Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - February 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (3/2/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5/7)-(3/2/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5/7)-(3/2/4/5/7)-(3/2/4/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5/7)-(7/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/5/7)-(7/6/1/4)-(9/5/7/6/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-2   WIN (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/5/4)-(7/6/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/4)-(9/5/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/4)-(9/5/7/6/8)-(5/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-3   WIN (9/5/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/6/8)-(9/5/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/6/8)-(9/5/7/6/8)-(9/5/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/7/6/8)-(5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/6/8)-(5/3)-(3/6/5/7/10) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3/6/5/7/10) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(3/6/5/7/10)-(7/10/6/8/5) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/6/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/7/10)-(3/6/5/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/7/10)-(3/6/5/7/10)-(3/6/5/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/5/7/10)-(7/10/6/8/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/7/10)-(7/10/6/8/5)-(7/4/1/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-6   WIN (7/10/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/6/8/5)-(7/10/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/6/8/5)-(7/10/6/8/5)-(7/10/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/6/8/5)-(7/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/10/6/8/5)-(7/4/1/2)-(5/2/6/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-7   WIN (7/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2)-(5/2/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/2)-(5/2/6/8/1)-(2/7/5/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-8   WIN (5/2/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/8/1)-(5/2/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/8/1)-(5/2/6/8/1)-(5/2/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/6/8/1)-(2/7/5/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/7/5/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3/6)-(2/7/5/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3/6)-(2/7/5/3/6)-(2/7/5/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/5/3/6)-(7/5/9/1/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-10   WIN (7/5/9/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/1/8)-(7/5/9/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/1/8)-(7/5/9/1/8)-(7/5/9/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT ON RAIN Jan30 Dec07 Nov15 Aug10 Aug01 (benoit james)VARGAS P 124 8.00    
ONE MORE SLEEP Dec28 Nov07 Oct10 Sep24 Aug27 (robbins ray)POMPELL L 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
I'M A NIGHT TRAIN Jan30 Jan08 Dec20 Dec07 Nov15 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
ALINES VALENTINE Feb07 Jan15 Nov23 Aug23 Jul13 (meche shane)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 2.50 12% 7.10    
JOSEPH H Jan30 Nov07 Jul05 Jun21 May02 (giangrosso )LEDET THEODRICK 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
WATCH THE COAST Feb05 Dec11 Nov30 Nov13 Oct16 (ramirez edu)RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 12.00    
LIVE AFFAIR Jan30 Jan02 Nov07 Oct25 Jul16 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
FRIEND'S DO CARE Jan30 Jan15 Nov27 Nov14 Oct19 (zeno benjamin)ARANA KELVIN 119 20.00    
ZAPAWAY Nov07 Oct10 Aug27 Jul29 Jun17 (lara jorge)PEREZ CARLOS 119 12.00    
 
DED-2   02/20/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LIAM Jan29 Nov16 Sep18     (ramirez l)PEREZ CARLOS 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
NIGHT STICK Jan09 Dec12 Nov16 Oct26   (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 110 10.00    
GOLD CAPO Jan30 Jan08 Dec18 Dec07 Aug10 (giangrosso )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
HONOR THAT DUDE Feb08 Jan03 Dec19 Nov29 Nov02 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
MODDASSAH Jan27 Dec20 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 (scherer gar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
GRAN CHICO Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 Dec28 Nov30 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 117 6.00 6% 16.90    
GRAND SAM Feb08 Dec13 Nov23 Nov05 Aug14 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
CHANNELFORTYNINE Jan31 Jan04 Dec13 Nov16 Oct26 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
DOC HIGGINS Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Dec01   (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 3.50    
 
