Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (1/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5)-(1/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/5)-(3/5/4/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/5)-(3/5/4/7/8)-(8/4/3/9/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-3   WIN (3/5/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7/8)-(3/5/4/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7/8)-(3/5/4/7/8)-(3/5/4/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7/8)-(8/4/3/9/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7/8)-(8/4/3/9/6)-(7/2/5/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-4   WIN (8/4/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/9/6)-(8/4/3/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/9/6)-(8/4/3/9/6)-(8/4/3/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/3/9/6)-(7/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/9/6)-(7/2/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-5   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/3)-(1/9/5/3)-(6/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (1/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/5/3)-(6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/3)-(6/8/5)-(1/6/5/3/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (6/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/5)-(6/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/5)-(6/8/5)-(6/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/5)-(1/6/5/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HOU-8   WIN (1/6/5/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3/10)-(1/6/5/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3/10)-(1/6/5/3/10)-(1/6/5/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY LITTLE PRINCE Nov29 Oct06 Sep20 Sep07 Aug11 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 56% 0.80    
2  SR. BI BI Nov26 Nov01 Sep28 Sep04 Jun29 (chacaltana dom)SANCHEZ OBED 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  PLAY RULE Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 May18 May03 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
4  COLT FICTION Nov02 Oct09 Sep28 Jun25 Jun03 (william)GONCALVES R 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
5  UNION DATA Sep04 Aug17 Jun29 May04 Apr03 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUITABLE Nov29 Nov02 Oct16 Sep27 Sep05 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.50    
7  HERO TIME Nov26 Nov14 Oct17 Oct03 Sep13 (davidson )TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
 
HOU-3   01/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUTICAL MOON Dec06 Nov16 Nov01 Oct19 Sep19 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00    
2  IMA BIG BOPPER Aug27 Apr27 Apr05 Feb23 Feb02 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 30.00    
3  EMPIRE'S BEST Nov30 Oct26 Sep07 Aug17 Jul06 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  LEVY Nov30 Nov15 Oct31 Oct04 Sep20 (baldillez aleja)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00 7% 13.90    
5  ABSOLUTE COURAGE Jul12 Jun22 May27 Apr04 Mar17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
6  SEND OFF Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 Oct17 Sep27 (davidson sa)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
7  UNITED PATRIOT Dec11 Nov22 Oct18 Oct05 Sep20 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TEXAS TITAN Sep09 Aug27 Jun09 May25 May04 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  COMPUTATION Jan03 Dec06 Nov16 Oct30 Oct18 (villafranco frede)DIEGO V 123 10.00    
SCR  DEANOS CAPE Sep16 Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 (gou)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 12.00    
 
HOU-4   01/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO LINGERIE Nov29 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 Sep07 (williams )TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
2  DULCE AMANECER YG Jul04 Jun09 May25 May17 May05 (m)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
3  WICKED SONG Jul07 Jun22 May31 May18 May05 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.00 6% 15.00    
4  BLUE HEAVENLY Jan02 Dec06 Nov28 Sep27 Sep11 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 1.80 12% 7.40    
5  REASON OVER RICHES Dec12 Oct03 Jul13 Jun14 Jun01 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 8.00    
6  BLUSHING BELLE Nov23 Oct30 Sep17 Aug20 Jul13 (love)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUN WITT RUN Oct26 Sep18 Aug24 Jul13 Jun16 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 121 10.00    
8  SHE SPEAKS Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 Apr19 Mar16 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
9  AZUNIA Aug29 Jul03 Jun21 May27 May11 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-5   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN JUDY RUN Nov18         (young bob)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00    
2  PRAIRIE BRAT         (padilla c)TRIANA JR 122 10.00 16% 5.10    
3  OK BY ME Nov01 Oct09 Aug29 Aug15 Jul13 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  RED SEVEN Dec06 Nov18 Oct11     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 1.80    
5  TWICE A DOLLAR         (p)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 16% 5.10    
6  MADDIE'S MAVERICK Dec12 Nov18       (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 10.00    
7  HURRYANDGETREADY         (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  SILIVAS Dec04 Oct19 Sep13 Aug23 Jul14 (eoff terry)HUCKABY RONNIE 117 6.00    
 
HOU-6   01/10/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURN NORTH Aug09 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 May12 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 121 1.80 64% 0.60    
2  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 Jun28 Jun01 (k)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
3  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Oct26 Oct03 Aug29 Jul12 Jun28 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Aug05 Jul04 Jun02 May18 Apr18 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 121 30.00    
5  HELLO HELLO MISTER Dec13 Nov22 Sep25 Sep11 Aug25 (garza joaqui)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  FOO FLIGHTER Jul13 Jun22 May04 Mar23 Mar03 (padilla a)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
7  UP UP AND AWAY Nov22 Oct11 Sep21 Aug22 Jul04 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
8  PROVEN ADVOCATE Nov20 Aug22 Jul25 Jul06 Jun06 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 121 4.00    
9  MORO MAFIA Dec11 Nov09 Oct16 Aug26 Jul13 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 3.00 9% 10.10    
 
HOU-7   01/10/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMUA KAI Nov30 Nov13 Oct09     (hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50    
2  MORTIFY Dec13 Nov09 Oct25 Sep12 Aug22 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 123 20.00    
SCR  NERKY ROSE Oct17 Sep18 Sep07 Aug22 Jun23 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUSLY Apr07 Jan10 Nov29 Oct25 Aug27 (fogarty desmond)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00    
5  SONIC POSSE Nov14 Oct23 May15 Apr16 Mar19 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 123 6.00 8% 11.10    
6  MOON CAT Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug23 Jul04 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  GOOD SWIMMER Oct18 Sep20 Aug31 Aug22 Jul04 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00    
8  ICEATUDE Jan05 Nov29 Nov15 Sep18 Aug29 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
9  NINETY TWO Dec07 Nov19 Nov07 Oct17 Oct03 (william)GONCALVES R 123 8.00    
 
HOU-8   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 45 ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRADIX Dec12         (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 1.50 32% 2.10    
  (by BRADESTER out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
2  SUPER EKATI Oct16 Sep26 Sep04 Jul06 May04 (love alan)PEREZ A 123 20.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SUPER ESTHER by MALIBU MOON)
3  SILENT BLING Jul04 May31 May04 Mar23 Feb17 (gelner jayde)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
SCR  CANDY BINDER Jul14 Jul04 Jun16 May26   (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 20.00    
  (by SPELLBINDER out of CANDY PAINT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  THE DEVIL'S BET         (cla)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00 8% 10.90    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of DEVIL IN THE NIGHT by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
6  RAROTONGA Feb09         (hurley r)CABRERA DAVID 123 8.00 29% 2.40    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
7  FLY RED BIRD FLY Sep04         (rivera j)RIVERA SANTOS 123 30.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of SHEZAPIRANHA by SILVER CITY)
8  IHAVETOOMUCHAIR Nov16 Oct23 Oct02 Aug23 Jul04 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BETHYL'S ROYALROSE by TOO MUCH BLING)
9  EXPECT GLORY Jul04 Jun15 May31 May04 Mar17 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 5.00    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of GLORIOUS ODYSSEY by MIZZEN MAST)
10  OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Nov05 Sep26 Sep04 Jul29 Jul14 (love alan)SANCHEZ OBED 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
SCR  DOC HENRY RIDGE Jun15 Jun07 May26 May03 Apr19 (k)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of HENYETTA by KING TUTTA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.