Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - November 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/8/6/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(2/8/6/3/4)-(3/1/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/8/6/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/3/4)-(2/8/6/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/3/4)-(2/8/6/3/4)-(2/8/6/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/6/3/4)-(3/1/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/3/4)-(3/1/5/6)-(2/4/3/1/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-3   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(2/4/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(2/4/3/1/5)-(11/6/4/5/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-4   WIN (2/4/3/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1/5)-(2/4/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1/5)-(2/4/3/1/5)-(2/4/3/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1/5)-(11/6/4/5/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1/5)-(11/6/4/5/9)-(1/9/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (11/6/4/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/4/5/9)-(11/6/4/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/4/5/9)-(11/6/4/5/9)-(11/6/4/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/4/5/9)-(1/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/6/4/5/9)-(1/9/6/2)-(3/9/2/1/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-6   WIN (1/9/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/2)-(1/9/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/2)-(1/9/6/2)-(1/9/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/6/2)-(3/9/2/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/6/2)-(3/9/2/1/8)-(2/5/6/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-7   WIN (3/9/2/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/1/8)-(3/9/2/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/1/8)-(3/9/2/1/8)-(3/9/2/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/2/1/8)-(2/5/6/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2/1/8)-(2/5/6/8/1)-(2/10/3/9/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-8   WIN (2/5/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/8/1)-(2/5/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/8/1)-(2/5/6/8/1)-(2/5/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/6/8/1)-(2/10/3/9/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/10/3/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/3/9/5)-(2/10/3/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/3/9/5)-(2/10/3/9/5)-(2/10/3/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC HOPE Oct11 Sep26 Aug28 Aug14 Jul16 (rivera nestor)RENGIFO JOHAN 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
STAR APRIORITY Nov05 Oct12 Sep09 Aug23 Jun27 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 4.50    
WE CALL HIM DOC Nov05 Oct12 Aug17 Jul26 Jul04 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 119 6.00    
B D PRIMARY OURS Jul05 Apr25 Feb01 Nov17   (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 114 15.00    
SUMMER REUNION         (breaux samuel)PEREZ CARLOS 114 8.00 21% 3.70    
SEEKING THE GAME         (hewitt michae)VARGAS P 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
MIZ MASTERY May04 Apr18 Mar16 Feb25 Aug17 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50    
SUPERHERO Nov06 Oct16 Sep12 Aug05 Jul10 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
 
DED-2   11/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNO PEA Oct23 Sep26 Aug21 Jul10   (martinez ralph )POMPELL L 119 15.00    
OVERCAST Oct30 Sep10 Aug17 Dec08 Sep10 (jeansonne just)PEREZ CARLOS 110 2.50 38% 1.60    
MOLLI WAY Jun01 Feb15 Jan06 Nov25 Nov01 (romero j)ARANA KELVIN 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
TALKABOUT Oct29 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 (broussard jar)VARGAS P 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
CIRCLE UP Oct30 Jul13 Jun06 Apr26 Mar14 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 115 3.50    
RUN DREAMING Oct30 Aug31 Aug20 Jul24 May22 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  BIKINI BOTTOM Sep14 Jun28 May29 Apr18 Mar24 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 118 6.00    
MOLTO VINO Oct25 Aug17 Jul13 May18 Oct07 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 115 4.50 20% 3.90    
UNLUCKY IN LOVE Oct17 Jul07 Jun07 May17 Apr21 (coats t)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00    
 
DED-3   11/22/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE TEQUILA Nov09 Jul25 Jun29 Jun01   (gelner scott)BARRERA J 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of ANOTHERTEQUILASHOT by BODEMEISTER)
SWEET TALKIN SLICK Oct18 Sep26 Sep14 Jul22   (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of OUR SLICK CHICK by ESKENDEREYA)
BIG NICKEL Aug31 Aug13 Jul29     (clary jayla)MELANCON JANSEN 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by MR. MONEY out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
MY SPECIAL STAR Nov05 Oct10       (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ELEGANT IDEA by PRIVATE VOW)
DEWCLAW Nov02         (brinkman brett)PEREZ CARLOS 115 6.00 10% 9.40    
  (by HARD ACES out of ELEMONATE by LEMON DROP KID)
JACQUE COUTEAU         (castille carrol)POMPELL L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE LINER out of REINE DES ANIMAUX by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
PATIENCE WILL PAY         (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00    
  (by DAAHER out of SO WELL READ by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
 
DED-4   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEXI'S FURY Nov01 Oct23 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 (duhon paul)VARGAS P 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
CUSTOMERUNHAPPY Oct29 Sep10 Aug16 Jul26 Jun22 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
GYPSY JACKPOT Apr13 Feb23 Jan25 Jan06 Dec21 (pomier de)BIRZER E 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
HOLIDAY DOUBLE Aug16 Jul13 Jun22     (zenon shelt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
OAK HILL SENIORITA Oct17 Jul19 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUGAR CANE GAL Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 Aug09 Jul20 (zeno benjami)BARRERA J 122 4.00    
DADDY'S CINDERELLA Oct12 Sep18 Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00    
LONG SHOT LOUISE Oct18 Sep26 Jul23 Jun24 May27 (ramirez julio)HERNANDEZ V 124 8.00    
MY IDEA Oct17 Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 Jul23 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 122 20.00    
10  GALAXY AFFAIR Nov09 Oct12 Aug03 Feb22 Feb02 (west henry)RAMIREZ PAULINA 124 20.00    
 
