep15       (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 5.00    
4  LONE RETURN Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 Aug04 Jun30 (dizeo din)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
5  JUSTAWALKINTHEPARK Apr06 Mar13 Jan27 Dec29 Dec07 (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 3.50    
6  RED RIZZLER Apr10 Mar30 Nov14 Oct31 Sep19 (rosas rigo)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
HAW-2   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYZELLA Apr10 Mar27 Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 (spagnola )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00    
2  CHIQUITA REINA Apr04 Mar14 Feb14 Jan18 Dec20 (haran john)FELIX E 122 4.00    
3  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Feb02 Sep19 Aug15 Jun23 May12 (simpson dani)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
4  THUNDER KIN Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 Aug04   (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 116 8.00 22% 3.50    
5  SHE STOPPED SHORT Apr09 Mar26 Mar09 Feb05 Jan03 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS MIKOS Mar14 Oct03 Sep12 Jun01 May18 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.00 41% 1.50    
 
HAW-3   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZA TAXI Oct06 Aug27 Jul09 Jun08 May25 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  CORTESE Apr06 Jan30 Jan05 Oct17 Sep12 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.00    
3  KING ANTHONY Mar30 Mar08 Feb15 Jan18 Aug24 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
4  IT'S BOBS BUSINESS Apr06 Oct13 Sep26 Aug31 Aug17 (berndt jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  VICTORIOUS VANDA Sep26 Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 Jul03 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00    
6  LUNDBERG Apr06 Mar22 Feb17 Jan04 Sep19 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
HAW-4   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY HILL Sep29 Sep12 Sep05 Aug20 Jul30 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIT AND FAMOUS Mar12 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Sep28 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
3  MISS SAIPAN Apr13 Oct06 Sep05 Jul14 Jun20 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 4.00    
4  DIXIE PENNY Apr13 Mar30 Feb16 Jan24 Dec21 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
5  LOST SUNSET Sep29 Sep12 Aug18 Aug08 Jul18 (kirby fran)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  SHIP IT Apr03 Mar16 Feb28 Dec14 Oct19 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
7  GO STORMIN GIRL Apr17 Mar27 Dec08 Nov05 Sep29 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
HAW-5   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLAZINGLY Mar30 Mar09 Jan24 Dec21 May11 (simonovich daniel)FELIX E 122 10.00    
2  PALACE MAGIC Apr17 Mar30 Dec08 Nov12 Oct21 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
3  RAINY MOUNTAIN Jul21 Jun30 Jun01 May19 Apr14 (kirby fra)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
4  A REAL HERO Apr13 Mar15 Dec08 Oct31 Oct05 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.20 42% 1.40    
5  HEAVENLY HASH Apr13 Mar27 Oct26 Oct13 Sep29 (spagnola ida)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
6  LADY ATLANTIC Apr17 Sep22 Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 (ryan chri)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 15.00    
7  RUNNERS HEAT Apr17 Oct13 Sep29 Sep22 Sep05 (wilson sh)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 5% 17.60    
 
HAW-6   05/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKEITAWAY Apr20 Oct29 Oct06 Aug25 Jul14 (boyce michele)FELIX E 116 5.00 16% 5.40    
2  ALL ABOUT TONITE Apr20 Mar30 Feb17 Jan16 Dec26 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00    
SCR  LAST MINUTE Jul14 Sep03       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00    
SCR  CANYON SHADOWS Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Jul07 (kirby fra)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00    
5  PLUNDER Apr10 Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 Jan24 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
6  PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Apr24 Oct19 Oct05 Aug25 Jul30 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
7  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Apr10 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 Sep19 (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   05/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE THUNDER Apr06 Feb07 Dec13 Oct03 Sep01 (young r)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  MCMONEY Apr20 Jan26 Jan04 Dec12 Sep12 (banks chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  GLOBAL EMPIRE Apr20 Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
4  NULLARBOR Mar15 Feb17 Jan24 Jan05 Oct23 (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
5  CHAOS REIGNS Apr20 Mar30 Feb14 Jan05 Sep26 (divito p)FELIX E 122 4.50    
SCR  CODE RUNNER Apr20 Apr06 Nov02 Oct18 Oct06 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 6.00    
7  LINE TO GAIN Apr17 Mar27 Feb01 Jan17 Nov04 (villalobo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 15.00    
8  EUCLID AVENUE Apr06 Mar15 Feb28 Feb03 Jan17 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.