DED-3   02/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST SAMARITAN Jan18 Jan02       (robinsjr aaron)FLORIAN JOSE 116 8.00    
QUINNSALTYOFFICER         (averett)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
HES THE BOMB TOO Jan17         (roberts roy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 121 10.00    
QUIK PUNCH Jan18         (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 121 15.00    
ROLL ON LUKE Dec21         (courville rick)PEREZ CARLOS 116 3.00 35% 1.90    
NELLE TUE MANI         (pedigo randy)ARANA KELVIN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEVILISH SEASON Dec21         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50 6% 16.80    
ZACK TALKIN SMACK         (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH ADVENTURE Jan29         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
10  DADDY'S GIFT Aug15         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 8.00    
SCR  HIGHER CHARGE         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
 
DED-4   02/20/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PRIORITY Feb01 Dec27 Nov26 Nov01 Oct11 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 122 5.00    
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Feb01 Jan17 Jan04 Nov09 Oct18 (toups brent)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
WONDERRAND Feb01 Jan17 Dec27 Nov23 Nov01 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 1.80 26% 2.80    
STHEPANIE PRINCESS Dec28 Nov09 Oct25 Oct10 Aug09 (ramirez l)PEREZ CARLOS 117 8.00    
NORAH G Feb01 Aug31 Jul29 Jun29 Jun01 (west patricia )THORNTON G 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
NONEYA Dec14 Nov22 Oct11 Aug31 Jul03 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 3.00    
 
DED-5   02/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARAH IN THE HOUSE Jan10 Nov16 Oct10 Aug03 Mar03 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 120 6.00    
SAINT ISABEL Jan31 Jan03 Oct11 Sep18 Aug10 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 12.00    
GOING THE DISTANCE Feb02 Jan11 Jan12 Dec17 Nov01 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
K J'S PISTOL ANNIE Feb03 Jan18 Jul04 Jun03 May03 (hewitt michael)ROSIER R 120 12.00    
YOU HAVE NO IDEA Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 Dec12 Nov16 (gonzalez isai )ARANA KELVIN 115 6.00 16% 5.40    
BIG BLUE ANGEL Jan10 Dec18 Nov07 Sep03 Aug16 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 17% 4.90    
MISSNEVERSATISFIED Jan28 Jan09 Dec07 May24 May11 (nichols bes)LEDET THEODRICK 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD PLUS Jan09 Dec08 Aug01 Jun29 Jan11 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
QUIET MELODY Jan25 Dec12 Nov22 Nov02 Oct10 (giangrosso )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
10  TALKABOUT Jan12 Nov22 Oct29 Aug01 Jul18 (broussard jar)VARGAS P 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   02/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMELAND MESSA Jan17 Dec21 Feb23 Jan12 Dec20 (jackson dwayne)ARANA KELVIN 115 20.00    
CLASSIC WARRIOR Jan31 Jan04 Dec20 Nov29 Nov01 (gomez c)ROSIER R 117 10.00    
RITE ON SAM Jan30 Dec28 Nov23 Nov05 Aug15 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 119 12.00    
LEXINGTON RIVER Jan29 Jan08 Dec20 Nov21 Oct29 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 5.00    
COOL RIDE Jan31 Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 Nov14 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
CORREDOR Jan31 Jan17 Dec20 Nov15 Oct24 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 2.50 10% 8.70    
TRUE JEDI Jan29 Dec18 Aug25 Jul14 Jun16 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
RUMPUSINTHESKY Jan17 May24 Apr20 Feb02 Jan11 (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 7% 14.30    
MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Jan31 Jan17 Dec27 Dec11 Jun24 (bruno j)POMPELL L 117 12.00    
10  MOR JAZZ Dec29 Dec05 Nov14 Oct12 Sep24 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  JAMAICAN ME Feb07 Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Nov16 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00    
SCR  CHIEFWEAVE Feb08 Jan16 Dec20 Nov16 Jul10 (silva walter)ARANA KELVIN 112 12.00    
 
