Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - February 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/3)-(5/6)-(4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/5/6)-(6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-3   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(6/4)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(4/5/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(4/5/7/2)-(8/1/7/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(8/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(8/1/7/6)-(4/2/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-6   WIN (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/6)-(4/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/6)-(4/2/8/7)-(2/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-7   WIN (4/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/7)-(2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/7)-(2/6)-(1/6/5/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-8   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/6/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/6/5/4)-(2/4/1/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/4)-(2/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-10   WIN (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENNIE Jan15 Dec13 Oct27 Oct06 Sep06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
2  BOBBY'S CANDY Jan08 Sep04 Aug03 Jul17 Jul01 (perez flo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
3  CURLINS CRUZIN Jan08 Dec09 Nov29 Nov05 Oct16 (perez ruper)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRACK OF MY TEARS Jan08 Nov19 Nov02 Oct15 Sep19 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
5  HEY BROTHER Jan26 Aug07 Apr27 Mar16 Jan21 (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  AARAJ Jan29 Dec18 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  JAKE BRAKE ALLEY Jan08 Nov29 Nov19 Oct21 Sep20 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 5.00 31% 2.30    
8  IT'S A PITY Jan27 Nov29 Nov19 Nov06 Oct21 (whylie herold )AGUILAR JEAN 122 12.00    
 
PRX-2   02/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMA PIC Jan15 Dec16 Oct15     (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 5.00    
2  DIXIE MUSIC Feb03 Jan15 Dec18 Nov21 Nov14 (bravo-estrada)OCASIO M 125 6.00    
3  BELLA ESTRELA Jan15 Nov06 Aug17 Jul29 Jun27 (bedard a)DAVIS A 125 4.00 ★    
4  WHISKEY AND RAIN Feb03 Jan15 Dec18 Dec02 Nov20 (bedard a)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 4.50    
5  CHARM OF THE SONG Jan15 Dec05 Nov11 Oct24 Aug26 (solis jacint)HERNANDEZ ANDY 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  STREETS OF PARIS Nov13 Sep25 Aug19 Aug05 Jun26 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
PRX-3   02/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA DE PELUCHE Feb03 Dec02 Nov18 Oct22 Oct04 (santae)GONZALEZ JR 125 15.00    
2  HER TICKET TO RIDE Dec16 Nov18 Oct23 Aug24 Jul02 (smylie timoth)RANGEL JOEZER 125 12.00    
3  KEYSTORMRISING Jan15 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct29 (bedard alan)OCASIO M 125 3.00    
4  CALLIE RAE Dec16 Nov29 Oct12 Sep12 Aug21 (servis ty)WILLIAMS AJHARI 125 0.80 56% 0.80    
5  DREAMINGOFFREEDOM Feb03 Jan15 Dec18 Nov20 Nov05 (perez ruperto)RIVERA D 125 5.00 13% 6.90    
6  WINBORI Feb03 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct22 (whylie her)GONZALEZ L 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-4   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZY COLBY Dec18 Nov20 Oct29 Oct14 Sep17 (velazquez dan)SILVERA RUBEN 125 4.00    
SCR  JACK'S LILLY Dec18 Nov20 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 (bobadilla f)CORA D 125 2.50    
3  DESIGNATED Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct17 (noble james)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 3.50    
4  JEZEBEL JADE Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 Nov13 Nov02 (arce josue)CASTILLO A 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  OLD HEAD Feb04 Jan13 Nov26 Nov11 Oct21 (arce jos)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 3.00    
6  DEL REY DOLLY Jan15 Dec09 Nov13 Oct18 Oct05 (diaz jorg)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
PRX-5   02/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER AGENDA Jan30 Dec03 Nov25 Nov06 Oct30 (penaloza m)GONZALEZ L 122 6.00    
2  MISCHIEVOUS JUAN Nov26 Nov19 Oct17 Oct05 Aug07 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOTPOT Jan14 Nov20 Oct28 Oct02 Sep11 (rosado rober)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 4.50    
4  NEIGH DUDE Dec02 Oct25 Sep15 Sep02 Jul31 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
5  PYLON Jan30 Jan07 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 (rodriguez irvi)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
6  MASTERMIND Dec31 Nov27 Oct03 Sep14 Aug30 (bullock jor)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00    
7  ROB THE RICH Jan08 Nov19 Nov11 Oct22 Sep02 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 4.00 10% 8.70    
 
