Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/9/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/8)-(1/9/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/8)-(1/9/10/8)-(1/9/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/10/8)-(2/9/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/10/8)-(2/9/6/5)-(2/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5)-(2/9/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/6/5)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/5)-(2/5/6)-(6/4/1/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/4/1/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(6/4/1/8/7)-(1/8/6/9/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/4/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/8/7)-(6/4/1/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/8/7)-(6/4/1/8/7)-(6/4/1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/1/8/7)-(1/8/6/9/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/8/7)-(1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (1/8/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/6/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/9/5)-(1/8/5/7)-(10/5/9/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (1/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/7)-(1/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/7)-(1/8/5/7)-(1/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/7)-(10/5/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/7)-(10/5/9/6/2)-(3/8/2/4/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (10/5/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/9/6/2)-(10/5/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/9/6/2)-(10/5/9/6/2)-(10/5/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/9/6/2)-(3/8/2/4/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/5/9/6/2)-(3/8/2/4/10)-(3/5/9/1/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (3/8/2/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/4/10)-(3/8/2/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/4/10)-(3/8/2/4/10)-(3/8/2/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/2/4/10)-(3/5/9/1/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/5/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/1/6)-(3/5/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/1/6)-(3/5/9/1/6)-(3/5/9/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EUPHIMA (ARG) Mar14 Feb08 Dec12 Nov16 Sep21 (klesaris steve)LEON SONNY 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  TRIPLET Apr04 Mar05 Jan31 Dec27 Dec13 (lusk r)HESS SARA 123 30.00    
3  THEE NEW BEGINNING Apr06 Feb19 Feb05 Dec08 Oct25 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.00    
SCR  SASSY BABE Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 Jun19 May29 (simone micha)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 20.00    
SCR  GO JOCELYN GO Feb28 Jan19 Dec13     (amaya gust)URDANETA J 118 15.00    
6  CHILLING FACTOR Mar28 Feb23 Feb14 Jan12 Dec29 (fisher david)CAMACHO SAMY 123 15.00    
7  LOVIELEE Mar22 Mar05 Feb12 Jan31 Jan10 (gardea abra)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 15.00    
8  GO GO STAR Apr04 Feb12 Jan25 Jan01 Dec13 (ashmore colee)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Mar05 Feb14 Jan25 Dec19 Sep13 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
10  WHISPERING SEA Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Dec13 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 123 12.00 9% 10.30    
 
TAM-2   04/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OFF THE MEDS Mar14 Mar02 Feb07 Jan19 Dec06 (simone micha)BATISTA A 122 2.00    
2  MISSION KEY Mar26 Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
3  BREADMAN Apr02 Mar15 Mar01 Jan29 Jan18 (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 15.00    
4  FORT CHARLES Mar26 Mar12 Feb22 Feb12 Jan29 (torres pablo )VARGAS E 112 12.00    
5  FUNKENSTEIN Apr02 Mar07 Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00 8% 12.00    
6  H C HOLIDAY Apr02 Mar19 Mar07 Feb22 Feb12 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 122 12.00 13% 6.90    
7  CLASSIC KING Mar12 Feb21 Nov06 Aug08 Jun13 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00    
8  REDISUR Mar15 Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 Jan03 (rarick lynn)SPIETH S 122 30.00    
9  TONY SMALL Mar26 Mar07 Oct22 Sep23 Sep11 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
TAM-3   04/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SASHAY AWAY Mar08 Feb09 Jan10 Nov07 Oct04 (walsh brendan )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
2  IT'S WITCHCRAFT Nov28 Oct26 Aug29 Aug02 Jun22 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 1.60 39% 1.60    
3  QUEEN IN THE DECK Mar06 Feb08 Jan01 Dec13 Oct27 (munoz carlos)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
4  CLASSICALS FINALE Mar29 Mar09 Feb28 Jan31 Jan24 (contessa c)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
5  NATIVE ROSE Mar08 Feb08       (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 12.00 34% 1.90    
6  JUNTA Apr02 Mar07 Feb08 Dec24   (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 10.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  FORWARD DEPLOYED Feb08 Jan04 Dec08 Oct06 Aug17 (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00    
 
TAM-4   04/12/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMU Mar28 Mar02 Feb19 Jan29 Jan12 (orantes r)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 7% 13.80    
2  TOO HOT TO STOP Mar14 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 118 3.50    
3  MYA C Mar28 Mar08 Feb14 Feb01 Jan15 (hardesty lesliely)HESS SARA 118 6.00    
4  CLASSIC BALLAD Mar15 Feb27 Jan03 Nov22 Aug31 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 7% 12.90    
5  TOURIST STYLE Jan29 Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 Apr14 (gonzal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 12.00    
6  WONDERFULVENEZUELA Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Feb08 Jan22 (yanez reynald)VARGAS E 108 8.00 62% 0.60    
7  ALMA PURA Feb14 Feb01 Jan05 Dec18 Nov30 (agostini art)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  FUTURE FORTUNE Apr02 Mar22 Mar07 Feb19 Feb02 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KOZAK SPIRIT Apr02 Feb16 Feb07 Jan25 Dec13 (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 111 12.00    
10  UPSTREET Mar12 Feb08 Jan15 Dec24 Sep08 (marrero nest)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
 