DED-7   02/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATER LATERTIFFANY Dec21 Nov26 Jul28 May19 Feb10 (bernard john)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
A REAL EMBRACE Dec18         (bernard john)FUSILIER C 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED REVENGER Jan28 Dec19 Dec05 Aug24   (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 4.50    
SCR  JUSTFORME         (romero j)ARANA KELVIN 116 6.00 17% 4.90    
EASTON'S MOON Jan28 Jan10       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 3.50    
SWEETHEART VISION Jan28 Dec19 Nov26 Nov02 Jun27 (garcia migu)LEDET THEODRICK 121 5.00    
KOKOMO STARLET Jan28 Dec06 Nov07 Oct10 Sep16 (jackson richard )BIRZER E 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
SHELLEY'S ROSE Feb08 Jan28 Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00    
 
DED-8   02/20/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHANIE'S MARIA Feb01 Nov09 Oct25 Oct10 Aug24 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Feb06 Jan17 Dec27 Nov21 Oct18 (cano m)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
R T'S GEM Jan17 Jan04 Nov26 Nov01 Oct18 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
TINCANDANCE Nov01 Sep17 Aug19 Jul29 Jun17 (lara jorge)PEREZ CARLOS 115 8.00    
JET ROCKET Jan11 Dec27 Nov24 Oct18 Aug02 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
NODAH Jan17 Dec27 Nov26 Oct19 Aug17 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
TENSAS CANDY Feb01 Dec14 Nov26 Nov08 Aug31 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
LOUISIANA COWGIRL Nov23 Oct11 Sep13 Oct07 Sep02 (gomez davi)RAMIREZ JR 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
CUTE DINERO QUEEN Jan09 Nov26 Nov01 Aug31 Aug19 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 20.00    
10  MEGANS MILLIONS Feb01 Jan04 Dec11 Nov09 Sep26 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 
DED-9   02/20/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG RASEE Feb01 Jan11 Dec29 Dec13 Nov02 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 112 5.00    
MOTOR CITY Jan15 Nov23 Nov01 Jul06 Jun14 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 52% 0.90    
TRIPPLE D RULLER Feb07 Jan15 Dec04 Oct30 Oct16 (toups brent)BIRZER E 117 6.00 7% 14.00    
DONEGAL MOONSHINE Jan28 Dec22 Nov05 Jun28 May31 (noel dane)MELANCON JANSEN 124 10.00    
SCR  LOTTA SPIRIT HERE Jan11 Dec07       (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 110 8.00 9% 10.00    
CONTRABANDIST Feb08 Jan12 Dec21 Nov08 Oct10 (noel dane)VARGAS JOSE 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
TDZ HINT OF POWER Dec29 Dec14 Nov22 Aug31 Jul22 (eschete nason)FUSILIER C 110 1.80 10% 8.90    
YOURCUZNFROMBOSTON Dec14 Nov17       (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 110 15.00    
VOYANT Jan29 Jan08 Nov23 Aug27 Aug14 (tillis jer)RAMIREZ JR 115 20.00    
 
DED-10   02/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH BILLY Jan08 Nov14       (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SEVEN DEVILS ROAD Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 Nov29 Oct23 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 121 5.00    
MR DORIS Jan08 Nov05       (brinkman brett)PEREZ CARLOS 113 12.00    
MUSTACHEUAQUESTION Dec22 Nov16 Sep14     (gonzalez isai )ARANA KELVIN 116 15.00    
BUTCHY BOY Jan08 Dec19 Nov16 Oct10 Sep26 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
RANDY DAYTONA Jan30 Dec28 Dec08 Nov23   (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 118 5.00    
ONEMOTIME Jan17 Dec19 Nov16 Oct18   (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 109 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  MY HIGHMOON         (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAXI BOOTS Dec07         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
10  THE WINNING EDGE Jan25 Jun01       (gelner j)FUSILIER C 121 15.00    
SCR  EAGLE IN THE AIR Feb08 Jan03 Jul12 Jun28   (gelner j)ARANA KELVIN 116 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.