Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - April 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/3)-(5/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/3)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(3/4/5/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/4)-(3/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/4)-(3/4/5/2)-(1/9/10/6/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(1/9/10/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/2)-(1/9/10/6/11)-(10/4/1/5/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-6   WIN (1/9/10/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/6/11)-(1/9/10/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/6/11)-(1/9/10/6/11)-(1/9/10/6/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/10/6/11)-(10/4/1/5/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/9/10/6/11)-(10/4/1/5/8)-(7/3/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-7   WIN (10/4/1/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/1/5/8)-(10/4/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/1/5/8)-(10/4/1/5/8)-(10/4/1/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/1/5/8)-(7/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/4/1/5/8)-(7/3/6)-(4/6/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-8   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  Z BOGDAN         (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 117 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL FLUSH HEARTS         (boniface kevin)TORREALBA JG 117 15.00    
FORTHELOVEOFRUN Apr06 Jun05 Apr17 Apr05   (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 4.00 30% 2.40    
CASEY N PAP Nov09 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 Aug02 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00    
PRETTY JIMMY Dec14 Nov01 Oct11 Sep06 Aug17 (cooney susa)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIRMANTOWN Mar20 Feb14 Jul22     (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 117 3.50 47% 1.10    
ITALIANO KID Mar14         (flores ir)CARRASCO R 117 8.00    
SEVERN RUN Mar21 Feb21 Jan26 Dec21 Dec01 (capuano ph)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 107 2.50    
 
LRL-2   04/13/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT-12:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR CHANCE A LOT Mar22 Feb15 Jan26 Dec22 Dec01 (mcmahon hu)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 107 5.00    
SCR  TUFF LUCK Feb14 Jan24 Dec21 Nov09 Jul24 (mcmahon hugh )RODRIGUEZ YAN 117 5.00    
NOTMYFIRSTRODEO Mar21 Feb23 Feb01 Dec20 Nov17 (salzman timoth)TORREALBA JG 121 3.00    
IT'S NOT OVER YET Mar23 Mar06 Nov06 Oct23 Oct08 (reed a)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MILLIBAR Mar23 Feb23 Jan09 Nov17 Oct16 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 121 4.50 26% 2.80    
URBAN SYMPHONY Mar22 Feb15 Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
FLASHY DUDE Mar21 Feb23 Dec01 Nov17 Oct10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00    
RICK'SWARMHEART Mar22 Feb14 Dec05 Nov13   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
 
LRL-3   04/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARMARIS Mar28         (magee kiero)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 113 2.50    
HAPPY HOUR JOKER Mar28 Mar02 Dec08 Nov15   (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 2.00    
RASTA GIRL Feb23 Feb09 Jan23 Dec29 Oct24 (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 117 6.00    
FEEL THE BOLT Oct25 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 (mohan david )BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
ANOTHERHOPE Mar14 Feb16 Feb09 Aug16 Jul27 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 117 3.50 21% 3.80    
KOBE'S HOPE         (boniface kevin)TORREALBA JG 113 10.00 17% 5.10    
NUN GIMEL HAY PO         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 126 8.00 17% 5.10    
SEVEN'S MAGIC Feb16 Feb09 Jan24 Dec13 Nov30 (mohan r)CRUZ ANGEL 117 15.00    
 
LRL-4   04/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUFF THE PILLOW Mar02 Dec29 Feb11 Dec29 Nov24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
STATES UNITED Mar07 Jul06 May27 Apr12 Feb25 (magee kiero)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 3.00    
TRUE FAITH Mar07 Feb14 Jan25 Dec20 Aug24 (walter)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00    
MAX BARLEY Mar13 Dec11 Nov20 Oct21 Aug30 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
BETTA GO GO GO Mar28 Mar07 Feb02 Dec27 Dec14 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 126 2.00 35% 1.90    
GREY FLANNEL BOSS Mar09 Jan31 Dec01 Oct25 Oct04 (hohlbein kerry)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 12.00    
TETCHED Mar21 Feb21 Feb01 Jan17 Dec13 (eubanks an)SANCHEZ J 117 5.00 14% 6.40    
 
LRL-5   04/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE DREAMS Mar02 Feb09 Jan31 Jan16 Dec14 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.00    
PUDGE BOY PALACE Mar23 Mar07 Feb14 Jan25 Dec22 (corrales )BETANCOURT R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BYK Mar20 Jan18 Jan03 Nov27 Nov02 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00 40% 1.50    
JESTER'S SONG Aug17 Jul15 Jun17 May16 Apr12 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
B WEST Mar21 Feb21 Feb07 Jan17 Dec29 (corrales j)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 113 8.00 11% 8.10    
WHISKEY AND YOU Mar29 Mar09 Feb28 Feb21 Feb01 (peacock m)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50    
BACKNTHEWOODS Sep15 Aug30 Aug11 Jul21 Mar24 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
SCR  KEITHSENDSHELLOOOO Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Jan28 Nov27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
SCR  ONE WAY FARRIOR Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan08 Dec12 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 20.00    
SCR  KING'S RIVER Apr04 Mar07 Feb28 Feb07 Jan18 (magana j)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 15.00    
 