DED-5   11/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDENLUTE Sep26 Aug27 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
ARKANSAS ZONG Nov06 Aug23 Jul20 Jul11 Jun14 (dison phill)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00    
WESLEYAN Oct30 Oct16 Aug27 Aug07 Jan25 (johnson henry)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
EMPTY HOLSTER Oct22 Oct01 Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 (martinez ralph )POMPELL L 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
HELLO HELLO MISTER Sep25 Sep11 Aug25 Jul20 Jul03 (garza joaquin )ARANA KELVIN 115 12.00 9% 9.60    
PATIO'S PORCH Oct23 Sep26 Sep02 Aug03 Jul20 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  TEXAS TURBINE Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 (flugence)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
SUPREME CAPO Oct17 Aug25 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 (sauceda jes)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
TRUVY'S BANDIT Nov06 Jul18 Jun27 May29 Apr19 (averett ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SPEIGHTFUL ONE Oct23 Aug22 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 2.50    
11  CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Oct16 Aug24 Aug03 Jun29 May09 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 117 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
DED-6   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHS COAST Feb10 Jan18       (gelner scott)BARRERA J 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
QUIET MELODY Nov02 Oct10 Jun21     (giangrosso )RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STOLEN BULLET Nov02 Oct10 Aug23 Aug09   (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 117 5.00    
SURPRISE SUNRISE Jul26 Jun15       (dison phillip )MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00    
MR LEE'S PRINCESS Jun20         (rubin donald)BIRZER E 119 12.00    
GRITTY TORNADO         (west henry)VARGAS P 122 15.00 10% 8.90    
WAABOO Oct17 Sep26 Sep16 Aug05   (winslow janine)ARANA KELVIN 117 8.00    
BALITRIX Oct17 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 (vincent jarvis)HERNANDEZ V 122 6.00    
TIME TO CLOSE Nov01 Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun22 (celestine char)DEONAUTH P 121 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
DED-7   11/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOVALL Nov08 Aug03 Jul11 Jun07 May10 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 118 8.00 6% 15.50    
BERTIE'S GALAXY Jun01 Apr20 Mar16 Mar01 Feb10 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
BIG CHOPPER Oct06 Aug05 Jun24 Jun03 May06 (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
BLACK SWORD Nov08 Jun01 May04 Feb03 Dec13 (averett ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 115 15.00    
HALF FULL Oct23 Jul20 Feb23 Dec08 Oct18 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00    
WILD BERT Oct10 Jun01 May04 Feb03 Dec09 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
SIGN OF WAR Nov08 Sep25 Sep04 Aug17 Jul12 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
MARKS PROMISE Nov06 Oct16 May18 Apr27 Jan25 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
STRONG PROMISE Oct17 Jun01 May04 Mar23 Dec31 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
DED-8   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAZZY JUSTIN Oct17 Aug14 Jul19 May03 Apr11 (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MUFFIN NUTS Nov05 Oct17 Aug14 Jul03 Jun14 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 3.50 41% 1.40    
BUBBA'S RECKLESS Aug23 Jul13 Jun30 Jun14 May12 (gelner j)ARANA KELVIN 113 8.00    
MOTAWAAFEQ Nov02 Jul13 Jul04 Jun15 May17 (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 115 10.00    
HYPERBOLIST Apr06 Dec08 Jun02 May05 Apr08 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
DANCIN WITH ANGELS Nov07 Sep11 Aug11 Jun21 Mar22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 11% 7.70    
REAL ACTION Aug23 Jul20 Jun06 May17 Apr19 (briley lonnie)BIRZER E 117 5.00    
STOMPING HOTROD Nov06 Sep25 Sep17 Aug19 Aug07 (hewitt micha)BARRERA J 120 15.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  MY UNCLE LEON Oct23 Sep10 Jul15 Jun26 May27 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
10  EASY BIG BOY Nov09 Oct17 Sep18 Jul31 Jul17 (dixon ti)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
 
DED-9   11/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHAT'S UP BERTIE         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 120 6.00    
JENNY'S DAY Nov08 Oct12 Jul05     (noel dane)POMPELL L 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
R T'S STAR         (landry allen )VARGAS P 120 6.00 6% 14.70    
MOMENT TO PREACH Oct23 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun01 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 120 8.00    
SHE'S A TARGET Oct19 Aug09       (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
HALF AN APPLE Oct23 Jul27       (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
RUN RECKLESS RUN Jul12 Jun28       (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 15.00    
MISS CHEESE BREAD Oct25 Aug09       (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00    
RANOLOGIST         (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPECIAL STRIKE Nov08 Oct12 Sep02 Aug21   (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.