Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Friday - March 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (6/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3)-(6/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/3)-(9/5/2/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FON-2   WIN (9/5/2/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/6/8)-(9/5/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/6/8)-(9/5/2/6/8)-(9/5/2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/5/2/6/8)-(8/7/4/3)-(5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-3   WIN (8/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3)-(8/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/6/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/6/4/3/1)-(5/6/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-5   WIN (4/1/10/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/10/7/3)-(4/1/10/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/10/7/3)-(4/1/10/7/3)-(4/1/10/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/1/10/7/3)-(4/6/3/1/5)-(8/10/2/7/6) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FON-6   WIN (4/6/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1/5)-(4/6/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/1/5)-(4/6/3/1/5)-(4/6/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/3/1/5)-(8/10/2/7/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-7   WIN (8/10/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/2/7/6)-(8/10/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/2/7/6)-(8/10/2/7/6)-(8/10/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALL TALE Mar14 Feb28 Jun22 Jun02 May24 (arceo a)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 12.00    
VANALEE Mar07 Nov22 Nov01 Aug25 Aug12 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 125 1.00    
SECRET CITY Mar14 Feb28 Jun02 May20 Apr12 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOLLYS MIA Mar07 Feb28 Sep26 Sep19 Aug22 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00    
DOC'S JOY Mar07 Feb28 Nov14 Oct02 Jul03 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00 17% 4.70    
BY REQUEST Mar14 Mar02 Feb01 Jan19 Dec12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
OH I GIGGLE Mar14 Feb28 Jan16 Dec26 Dec06 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 17% 5.00    
 
FON-2   03/21/2025 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBERT WHO Mar07 Feb22 Sep14 Sep08 Aug24 (johnson m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Mar01 Feb23 Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 18% 4.40    
EPIC DRAMA Mar07 Jan28 Dec31 Dec17 Nov03 (ramaek)BAILON JADHIR 125 5.00    
SHIP BOSS Mar07 Sep13 Aug24 Jun21 May27 (foley sea)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.50    
DAVE Mar07 Sep06 Jul13 May10 Apr19 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
SILVER AND ACES Feb28 Sep13 Sep01 May10 Mar29 (bobier b)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
MY BOAZ Mar07 Feb23 Sep27 Sep13 Sep02 (musquiz j)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
CAPTAIN DON Mar07 Feb22 Nov02 Oct06 Sep20 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY BREAK Oct06 Sep15 Jul20 Jul13 Jun23 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 3.50 30% 2.40    
 
FON-3   03/21/2025 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATIO'S PORCH Mar07 Feb23 Nov30 Nov22 Oct23 (ramaekers eric)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50    
MALADJUSTED MISFIT Mar15 Mar01 Jan24 Jan02 Aug10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
DRAW THE FOUL Mar08 Oct07 Sep23 Jul27 Jul13 (smith jac)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
HURTS SO GOOD Mar09 Feb22 Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 (ramaek)BAILON JADHIR 125 15.00 14% 5.90    
DARNQUICK Mar08 Feb23 Jan03 Dec07 Nov19 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00    
AUDACE Oct13 Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 May12 (homer jason)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
STOOPS SINE DIE Mar01 Sep08 Aug24 Jul10 Jun12 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 18% 4.50    
REGINALD AURELIUS Mar08 Feb22 Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
FON-4   03/21/2025 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE HEART Nov03 Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 Sep01 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ HOPPIN Mar07 Sep20 Sep01 Aug18 Apr14 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
PEACH STREET Feb23 Dec05 Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 (hines ann)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHACHA TO CATALINA Mar08 Mar02 Feb08 Jan28 Jan09 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50    
ITSNOTMYJOB Mar16 Feb28 Dec12 Nov08 Apr13 (condon schuyle)HISBY RONALD 125 3.00 77% 0.30    
HOT TUB HOTTIE Mar09 Feb23 Dec05 Sep20 Aug30 (rushton t)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00    
ADDI BUG Mar15 Feb14 Jan31 Sep04 Jun11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
OUR CLOVER GAL Mar15 Mar08 Feb28 Nov17 Nov03 (ibanez alber)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 8.00    
RAIN Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Nov16 Oct30 (castillo )IRONEYES R 125 15.00    
 
FON-5   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURN BOSS Mar08 Sep28 Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 (bethke a)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 7% 13.00    
PRINCE LIAM Mar09 Feb06 Dec28 Nov02   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50    
THREE SEVENS Feb23 Feb07 Dec18 Nov16 Oct23 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
I BE A KING Feb23 Sep11 Aug24 May15 May06 (big hair )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 61% 0.60    
UNNECESSARY TRICKS Mar15 Mar02 Feb07 Dec07 Oct31 (johnson m)IRONEYES R 125 8.00    
CALLE DIAMANTE Mar08 Feb12 Jan25 Jan10 Dec04 (wise j)BAILON JADHIR 125 6.00    
MO MAMBO Feb23 Jan23 Dec31 Dec12 Jun29 (homer jason)BETHKE A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
WHAT THE HEY Mar08 Dec11 Nov16 Oct25 Dec09 (rushton stac)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 15.00    
B L'S CONCERTO Sep07 Jul27 Jun23 Jun06 May18 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 4.50    
10  CHIEF HARLAN Mar08 Feb14 Jan18 Dec27 Nov26 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 6% 15.30    
 
FON-6   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST UP Mar01 Sep21 Sep08 Aug31 May03 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCORE MCCOY Apr19 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Sep03 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
PROOF OF PURCHASE Mar02 Nov16 Oct19 Sep20 Aug29 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALPINE ASH Mar01 Jun26       (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
MISTER LESTER Sep21 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 (compton j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
WILLHE LOVE Mar01 Sep21 Aug16 May03 Apr14 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 2.50 26% 2.80    
GAME'S KARTEL Mar01 May03 Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 (johnson m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
SCR  BUY NOW May03 Apr14 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 (condon sc)IRONEYES R 125 15.00    
TURN N BURN BOSS Mar02 Mar29 Mar17     (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 6.00    
10  NEBRASKA GOLD Mar02 Sep28 Sep02 Jul14   (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 121 6.00    
 
FON-7   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BROTHER Dec04 Nov07 Oct12 Sep26 Sep09 (gonzalez isai )HISBY RONALD 125 6.00    
LIBERTARIAN Mar14 Feb28 Sep27 Sep15 Aug23 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
I'M CRENSHAW Mar01 Feb23 Sep20 Aug17 Jul13 (big hair)SEESTHEGROUND KOBE 125 15.00    
NASTY EXAGGERATOR Feb28 Jan28 Nov23 Oct19 Sep23 (crabtree jaso)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00    
LEVEL Mar01 Oct25 Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 4.00    
ZULTAN Mar07 Feb22 Jan25 Jan11 Dec19 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOMBI Mar01 Nov15 Oct27 Oct12 Oct04 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEST OF GREELEY Mar14 Feb28 Dec11 Nov26 Nov13 (johnson m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 54% 0.90    
SIR ELI Dec04 Nov13 Sep26 Sep14 Aug30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
10  BRICKBAT Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 Aug11 (rushton s)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00 9% 9.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.