PRX-6   02/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSWAYED Jan07 Dec16 Nov15 Oct31 Oct04 (conrad paul)RUIZ ELISEO 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  CHINESEIAM Jan07 Dec18 Oct29 Oct02 Sep18 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
3  OMAHA EIGHT Aug24 Aug03 Jul15 Jul03 Jun18 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50    
4  E T'S EVASIVE MOON Jan29 Jan07 Dec18 Nov18 Nov11 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
5  BEAR OR BULL Apr08 Feb28 Feb12 Jan24 Jan02 (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 122 8.00    
6  THE GRAYT PUMPKIN Jan07 Dec03 Nov20 Oct16 Sep03 (mann farrel)MOYA F 122 20.00 6% 16.20    
7  SEPARATE WAYS Dec16 Nov18 Oct16 Sep18 Aug28 (crook-dema)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 8% 12.20    
8  STAY FUNNY Jan29 Jan07 Dec06 Nov13 Oct16 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
 
PRX-7   02/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL PARTY Jan08 Nov13 Oct23 Sep30 Sep09 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 20.00    
2  MELODY'S KISS Jan13 Dec10 Dec02 Nov18 Aug21 (noble ja)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  JUMP A FOX Jan30 Jan08 Dec18 Dec02 Nov20 (guerrero guada)CASTILLO A 125 8.00    
4  MISS CINNAMON Feb03 Jan08 Dec02 Nov13 Oct09 (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00 44% 1.30    
5  THEARCHERORTHEPREY Feb03 Aug31 Jul14 May01 Apr09 (gonzalez claudi)RUIZ ELISEO 125 6.00    
6  JESS'S MOMENT Jan14 Dec10 Nov18 Oct29 Oct15 (caban carlos )RIVERA D 125 3.50    
7  MARIA SAYS SO Feb03 Jan15 Dec16 Nov29 Nov02 (rodriguez i)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEEN REAL BUSY Jan01 Nov29 Nov07 Jan03 Dec15 (crook-demasi k)PENNINGTON F 125 3.00 7% 12.40    
 
PRX-8   02/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDIENESS Jan27 Jul02 Jun03 Mar27 Mar04 (crook-demasi k)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00    
2  HALEIGH B Jan07 Dec09 Nov26 Oct02 Aug18 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MON PETIT CHOU Feb04 Jan27 Jan03 Nov07 Sep29 (padilla e)VARGAS A 125 2.50    
SCR  PONTIFFANY Jan14 Jan07 Nov13 Aug18 Jul27 (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 3.50    
5  ROAD TO DREAMS Jan27 Jan13 Jan07 Dec02 Nov12 (chacon gusta)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 12.00    
6  ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE Feb04 Jan13 Dec09 Nov12 Oct14 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 7% 14.40    
7  LA CIENEGA Jan07 Dec18 Nov11 Oct16 Sep25 (velazqu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.00    
 
PRX-9   02/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA QUEEN Jan13 Dec18 Nov25 Nov13 Aug11 (brown howard )RIVERA D 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
2  SIRANI Dec18 Nov21 Nov13 Oct09 Sep17 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
3  ALCALA Jan04 Dec13 Nov20 Nov04 Oct19 (kirby john)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
4  ECLAIR BLANC Jan13 Dec18 Nov13 Oct19 Sep21 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PACHELBEL Jan29 Jan13 Dec18 Nov13 Nov04 (padilla e)VARGAS A 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Jun01 May11 Apr16 Feb29 Feb08 (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  COCOA'S VIVIAN Jan13 Apr10 Dec18 Nov21 Oct18 (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00    
 
PRX-10   02/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED DIAMOND Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 Nov13 Oct23 (hawthorne bobb)PENNINGTON F 122 2.00 9% 9.80    
2  MISS M M Jan27 Jan14 Jan07 Dec09 Oct29 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  CUP OF LIFE Jan27 Dec09 Nov19 Oct15 Sep30 (hamilton steph)ORTIZ JOSHUA 115 30.00    
4  TAKE TIME TO DREAM Jan27 Dec18 Nov20 Oct23 May24 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.50 25% 2.90    
5  BELLA MARIA Jan27 Jan14 Dec09 Nov29 Nov19 (hogan william )AGUILAR JEAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEET MISCHIEF Jan27 Jan07 Dec09 Oct29 Oct09 (tapsas ilias)RANGEL JOEZER 122 8.00    
7  BRIGHT KOHANA Jan14 Dec30 Nov02 Oct02 Sep17 (perez rupert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00    
8  MISS ALEX Jan27 Jan14 Dec09 Nov19 Oct29 (chacon gusta)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.