Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(5/2/6/1)-(6/8/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/1)-(6/8/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/1)-(6/8/7/5)-(4/7/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/5)-(6/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/5)-(6/8/7/5)-(6/8/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/5)-(4/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/5)-(4/7/5/6)-(5/4/10/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/6)-(5/4/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/6)-(5/4/10/8/6)-(7/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/4/10/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/10/8/6)-(5/4/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/10/8/6)-(5/4/10/8/6)-(5/4/10/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/10/8/6)-(7/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/10/8/6)-(7/3/6)-(6/7/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/2/5/6)-(7/3/2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(6/7/4/1)-(10/6/2/11/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/1)-(10/6/2/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/6/2/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/2/11/3)-(10/6/2/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/2/11/3)-(10/6/2/11/3)-(10/6/2/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Jan16 Dec12 Nov21 Nov04 Oct21 (bourne j)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00    
2  MY FRIENDS BEER Jan16 Dec14 Oct12 Sep28 Sep08 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 5.00    
3  TEXTPECTATION Jan16 Dec06 Nov08 Oct30 Oct23 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LAFITTE'S FLEET Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 Sep21 Jul19 (kulp brand)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 55% 0.80    
5  KING OF LUCK Jan03 Dec11 Nov06 Oct30 Oct18 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
6  EISELE Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep26 Jul05 (hummer a)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
7  ARTEMUS BRIDGE Dec22 Dec14 Nov15 Aug23 Aug01 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
CT-2   01/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S EAT Nov27 Nov06 Nov01 Oct11 Sep12 (gillespie ryan)GILBERT KYLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  PHOTO HOP Jan02 Dec13 Nov21 Oct19 Sep13 (aguirre)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.80 16% 5.30    
3  ON THE CHILL Nov08 Oct17 Sep14 Aug01 Jul17 (iannotti )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
4  HE'S A COMMISIONER Jan02 Nov30 Oct18 Sep27 Sep08 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
5  ROLLY Dec27 Dec13 Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  MORETHANICANHANDLE Jan02 Dec13 Oct12 Sep20 Aug23 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
7  BRYSONS OPTION Oct31 Oct09 Jul27 Jul03 May26 (iannotti i)HO WESLEY 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   01/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKEAGENTLEMAN Jan15 Dec11 Dec01 Oct30 Oct10 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00    
2  AWESOME FRIEND Jan16 Jan04 Dec06 Nov30 Nov15 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 124 20.00    
3  RESCORLA Jan04 Nov30 Nov15     (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 10.00    
4  D MAJESTICAL Jan04 Nov30 Oct30 Feb02 Oct21 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
5  COOLKID Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Apr06 Mar14 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00 6% 15.00    
6  BOLT D'PLATA Nov21 Nov01 Oct17 Oct05 Aug04 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 1.00 48% 1.10    
7  I WANNA ROCK Jan04 Dec22 Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 (rodriguez)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
8  SINGULARITY Jan04 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 Sep04 (payne )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
 
CT-4   01/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRLS PERFUME Jan16 Dec11 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
2  ROMAN CANDLE Sep20 Jun25 Jun14 May30 May17 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.00    
3  EXTRA DIRTY Nov27 Aug22 Aug01 Jun23 Jun07 (hillegass al)LEWIS M 122 20.00    
4  LUCKY BOP Jan02 Dec12 Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 (craig e)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  DONATE LIFE Dec04 Oct13 Oct04 Sep04 Aug12 (schoenthal phil)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00 12% 7.10    
6  MAKAAN Jan02 Nov22 Oct11 Aug22 Aug01 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRUE INDY Jan02 Dec12 Nov14 Oct01 Sep01 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
CT-5   01/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER REWARDS RVF Jan04 Dec13 Nov30 Nov21 Oct31 (smith osborn)DIAZ JR 124 30.00    
