Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - December 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (10/3/6/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/6/2/4)-(10/3/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/6/2/4)-(10/3/6/2/4)-(10/3/6/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/6/2/4)-(2/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/3/6/2/4)-(2/1/4)-(6/5/3/10/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/5/3/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/5/3/10/2)-(3/1/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/5/3/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/10/2)-(6/5/3/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/10/2)-(6/5/3/10/2)-(6/5/3/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/3/10/2)-(3/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/10/2)-(3/1/5/2)-(4/3/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/2)-(4/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/2)-(4/3/8/6)-(6/3/8/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/8/6)-(6/3/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/6)-(6/3/8/2/1)-(1/2/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (6/3/8/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2/1)-(6/3/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2/1)-(6/3/8/2/1)-(6/3/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2/1)-(1/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/2/1)-(1/2/6/7)-(2/8/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(2/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(2/8/7/6)-(8/3/4/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/6)-(8/3/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (8/3/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/9)-(8/3/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/9)-(8/3/4/9)-(8/3/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/9)-(5/6/8/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-10   WIN (5/6/8/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/9/2)-(5/6/8/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/9/2)-(5/6/8/9/2)-(5/6/8/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAL BREAKING DAME Dec06 Nov08       (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
WATCH MONEY         (leblanc richard)ROSIER R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
HALF AN APPLE Nov22 Oct23 Jul27     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
MO SISTER         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
LA. GRAND SLAM Oct25         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00    
SHE'S A TARGET Nov22 Oct19 Aug09     (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
WHAT'S UP BERTIE         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 121 12.00    
ACADIANA         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00    
PLATINUMUS MAXIMUS Dec06         (castille carr)VARGAS P 121 20.00    
10  GOLDEN BARCENTS Oct12 Aug09       (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
 
DED-2   12/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILOXI Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 Aug10 (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
SUPER CURIOSO (ARG) Dec04 Nov09 Jun28 May17 Apr18 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 1.80 21% 3.80    
FAHAN Dec06 Nov13 Oct19 Jul06 Jun15 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
UNFATHOMED Dec04 Nov23 Aug01 Jun27 May30 (ramirez-rod)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 18% 4.60    
POMEROY HAZE Dec04 Oct25 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 4.50    
BIND FAITH Nov15 Oct25 Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 6.00    
SCR  AMERICAIN JOEY Nov01 Sep27 Sep14 Aug31 Aug16 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
 
DED-3   12/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN RECKLESS RUN Nov22 Jul12 Jun28     (grimaldo jo)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 6.00    
SECRET MAGIC         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
FULLY BLESSED         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 5.00 6% 14.40    
IMPERIAL ASSAULT         (mcdonald cr)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00    
JENNY'S DAY Nov22 Nov08 Oct12 Jul05   (noel dane)VARGAS P 121 4.00 11% 8.50    
SHAMAY Dec06         (alberto anto)BARRERA J 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
WELL ACCUSTOMED         (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 121 6.00    
KISSES FOR COOPER         (faul jason)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
SCR  DUCK'S MONEY         (leblanc rich)JOURNET JARRED 121 20.00    
10  SPECIAL STRIKE Nov08 Oct12 Sep02 Aug21   (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-4   12/19/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENN Nov27 Oct25 Aug01 Jul04 Jun22 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
WOOD RIVER Nov02 Oct11 Aug14 Jul12 Jun29 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BALLINONABUDJET Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 May04 Apr13 (reeves jeff)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
RANCH WATER Nov27 Apr13 Mar06 Jan19 Dec29 (landry allen)MAGNON H 120 5.00    
CREEKSIDE Nov15 Oct19 Aug16 Jun29 Dec30 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 8% 11.80    
CITY PARK Nov06 Oct11 Sep23 Dec08 Oct26 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
SCR  REAL ACTION Nov22 Aug23 Jul20 Jun06 May17 (briley lonnie)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
KING OF CONTRABAND Aug14 Jun29 Jun13 May24 Apr25 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
CAJUN MISCHIEF Nov30 Nov06 Oct19 Sep10 Aug26 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
 
DED-5   12/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 2 ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTCHY BOY Nov16 Oct10 Sep26 Sep14 Aug28 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 121 6.00    
SCR  EL LAGARTO Oct25 Aug24       (silva walter)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 8.00    
MEETING JENNY         (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 118 5.00 24% 3.10    
ONEMOTIME Nov16 Oct18       (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
KOODIE Nov09         (melancon do)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50    
SANTIAGO PROVINCE Oct25         (silva walte)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
COPESTHEBOMB Nov16 Sep14       (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 116 12.00    
BOX OF CANDY Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 Aug10 Jul13 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 3.50 13% 6.60    
 
