Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Thursday - February 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(4/6/3)-(6/8/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/8/3/4)-(7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SUN-4   WIN (6/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4)-(6/8/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/4)-(7/3)-(10/2/3/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SUN-5   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/8/6/9/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/8/6/9/3)-(7/8/6/9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-6   WIN (10/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/3/9)-(10/2/3/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/3/9)-(10/2/3/7/9)-(10/2/3/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(7/6/4/3)-(1/2/4/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-8   WIN (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/4/3)-(1/2/4/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SUN-9   WIN (1/2/4/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/11/9)-(1/2/4/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/11/9)-(1/2/4/11/9)-(1/2/4/11/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL LAUNCH Dec16         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 3.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SELENITE by COSMONAUT)
MYFAVORITEHOLIDAY Jan09 Dec16       (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HOLIDAY DISGUISE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
BRAZILIAN QUEEN Dec18         (young a)JAIME R 124 12.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of PARISIENNE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
GRAZEN GATOR Nov17 Oct19 Aug30 Aug08   (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of FAST GATOR by DIABOLICAL)
GIRVINITALLSHESGOT Jan09 Dec16 Nov26 Feb23   (bolen bradley)ROSENDO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of MS HALLIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
LET HER BE Jan10         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 1.60 28% 2.50    
  (by CROSSBOW out of DANDY DONNA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
SUN-2   02/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMIE CAN'T DANCE Jan23 Sep24 May20 May06 Mar12 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
ANGELA'S ANGEL Jan30 Jan24 Jan03 Oct27 Oct13 (marquez l)JAIME R 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
ROCKS A BLACK SUIT Jan09 Aug12 Jul16 Jun28 May22 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
JOHN JOHN Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 Nov18 Nov05 (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.50    
COPPER STATE Jan03 Dec16 Oct23 Sep25 Sep05 (archuleta)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 6.00    
MY ADDICTION Jan03 Aug24 Jun01 Oct15 Oct06 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
SUN-3   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLEE MAE Jan17 Dec18 Nov26 Nov04 Sep08 (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 124 5.00    
STACI'S RED DRESS Jan17 Dec18 Mar22 Jan19 Dec20 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
RASPBERRY WINE Dec02 Oct18 Sep08 Aug10 Jul27 (rust terri)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
DASHINGLY Jan17 Dec17 Nov26 Oct20 Aug30 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
FOOLISH DELIGHT Dec18 Dec02 Dec19 Apr23 Mar26 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 3.50    
BRAND LOYALTY Dec02 Nov04 Sep28 Sep13 Mar14 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
SUN-4   02/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUCKIN Jan03 Dec16 Dec03 Oct02 Sep18 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50    
PEVS FLAT OUT FAST Jan17 Nov05 Oct18 Oct02 Sep05 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 12.00    
HANDMEDOWN D'ORO Nov12 Dec12       (alda)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MR MAKUNOUCHI Jan17 Dec03 Nov18 Oct14 Oct07 (wheeler travis)NEGRON LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
AFTERNOON BREW Jan16 Dec02       (young a)CASTRO M 121 15.00    
RIGHT IN FRONT Jan24 Dec03 Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 (chadborn k)JAIME R 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
DIABLO ROSSO Jan31 Oct23 Sep25 Sep09 Jul17 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 6.00    
SCORPION SHOT Jan17 Dec14 Jul21 May17 Apr05 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
SUN-5   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMOTIONAL RUNAWAY Jan23 Dec17       (buechle)FUENTES T 121 8.00    
MYSTERIOUS MOVES Jan23 Dec17 Dec10     (green greg)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00    
VEGUITA Feb06 Jan23 Jan09 Dec18 Dec09 (chavez ar)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
FREEDOM DEFENDER Jan09 Dec18 Dec09 Dec02   (gonzalez r)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
HAZHONI Jan30 Jan09 Oct13 Sep28 Sep01 (singh j)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
K P BLAMENGAME Feb06 Jan23 Jan09 Dec09 Oct13 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
SCOTTIE JO         (green greg)PEREZ A 121 4.00 63% 0.60    
SALSA AMERICANA Jan30 Jan10 Dec10 Sep22 Aug31 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 4.50    
LA JOYA Jan30 Jan09 Oct11 Sep01 Feb18 (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 5.00    
 