2  PASSING BAYOU Dec18 Dec04 Nov01 Oct16 Sep27 (kravets)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 10.00    
3  LINDA'S TAJ Dec04 Nov09 Oct24 Oct05 Aug23 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00    
4  SWEET SHUGS Jan04 Nov01 Sep21 Jul19 Jun28 (dove j)LEWIS M 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
5  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Jan02 Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 Sep27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 35% 1.80    
6  UNCAPTURED RUBY Sep28 Aug22 Jun06 May11 Apr19 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND Dec10 Nov11 Oct15 Sep24 Aug21 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 120 8.00    
8  DING DING Jan04 Nov14 Oct24 Sep28 Aug22 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
9  CANTHO Oct30 Oct14 Sep24 Aug28 Aug18 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 124 20.00    
10  CONTROLLED TEMPER Jan04 Nov16 Oct05 Sep21 Jun21 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
CT-6   01/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERSONIC CRUISER Dec11 Nov20       (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 10.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of TIGER CAT LILLY by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  LAWYER UP RILEY Dec11 Feb16 Dec21     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.80 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CALL PAT by LAWYER RON)
3  NORTH SHIP Jan16 Dec11 Nov14 Oct17 Sep24 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00 7% 13.80    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
4  ZAPTASTIC Dec04 Nov14 Sep28 Sep18 Aug28 (dollinger-sth)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHEERY OATS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  NO BRAKE NEEDED Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Oct17 Sep19 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 8.00 ★    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  FLIGHT WAY Nov26 Nov05 Oct21 Oct09 Dec02 (fiesman robert )RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PURRFECT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  HARBOUR BRIDGE Jan16 Dec11 Nov12 Oct22 Sep23 (hetrick kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00 71% 0.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
8  MEGS GOLDEN BOY Jan17 Dec11 Nov16 Nov07 Oct17 (boykins kevi)BATISTA A 124 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
SCR  MISS SHACK ATTACK Dec14 Nov30 Nov22 Aug16 Jul06 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 119 30.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOOKIN' FOR INDY by A.P. INDY)
10  JOEL'S BOY Jan16 Dec11 Nov15 Oct30 Oct16 (ovando melvi)LEWIS M 124 6.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of UNDEFEATED MIND by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
CT-7   01/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Y'ZIN UP Jan02 Nov27 Nov02 Oct08 Sep25 (knoblauch-pe)BATISTA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  W V LAD Jan02 Dec04 Nov07 Oct05 Sep21 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
3  MY BOY CLYDE Jan02 Oct18 Sep26 Aug27 Jul09 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
4  SHOOT THE BREEZE Dec07 Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 18% 4.60    
5  DOG TOWN ALLEN Dec12 Nov14 Oct26 Sep27 Sep13 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
6  GIACOMO CASANOVA Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 Aug07 Jul03 (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Jan02 Dec13 Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.00 19% 4.10    
 
CT-8   01/23/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALACTIC GLORY Dec13 Dec01 Oct19 Sep28 Sep20 (dove j)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
2  TAKE YOUR TIME Jan04 Dec11 Nov13 Oct30 Sep26 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 8% 11.50    
3  JUST A FLIRT Jan04 Nov29 Nov20 Nov08 Oct17 (mcgill sylve)DIAZ JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROCKING TO HOME Jan04 Dec11 Nov14 Oct30 Oct18 (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 122 30.00    
SCR  TEMPEST (GB) Nov03 Aug29 May04 Mar23   (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 122 5.00    
6  HARDLY EVER BETTER Jan04 Nov14 Sep12 Aug09 Jul12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  SUPER BOURBON Jan03 Dec13 Nov23 Oct30 Sep27 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00    
8  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jan03 Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
9  MINELLA Dec04 Nov19 Oct29 Oct16 Oct06 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 122 15.00    
10  DIRECT THE SHOW Jan04 Dec11 Nov21 Oct30 Oct03 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
11  DE'S CASTLE Jan04 Dec11 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.