TAM-5   04/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAHAMIAN MOON Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 Jan04 Nov27 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 123 1.00 29% 2.50    
2  HEAVEN RULES Mar14 Feb13 Jan10 Dec24 Nov23 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 5.00    
3  TWIZZLE Mar19 Feb23 Jan18 Dec13 Dec06 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  THEODORA GRACE Jan04 Dec24 Nov30 Oct31 Oct20 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 119 12.00    
5  THELASTBULLETSMINE Mar01 Jan31 Jan10 Feb14 Jan14 (vinson john )MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  I RECALL Sep26 Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 Sep26 (bourke john)STANLEY O 119 12.00 17% 4.80    
7  SUMMER'S COMIN Dec04 Nov23 Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 (dini mike)MARTINEZ W 119 15.00    
8  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Mar15 Jan31 Dec24 Nov02 Sep28 (richards ren)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 8.00 28% 2.60    
9  VICTORIA'S DANCER Mar08 Feb08 Jan10 Dec14 Nov23 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SPANISH DELIGHT Apr05 Mar15 Feb28 Jan18 Dec29 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
11  TATOR MADE Mar02 Feb14 Jan18 Aug30 Aug02 (duffy)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 30.00    
 
TAM-6   04/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Apr06 Mar14 Mar07 Feb14 Jan26 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50 67% 0.50    
2  RED ELEANOR Jan24 Jan15 Dec07 Nov23 Oct24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 12.00    
SCR  AZURE LADY Dec27 Dec06 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (klesa)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00    
4  SOPHIA'S STORM Mar23 Mar08 Feb07 Jan11 Dec14 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00    
5  ST. JOE JET Mar21 Mar05 Feb01 Jan08 Dec24 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RITABOOK Mar12 Feb21 Feb07 Jan12 Dec28 (rigattieri john)LEON SONNY 118 4.00    
7  SOLAIR Mar14 Feb14 Dec28 Nov30 Oct22 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DELIZIOSA Apr02 Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 Dec27 (rarick lynn)HESS SARA 118 5.00 7% 13.00    
 
TAM-7   04/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORA'S FIREBALL Mar23         (granitz j)HESS SARA 120 20.00    
2  NEOTERIC Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Jan08 Oct10 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ITS JUST MATH Mar23         (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
4  WAR FIRE Mar14 Feb12 Jan25 Dec07   (lusk brian)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 10.00    
5  TRAFALGAR'S HERO Mar28         (smith robert )IORIO MELISSA 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  AUTHENTIC HONOUR Mar14 Feb21 Jan18 Sep15   (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 4.00 10% 9.40    
7  GRAND LIAM Mar23 Dec22 Nov27 Oct19 Oct06 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
8  COW CREEK KID Mar21 Mar01 Sep30 Aug22 Jul29 (cahill f)BUSH V 120 20.00    
9  PALACE REVOLT Feb12 Jan24 Oct22 Oct07 Sep10 (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 120 6.00 12% 7.00    
10  MISCHIEVOUS HAN Mar14 Feb21 Feb01 Jan03 Dec07 (parra hernan)FERRER C 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  TWELVE TREASURES Mar29 Feb21 Jan18     (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 6.00    
 
TAM-8   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WIN WIN MOON Mar07 Jan11 Dec07     (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 30.00    
2  ADJUST MY HALO         (ward dennis)LINDSAY CHAD 120 4.50 10% 9.50    
3  VESPER CHICKS Mar28 Feb26       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.80 57% 0.80    
4  INSTABRAT Mar12 Feb15 Jan25 Nov29 Oct15 (hamm timothy)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RED HOT CATALINA Mar07 Feb14       (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 120 10.00    
6  CAMEO Feb26 Jan16 Dec26     (munoz carlos)HESS SARA 120 15.00    
7  CON CAUTELA Mar05         (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 120 30.00    
8  CHRIS'S KITTY Mar08 Dec11 Oct23     (kintz matthe)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 10% 9.50    
9  AWESOME SUNSHINE         (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
10  LIZZY'S DREAM         (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   04/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAKE CELEBRITY Mar26 Mar07 Jan03 Nov16 Sep21 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 124 12.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH Mar26 Feb12 Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 (yanez r)FERRER C 124 30.00    
3  MISSION MIKE Mar12 Feb23 Feb02 Oct05 Sep13 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  MAX SWAGGER Mar26 Mar01 Feb23 Feb02 Dec14 (rose orlando)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.00    
5  MUNGO Mar26 Feb23 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  GRAND PARK VIEW Mar14 Mar01 Feb14 Jan10 Dec27 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  IMMENSE FAITH Mar12 Mar01 Feb09 Jan04 Dec14 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 6.00    
8  NOBLE STAR Mar22 Mar12 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 (dobber w)SPIETH S 124 12.00    
9  ATTRAYANT Mar12 Feb23 Jan17 Nov29 Oct12 (lerman s)BATISTA A 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
10  CALVIN'S RIDE Mar23 Jan15 Dec21 Nov03 Oct03 (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
SCR  WHISKEY OR WINE Mar16 Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 Jan03 (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 124 4.00    
SCR  ICONIC ROCK Apr05 Mar26 Mar09 Feb23 Feb07 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 117 15.00    
13  PHRASEOLOGISM Mar02 Feb09 May01 Mar01 Jan21 (lilly p)HESS SARA 124 30.00    
SCR  BEAR HUNT Apr04 Feb07 Jan04 Nov03 Oct11 (richards ren)BATISTA A 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.