SUN-6   02/13/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTILA'S LAST CALL Aug02         (sedillo ton)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
GEEBEESBIGBOY Jan31 Jan17 Dec18 Dec02 Nov12 (soto salv)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
COMMANDO STYLE         (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 121 15.00 6% 16.10    
HEATED RUSH Jan30 Dec10       (young a)CASTRO M 121 20.00    
HES HIGH OH SILVER Dec18 Dec10 Nov12 Oct06 Jun09 (salazar miche)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00    
GOLDEN GATO Jan30 Dec10 Nov11 Oct23 Sep14 (henry lar)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 5.00    
POQUITO LADY Jan31 Nov05 Sep15 Mar22 Mar07 (fournier robe)JUAREZ J 119 6.00    
NINE LIVES ELMER Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Dec16 Nov18 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 4.50    
W F AMERICAN CAT Feb06 Jan23 Dec10 Oct23   (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  TINAJA         (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  CORIE'S BOY Feb06 Jan23 Dec02 Nov04   (green greg)PEREZ A 121 20.00    
 
SUN-7   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NESARA Jan17 Dec18 Sep01 Jul26 Jun14 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
C JACK Jan17 Nov25 Nov05     (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 1.80 66% 0.50    
OL' MCCLINTOCK Jan17 Dec18 Sep01 Jul26 Mar29 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50    
RUNNING BEAR Dec10 Dec02 Nov11 Oct23 Sep06 (salazar michelle)VALDEZ S 121 15.00    
HOLY BULLET Jan17 Sep01 Jul26 May11 Mar29 (hernand)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00    
DRINKROUNDTHETRUTH Sep12 Jul26 Jun02 Apr04 Nov27 (morales danny)PEREZ A 124 4.00 9% 9.60    
STACKERS Jan17 Jan10 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 4.50    
 
SUN-8   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIDEWINDER SLICK Jan23 Dec16 Nov25 Oct16 Sep02 (buechle)FUENTES T 124 5.00    
ANTONIOS MARK Jan30 Jan16 Dec16 Nov25 Nov12 (bart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 6.00    
RISKY REVENGE Jan23 Dec16 Jun08 Mar22 Feb23 (gonzales james )ROSENDO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
THUNDER DOME Jan30 Jan16 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 (barton da)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLAGS FINALE Jan23 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Nov04 (aldavaz hermengi)VALDEZ S 124 3.50    
ONE MARK Jan30 Jan16 Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
SAMBAS MARK Jan30 Jan16 Dec09 Nov04 Oct12 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
 
SUN-9   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAZ MARKING Jan23 Jan09 Dec18 Nov12 Sep08 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 6.00 51% 0.90    
WATTS Jan23 Jan09 Nov05 Oct25 Oct05 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  CANDY TRACK Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 (eliott roger)NEGRON LUIS 119 15.00    
GIMME MONEY Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Nov05 Sep22 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 4.00 11% 8.20    
DESERT PUNK Jan23 Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 4.50    
HOLLYWOOD TIZ Jan23 Jan03 Oct27 Oct20 Sep29 (marquez l)TORRES J 124 8.00    
DIAMOND RAPPER Dec17 Dec11 Oct24 Oct16 Sep05 (soto salv)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 10.00    
SCR  CELEBRITY GIRL Jan23 Dec02 May18 Apr20 Mar14 (cadena jr)MEDELLIN A 119 20.00    
MICKEYS TRAIL Jan24 Dec18 Dec10 Dec02 Nov05 (salazar michelle)VALDEZ S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  WF FRANKLY MY DEAR Feb06 Nov19 Sep19 Aug17 Jul19 (gutierrez t)ORTEGA O 124 15.00    
11  CHARLIENE Jan23 Dec02 Sep26 Sep14 Aug24 (martinez edwin )ROSENDO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  LET EM RIP Jan23 Dec10 Nov05 Oct13 Sep19 (olguin ever)JAIME R 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.