DED-6   12/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO CLOSE Dec04 Nov22 Nov01 Aug24 Aug02 (celestine cha)VARGAS P 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUGAR CANE GAL Nov22 Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 Aug09 (zeno be)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CRAFTROOM Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 Sep09 Aug10 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 2.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY BEAD LADY Nov20 Oct25 Sep09 Aug24 Jan06 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 121 6.00    
BEAT THE DOUBLE Nov29 Nov09 Oct17 May30 Apr24 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 116 6.00    
SURREY Nov15 Aug24 Jul27 May15 Apr20 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
ALTAR GIRL Nov20 Nov07 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 (litfin veronic)THORNTON G 124 8.00    
LEPRECHAUN CHARM Nov20 Nov02 Aug12 Jul31 Jun03 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00 10% 9.30    
CHARMING KAT Dec06 Nov07 Aug23 Jul26 Jul06 (flugence henry)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00    
10  GALAXY AFFAIR Nov22 Nov09 Oct12 Aug03 Feb22 (west henry)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 20.00    
SCR  COSTA LADY Dec06 Nov07 Oct17 Aug23 Aug03 (boxie s)PEREZ CARLOS 115 6.00    
SCR  MRS. MACOMBER Dec12 Nov07 Sep26 Sep02 Aug21 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.00    
 
DED-7   12/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAL PICKLE Dec06 Nov26 Nov02 Oct27   (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
TAKE OVER STORMY         (daigle walter)ARANA KELVIN 115 8.00 24% 3.10    
LA DEAL Nov13         (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
RED REVENGER Dec05 Aug24       (thomas lee)PEREZ CARLOS 115 10.00    
SWING OF THINGS Nov26         (breaux samuel)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
SWEETHEART VISION Nov26 Nov02 Jun27 May24 May11 (garcia migu)LEDET THEODRICK 121 5.00 7% 14.30    
AMELIES DREAMER Aug09 Jul06 Jun14 Apr18 Feb21 (journet alb)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA CANTAROS Nov29 Nov15 Oct29 Sep16 Aug26 (melancon do)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 3.50    
 
DED-8   12/19/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLICATOR Nov23 Nov02 Jun21 May14 Mar22 (ramirez-rod)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 5.00    
OREGON COUNTY Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 Sep07 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
FORT BONZ Nov06 Jul27 Jul06 Jun20 May16 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 117 12.00    
ELUSIVE D'ORO Dec06 Nov16 Nov07 Aug09 Jul20 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 2.50    
ZULTAN Nov30 Feb21 Jan21 Dec20 Dec01 (modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
IL CAPITANO (GB) Nov20 Nov01 Oct16 Sep26 Sep05 (litfin veroni)VARGAS P 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG ROJO Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 Oct11 Sep26 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
BELLO CREEDO Nov14 Oct30 Sep18 Aug14 Jul18 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
DED-9   12/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP STATE Nov22 Oct16 Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 (cangemi dani)BARRERA J 120 6.00    
QUARTER RAT Nov13 Oct25 Sep11 Aug15 Jul04 (reeves jeffe)MAGNON H 117 3.50    
KAJUN KARMA Nov27 Nov15 Oct25 Jun27 May17 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 22% 3.60    
EASY BIG BOY Dec06 Nov22 Nov09 Oct17 Sep18 (hewitt m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GHOST COWBOY Nov27 Nov15 Oct29 Sep10 Aug13 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 122 2.50    
SCR  COOLER KING Nov13 Nov05 Oct20 Oct09 Sep12 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 115 15.00    
SHANKINSTINE Oct25 Oct12 May07 Mar07 Feb18 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 112 20.00    
WANNA WINNA Nov27 Oct30 Oct12 Aug06 Jul23 (silva walter)ARANA KELVIN 115 8.00 46% 1.20    
TRAELEE Nov23 Oct19 Aug15 Jul26 Jul06 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-10   12/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGED UP ROSE Nov20 Oct18 Aug24 Jun27 Jun06 (dussette alvi)LOZADA CARLOS 116 20.00    
DAY FOR THE GRAY Nov16 Oct10 Sep04     (gomez c)VARGAS P 119 8.00 8% 12.30    
HIGH DONNA Nov02 Aug10 Jul27 May29 May04 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 120 15.00    
GYPSY JACKPOT Nov22 Apr13 Feb23 Jan25 Jan06 (pomier de)BIRZER E 117 15.00    
IMMA GOING TO WIN Nov16 Jun16 May31 Apr28 Mar29 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
GOOD BY FAITH Nov16 Aug16 Aug01 Jun20 May17 (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 114 6.00 19% 4.20    
DYLAN'S DREAM Nov20 Nov06 Oct11 Sep14 Aug23 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 5.00    
SNOW FLURRY Nov09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
FLATHEAD FINALE Nov02 Oct15 Oct01 Aug31 Aug08 (martinez ralph)THORNTON G 119 2.50 14% 6.00    
10  MY IDEA Nov22 Oct17 Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 116 10.00    
SCR  STAND BY TIME Dec06 Nov20 Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 116 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.