LRL-6   04/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Mar07 Feb09 Dec27 Dec01 Sep29 (alvarado)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 6.00 41% 1.50    
BISHOP MEADE Mar23 Mar15 Oct24 Sep13 Sep04 (cooney susa)DEL SARA 110 20.00    
IRISH NITRO Mar28 Feb22 Jan08 Dec27   (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
UP IN FLAMES Mar23 Feb15 Jan26 Dec27 Dec01 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 113 12.00    
SCR  MO JOKE Mar28 Feb13 Jan25 Dec04   (bailes robe)RODRIGUEZ YAN 119 8.00    
BAD BOY BLAZE Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Oct24 Oct03 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 117 8.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  ZERO BLITZ Mar21 Mar07       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 117 3.00    
ENABLER Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Dec20 (salzman timothy)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 15.00    
IT'LL DO Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Nov14 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.50 18% 4.40    
10  TWICE GOLD Mar28 Feb21 Jan25 Dec20 Dec01 (mcmahon hu)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 116 5.00 8% 12.10    
11  DADDY YANKEE Mar07 Feb23 Jan25 Dec22 Dec01 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  HONORS DUE Mar22 Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 Nov15 (salzman e)MONGAN COREY 103 50.00    
13  UNCLE GEORGY Mar28 Feb21 Dec19 Dec04 Nov10 (meister willi)CHAVEZ ANDRES 126 15.00    
SCR  KAZ CREED Mar21 Feb07 Dec27 Dec07   (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
SCR  STAY FUNNY Mar18 Feb24 Feb11 Jan29 Jan07 (perez rupert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00    
 
LRL-7   04/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN GLOW Feb16 Jun09 May12 Apr19 Mar10 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 10.00 12% 7.10    
MAJESTIC CREED Feb16 Dec31 Nov15 Oct19 Oct06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00    
MALIBU MOONSHINE Mar08 Dec21 Nov15 Oct12 Aug29 (beattie m)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
STOP THE CAP Mar21 Feb16 Jan24 Dec29 Nov17 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
LOVELY CHARM Mar21 Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Dec07 (gonzalez c)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
GINGER GIRL Mar08 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 Aug24 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 15.00    
SCR  BAILINTIN Apr12 Feb15 Feb07 Jan26 Dec29 (sanchez-sal)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
DON'T TELL KELLY Mar21 Jan18 Oct24 Oct06 Aug31 (cox kenneth )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD DIGGING BROAD Mar08 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Oct19 (vera mi)BRICENO GREGOR 123 6.00    
10  TAKETHEMONEYHONEY Mar15 Feb22 Jul10     (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 123 1.60 51% 1.00    
 
LRL-8   04/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($63K) 3 ALL PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAXTON Mar15 Feb14 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 1.80    
BARBADIAN RUNNER Feb22 Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 Oct25 (walters henry)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.50    
DO IT FOR MICHAEL Mar15 Nov09 Oct12 Sep14 Aug03 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  ARTILLERY GUNNAR Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Jan24 Dec14 (corrales j)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 107 20.00    
SCR  BRIGHT CHARGER Apr05 Feb27 Jan13 Dec20 Dec01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 15.00    
REGGIE RUNS ROGUE Dec07 Sep28 Aug30 Aug02   (nixon just)SANCHEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S HAMMERTIME Nov02 Oct09 Sep11 Jun05   (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 121 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
LRL-9   04/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINED TO DANCE Feb28 Dec29 Aug24 Aug17 Jul21 (corrales jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
CANDY CRAZE Apr06 Feb28 Feb07 Dec07 Nov15 (frock charles )TORREALBA JG 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
MADDIE TEN Mar23 Feb23 Feb01 Jan10 Dec29 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 4.50    
SPIRITED RIDE Mar05 Feb10 Jan08 Oct25 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.50 34% 1.90    
JUST GREAT Mar28 Sep19 Sep04 Aug11 Jul08 (magee kieron)PEREZ XAVIER 126 3.00    
SHINING SPIRIT Mar23 Feb28 Feb08 Jan18 Dec06 (gorham michael )MENA E 126 2.00 26% 2.90    
VELVET VIXEN Mar14 Feb23 Jan13 Dec19 Dec06 (vera migue)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 116 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.