Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/7/8)-(4/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(4/3/6)-(5/2/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(5/2/7)-(4/1/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(4/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(4/1/9/6)-(7/4/8/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/9/6)-(7/4/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/4/8/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/10/6)-(7/4/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/10/6)-(7/4/8/10/6)-(7/4/8/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWISS DANCER Jul04         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
GLORY N THEHIGHEST Dec06 Nov17 Nov02 Oct04   (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 5.00 44% 1.30    
PRANCING MATILDA Dec18 Dec03 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
LOTSA STEEL Dec19 Dec03 Nov13 Oct13 Sep28 (kemper kas)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  BLUE MOCHA Dec18         (tubbs scott)REYES R 124 5.00    
SENT BY ANGELS Dec03 Aug01 Jul05 Jun22 May01 (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 1.80    
 
TUP-4   01/02/2025 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEBUTANTES DELIGHT Dec04 Nov16 Oct23 Sep14 Aug17 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
RUSTY'S LEGACY Dec04 Nov13 Oct06     (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 121 5.00    
BY DECREED Dec17 Nov25 Nov13 Sep02 Aug11 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
WAR IS HELL Nov13 Oct06 Sep07 Aug10   (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50    
MIDNIGHT APPROVAL Dec17 Nov25 Aug11 Jul13   (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
DESERT BREEZE Dec17 Nov25 Apr11     (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 2.50 77% 0.30    
ROCKNTHECLUBHOUSE Apr11         (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
CREE Dec04         (williams david)REYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWN PROSECUTOR Sep06 Jul04 Jun01 May02 Mar26 (campo sta)IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY Dec16 Dec03 Sep16 Aug19 Jul04 (vitali j)TOHILL S 124 2.00    
ROYAL CURLIN Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct11 Sep20 (silva jos)ULLOA JOAN 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
SIZE LORD Dec23 Nov30 Aug03 Jul04 May19 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 57% 0.80    
AUTISM MIND Dec19 Dec03 Nov09 Oct04 Sep22 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
MARVELOUS MARK Dec16 Apr18 Apr04 Mar28   (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
 
TUP-6   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT LIL MESS Dec23 Dec03 Nov11 Aug25 May04 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 122 20.00    
INFINITE LOVE Dec11 Nov29 Nov12 Sep15 Sep06 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
DIAMOND DEE Nov26 Nov12 Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 1.40    
SHELBY SHORTSTOP Dec10 Nov12 Sep08 Aug30 Aug18 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 124 6.00    
CAN'T WANT THAT Dec11 Nov27 Sep20 Aug18 Aug03 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 39% 1.60    
PURRFECT MOON Nov12 Sep14 Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
DREWY Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 Aug04 Jul21 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   01/02/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONGOLIAN SPRING Dec03 Nov21 Sep14 Aug23 Aug09 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
BIG STICK Nov26 Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 Aug18 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
CLASSIC RUNNER Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 Jun27 (hodgson ba)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.50    
MY CAIRO KID Dec05 Nov21 Sep01 Aug10 Jul27 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
ARTETA Dec17 Oct18 Sep18 Sep02 Aug18 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
CASSANO Nov26 Oct20 Sep21 Aug31 Jul31 (hedge rick)HUGHES RASHEED 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEKUDYLAN Dec05 Nov19 Sep14 Aug31 Aug11 (birdwell tena)REYES R 124 10.00    
SCR  BENNY BUCKETS Dec19 Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 Aug31 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
LUKA GRAZIE Nov19 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Jul03 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 11% 8.40    
 
TUP-8   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Nov30 Nov20 Nov12 Jun26 May25 (wolf ashlee)REYES R 124 5.00    
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Dec10 Nov30 Nov20 Oct14 Sep22 (christian)JENSEN P 124 20.00    
SCR  HADLEES HONOR Dec19 Dec12 Nov20 Oct14 Sep29 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00    
CAJUN TREASURE Dec12 Nov30 Nov20 Nov11 Sep13 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
ATOMIC CANDY Dec19 Nov20 Nov11 Sep13 Sep01 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
SIDE STREET DAVE Dec10 Aug19 Aug05 Jun25 Jun10 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
KO SAMUI (IRE) Nov11 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 Aug11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
DAZZLING TRUTHS Dec18 Nov26 Nov12 Oct06 Sep24 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
JOCK TALK Sep21 Aug05 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 (krasner cin)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 12.00    
10  LEPRINO Sep16 Aug18 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
11  BEL RAGAZZO Dec16 Nov26 Nov14 Jul14 Jun30 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
12  HEZADOOZIE Dec16 Sep24 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.