Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - March 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CNL-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/1/6)-(1/3/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(1/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/3/4/8)-(3/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-4   WIN (1/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8)-(1/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/8)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/8)-(3/5/2)-(10/9/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(10/9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(10/9/4/3)-(6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-6   WIN (10/9/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/4/3)-(10/9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/4/3)-(10/9/4/3)-(10/9/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/4/3)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/9/4/3)-(6/2)-(3/8/1/6/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(3/8/1/6/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CNL-8   WIN (3/8/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/6/7)-(3/8/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/6/7)-(3/8/1/6/7)-(3/8/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL JUNIOR Jan25 Dec21       (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.40    
2  MISCHIEF EXPOSED Feb07 Jan26 Dec15 May24 Apr29 (caramori)DAVIS A 125 12.00 5% 18.90    
3  KNOCKANARA Feb23 Nov29 Nov01 Oct11 Sep06 (nagle )ARAUJO VICENTE 125 0.80 46% 1.20    
4  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN Feb21 Jan09 Dec18 Nov15 Aug29 (galligan gera)ROJAS MARTINA 125 10.00    
5  ITALIANO KID         (flores )BRICENO GREGOR 118 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
CNL-2   03/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SET ABLAZE Feb16 Aug15       (bailes ro)HAMILTON WESTON 122 2.50    
2  IMPETUS ECHO (GB) Jan29 Jan01 Dec13 Nov17 Sep20 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 6% 15.30    
3  GAME ENERGY Feb14 Jan24 Dec27 Dec07   (lightner)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  DANCING DAKOTAH Feb22 Dec13 Nov24 Nov03 Sep28 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 3.00    
5  LORD'S LADY         (allen ferri)CHAVEZ ANDRES 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
6  ANOTHERHOPE Feb16 Feb09 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.00    
 
CNL-3   03/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUCKY OUR LAW Feb19         (galligan gera)ROJAS MARTINA 122 6.00 33% 2.10    
2  LET FLY Jan26 Dec13       (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00    
3  TYSON'S DELIVERY Mar01         (bailes ro)HAMILTON WESTON 122 12.00    
4  FLY PELICAN Feb14 Jan18       (aguirre anthon)BOYCE FOREST 122 1.00 41% 1.40    
5  CITY PANDA Feb28 Jan26 Jan17 Dec01   (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 1.60    
6  NANCIE'S BOY Dec14         (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-4   03/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISCIOUS GOSSIP         (caramori edu)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  CLARE COURT Jan17 Nov15       (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00    
3  MOON ROX Feb27 Oct04       (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  VALERIE STREET         (sanchez-sal)HAMILTON WESTON 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  YOURGLORIOUSDAYLIS Mar08 Feb26 Feb12 Dec12   (rodriquez regulo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
6  IRISH B GOODE Feb28 Oct24 Sep04     (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 125 30.00    
7  LOST RIVER Aug15 Jul11 Jun08     (flores )BRICENO GREGOR 118 4.50    
8  DRIFTING Feb02 Dec27       (bentley f)BETANCOURT R 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-5   03/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHATTOLANEE SPRING Feb21 Jan24 Dec29 Oct25   (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of LADINA by WILD AGAIN)
2  LOVING GAZE (IRE) Feb22 Dec05 Oct19 Sep14   (lane j)BATISTA A 122 12.00 6% 17.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of FIXED GAZE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  REPLY         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by CURLIN out of SPECIAL RELATIVITY by COWBOY CAL)
4  LANGLEYSWATERFALL Dec08 Oct26       (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 122 30.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LIGHTSCAMERAACTION by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
5  PASSAGE EAST (IRE) Feb21 Feb01 Dec29 Aug26   (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 122 4.50 35% 1.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SALTEN SAPITY by CONGRATS)
6  FIVECLOCKSOMEWHERE Dec13 Nov21 Sep05 Jul26 Jul11 (cooney s)TORREALBA JG 122 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHERINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  CHAMPAGNE BRUNCH Mar02 Jan26 Nov17 Oct18   (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FOREST VALENTINE by FORESTRY)
 
CNL-6   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEACHFRONT BREEZE Feb19 Dec28 Nov01 Sep27 Sep14 (simoff andrew)RUIZ ELISEO 118 30.00    
SCR  PURE LURE Jul15 Jun12 May20 Dec26 Nov22 (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00    
3  YOU'RE THE ONE Dec02 Oct31 Oct16 Sep21 Sep04 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SNAPPIN BUTTONS Feb09 Jan24 Dec07 Nov30 May09 (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HATTIE T Feb14 Jan15 Apr20 Mar24 Feb23 (moger jr)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 30.00    
6  MARY Q Feb15 Jan29 Dec02 Nov05 Oct02 (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
7  STILL GRUMPY Feb01 Jan15 Dec07 Nov20 Oct24 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 116 20.00    
SCR  BELLA MELA Jan18 Dec14 Oct12 Sep26 Aug23 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 119 15.00    
9  SHEILAHS WARCLOUD Dec21 Nov30 Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 (nixon justi)HAMILTON WESTON 121 8.00 26% 2.80    
10  BINNIE Oct20 Sep21 Aug16 Dec02 Nov02 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
11  MISCHIEVOUSNESS Jun06 May18 Mar14 Feb13 Jan18 (lovell mich)PETERSON FERRIN 117 20.00    
 
CNL-7   03/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPO ROCKS Jan18 Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 Sep21 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00    
2  CELTIC CONTENDER Feb15 Dec21 Nov30 Oct12 Sep21 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SHOWSTOPPER COPPER Jan28 Jan03 Nov27 Oct30 Sep07 (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 30.00    
SCR  COFFEEWITHCHRIS Feb28 Feb08 Jan26 Dec27 Nov28 (magana jose)HAMILTON WESTON 115 30.00    
SCR  SHARP TONES Jan08 Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 Jun24 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 116 30.00    
6  BOOK'EM DANNO Dec07 Oct19 Aug24 Jul19 Jun08 (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 1.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  DESTIN'S RAINBOW Feb22 Feb08 Jan25 Dec12 Nov15 (jones e)ACOSTA D 115 30.00    
SCR  CIRCLE P Mar08 Feb15 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 (stites flint )CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 20.00    
SCR  POWER SEEKER Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 May19 Apr20 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 6.00    
SCR  GOING UP Mar12 Feb22 Oct19 Sep20 Aug31 (potts g)ALLEN D 117 20.00    
SCR  PAYMENGOLD Nov16 Oct17 Sep19 Jul12 Jun06 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 20.00    
 
CNL-8   03/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEHEMENTE Jan01 Dec01 Nov09 Aug22 Jul17 (sharp joe)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 10% 8.80    
2  SUNFLOWER STATE Jul06 Jun01       (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 30.00    
3  DOUBLE AIRO Mar01 Jan30 Dec30 Nov29 Nov10 (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  REDHOTCHILIPHILLY Feb27         (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00    
5  DINE AND DASH Mar02 Jun08       (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 20.00    
6  WINFINITY Sep08 Aug03       (ortiz ale)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
7  ITSAMONSTAMASH Feb21 Dec08 Nov03 Oct12 Sep13 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  NOQUESTIONABOUTIT May25         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  SAUCY BOSS Feb26 Jan31 Jan10 Dec12 Nov20 (johnson jame)LEWIS M 120 30.00    
10  GREEN EYED MONSTER Feb21 Feb02 Sep15 Aug25   (robb john)CARRASCO R 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.