Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - December 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/5/7/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/5/7/9)-(4/2/5/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(9/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(9/3/4)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-3   WIN (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/4)-(9/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/3/4)-(9/3/4)-(9/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/3/4)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4)-(2/4/6/3)-(5/8/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/3)-(5/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/3)-(5/8/3/1)-(9/1/8/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1)-(5/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/1)-(9/1/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/1)-(9/1/8/3)-(1/4/9/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/3)-(9/1/8/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/3)-(9/1/8/10/3)-(9/1/8/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/8/3)-(1/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8/3)-(1/4/9/8)-(1/8/10/5/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/4/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/8)-(1/4/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/8)-(1/4/9/8)-(1/4/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/9/8)-(1/8/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/8/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/10/5/7)-(1/8/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/10/5/7)-(1/8/10/5/7)-(1/8/10/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   12/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRANCING MATILDA Dec03 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
2  BLUE MOCHA         (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  LOOKOUT PASS Nov01 Oct05 Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
4  GIGI'S THIRSTY Apr30         (silva jos)ULLOA JOAN 121 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  LUPITA Mar04 Feb13 Feb06 Jan29 Jan12 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 4.00 ★    
6  CARBONEL Sep26 Aug24 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 (gutierrez)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 12.00    
7  SAL GAL Feb22 Jul09 May05     (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
8  LUCKY LARA Aug18 Apr08 Mar12 Feb13 May30 (domingu)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00    
9  HARD TO FORGET Dec03 Nov13 Sep13     (lawrenc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   12/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLLYWOOD IMPACT Apr11         (s)ROJAS EDUARD 121 10.00    
SCR  CURLY'S ONE THING Nov25         (si)DA FAUSTO 121 6.00    
3  MY BUDDY GEORGE Apr11         (silva jos)ULLOA JOAN 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  MAKIN MY FORTUNE Aug25 Aug11 Jul14     (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CALMCOOLNCOLLECTED Dec04 Sep01       (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 121 4.50    
SCR  POLLITO TITO Nov25         (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00    
7  STREET GUN Apr25 Apr11       (schnell don)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
SCR  THUNDERMOUNTAINMAN Nov17         (martinez a)VERGARA P 121 15.00    
9  ODE TO MY BRO BOB Dec04 Nov25 Nov13 Sep21 Aug24 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 45% 1.20    
 
TUP-4   12/18/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTERN OCEAN May03 Feb10 Dec26 Nov24 Oct29 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
2  MUBTADAA Nov17 Oct14 Sep06 Aug03 Jul04 (cerin vladi)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  COTTONWOOD Nov19 Oct19 Oct02 Sep11 Jul12 (gibson f)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  KENNEBEC Nov19 Aug08 Jul10 May04 Apr11 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
5  BYE Nov05 Sep11 May19 Jun16 May27 (green gre)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
6  SALINE RIVER Oct23 Aug04 Jun23 Jun08 May03 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
7  JACKS OUTLAW Jul03 Jun08 May04 Apr16 Mar26 (silva jos)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 6.00    
 
TUP-5   12/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALSELY ACCUSED Dec02 Nov13 Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 (homer jason)MAWING A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SECRET POTION Sep21 Aug25 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
3  COASTAL KID Dec05 Nov14 Oct06 Sep15 Jul28 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 4.00 11% 8.50    
4  LORD SHELDON Dec11 Sep08 Aug17 Jul07 Jun01 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
5  ARMA D'ORO Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 Aug31 Aug11 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  BUCK OWENS Dec02 Nov13 Sep29 Sep21 Sep08 (story chad)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
7  SENSICAL Dec02 Sep07 Aug01 Jul06 Aug11 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
8  OWHATARUSH Nov25 Sep15 Aug04 Jul21 Jun21 (wisdom anne)REYES R 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-6   12/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 2 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LULA BELLA Nov25 May26       (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
2  BEAUTIFUL BREEZE Sep12         (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 6.00    
3  SLEW CITY TIZ Nov17 Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 Aug11 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CELTICA Nov25 Nov13 Oct14 Aug22   (story chad)REYES R 121 15.00    
5  AINTAFRAIDTODREAM Oct19         (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00    
6  INXPRESS May04 Apr11       (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 5.00    
7  STANFORD HOLIDAY Nov17 Oct13 Aug25     (simpson sh)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00    
8  DEBBIE Z Nov25         (silva l)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  I HAVE A DREAM Nov25 Jul06 Jun22     (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
10  HINT OF FRIPPERY Sep24 Aug03       (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   12/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOY IN THE BATTLE Nov25 Nov11 Sep15 Sep03 Aug21 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00 52% 0.90    
2  LUCKY STEPPER Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
3  FOR FUN Nov30 Nov11 Sep26 Sep11 Sep02 (ferguson c)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
4  DON'T TELL HYDEE Nov21 Nov12 Sep15 Aug30 Aug23 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  OCTANE (BRZ) Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 Aug04 Jul25 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 124 4.00    
6  LAKER JET Nov21 Nov11 Oct06 Sep08 Aug23 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
SCR  BEE A BALI Nov25 Nov11 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00    
8  FALL MOON Nov25 Nov11 Sep14 Aug22 Jun29 (woolley l)MOJICA O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Dec05 Nov18 Oct31 Oct24 Aug24 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 9% 9.70    
10  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Dec04 Nov21 Nov12 Sep15 Sep01 (hernan)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-8   12/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR ENTRY Nov30 Nov13 Sep29 Jul20 Jun22 (ferguson cu)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 5.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  JOHNNY DAR Aug29 Aug18 Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
3  SHINING TIGER Dec04 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Jul28 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 15.00    
4  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Nov30 Nov20 Oct13 Sep25 Sep15 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 124 15.00    
5  MAHI MAHI Nov25 Sep06 Aug25 Jul26 Jul03 (garcia)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLAZE OF DREAMS Nov26 Nov12 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00    
7  BACK ALLEY CAT Nov30 Feb14 Dec26 Dec11 Dec05 (hernandez)IRONEYES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SEA BREEZE BOY Nov30 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Aug30 (christian billy)CRUZ M 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
9  DAZZLING TRUTHS Nov26 Nov12 Oct06 Sep24 Sep10 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00    
10  SAINT PIO Nov20 Sep24 Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
11  MAD LUTHER Nov30 Nov20 Aug03 Jul06 Jun29 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
SCR  ESTEEMED Nov26 Nov14 Oct25 Oct13 Oct05 (macvittie william)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.