Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - November 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3)-(7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(4/6/5)-(1/9/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/9/5/2)-(7/5/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (1/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/2)-(1/3/9/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/2)-(1/3/9/5/2)-(1/3/9/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/5/2)-(7/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/2)-(7/5/2/3)-(5/11/8/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/3)-(5/11/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/11/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/8/9)-(5/11/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/11/8/9)-(5/11/6/8/9)-(5/11/6/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/11/8/9)-(3/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (3/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/8)-(2/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/8)-(2/7/1/6)-(1/3/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6)-(2/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/6)-(1/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-9   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   11/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA BANKER Nov04 Oct23 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 (oyola david)DAVILA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTINROXY Oct14 Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 May22 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 4.00    
LINDSEY (GB) Oct07 Sep24 Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND LADY INDY Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug21 Aug07 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
BAYOU MELODY Oct22 Sep24 Aug28 Aug07 Jun10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
FLATTERY'S MUSIC Oct30 Sep25 Aug21 Aug07 Jul02 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 6.00    
BON FIRE DIVA Oct21 Sep25 Sep02 Aug12 Jul24 (williams o)DE EMANUEL 126 3.00    
 
FL-2   11/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO FLIGHT Oct28 Oct14 Sep23     (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 121 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SKY GAL by SKY MESA)
FINDANAME Nov04 Oct15 Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 (areche thalia)DIAZ J 121 15.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  THE MANTICORE Sep25 Jul26 Sep04 Jun19 Jun21 (meadow patrici)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of MALIBU CRUZ by MALIBU MOON)
NOT MY TYPE Oct28 Oct01 Sep09 Aug19   (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 2.50    
  (by CATOMIZE out of MY EXCESS by PARTNER'S HERO)
WO HOP Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jun28 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
DESTINED FOR GLORY Oct15 Sep16 Aug26 Jul22   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00 5% 18.40    
  (by DESTIN out of WILD SHINER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
JAKE'S ORCHARD Nov04 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 2.00 41% 1.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  FELINE TREASURE Nov02 Oct24 Sep27 Jul26 Jun28 (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 121 6.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of BETTER THAN RUBIES by SMARTY JONES)
 
FL-3   11/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COZEE MAGIC Oct29 Oct09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul15 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
KRYSTALHEIR Oct29 Oct10 Sep13 Aug14 Jun20 (coffey mar)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  GOING HOME NOW Oct22 Oct02 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 (turetsky e)ROHENA JR 124 5.00    
OH MRS. MAISEL Oct29 Oct09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
INTENTIOUS Oct09 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jun25 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 10.00 7% 13.60    
MY ROYAL VOW Oct09 Sep16 Jul26 Jul14 Jun21 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
COQUITO Nov06 Sep09 Aug11 Jul17 May04 (reed l)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 1.60    
 
FL-4   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROBABLY FLATTERY Nov06 Oct16 Sep25     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
STEGOSAURUS Nov06 Oct05 Sep09     (sel)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ROCK STAR ROYALTY by FIVE STAR DAY)
RAISULI         (acquilano jame)COA J 122 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LEE out of SHARDS OF CLASS by TEUFLESBERG)
AWAITING TRIAL Nov06 Oct28       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RECOGNITION by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
DR. BARRY         (ferraro michael)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLAME out of MINDY GOLD by A.P. INDY)
KAMIN SIRA Nov06 Oct28       (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 5.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of CHORNAYAH KRACOTA by COSMONAUT)
JUST A GUY Oct23 Oct08 Sep25     (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of PIECES OF SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ARMENIAN DANCER (GB) Nov06         (grusmark kar)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of QUEENOFZEENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
HONOR FOR MANDIN         (rohena jose)CAMILO D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of IT'S A SHAW THING by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
FL-5   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAITING FOR A. I.         (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
STORMIN SAMMY Oct28 Oct16       (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
  (by IRONICUS out of ALPHA STORM by ALPHA)
FRONTAL VISION         (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of DYNA VISION by CITY ZIP)
KING'S SPIRIT         (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SPIRITUAL ENERGY by CARPE DIEM)
TWO THIRTY A. M. Oct28 Sep25       (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LOST RAVEN by UNCLE MO)
HAN O' WAR         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of HANNAH'S SMILE by PERFECT SOUL)
PUCKISH Oct28         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of HELEN'S TIGER by SMILING TIGER)
BURNING MUNNY Oct28 Sep13 Aug31 Jul19   (breed ronald)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OVERHEATED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
FL-6   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REASON TO RISK Oct28 Oct01       (bartlett wi)CAMILO D 122 15.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SILVER WAVE by STAR DABBLER)
SCR  COUNTRY MANOR Oct28 Oct07 Sep24 Sep09   (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of OUTTACYPRESSHILLS by BIG BROWN)
ASHTEAD LADY Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 Aug14   (barrow paul)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of MS. REHBURG by LUCKY PULPIT)
ONLY LA DUSS Oct22 Oct07 Sep09     (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of FAVORABLY by FLYING PASTER)
KITTY OF WAR Nov06 Oct22 Oct03 Sep14   (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00 61% 0.60    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of KITTY FOYLE by TAPIT)
PRACTICALLY SUMMER Sep13 Aug30 Aug08 Jul17   (khan s)ROHENA M 122 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLEAN ELEVEN by OFFICER)
SCR  MARILYN'S NY PRIDE Nov06         (bartlett william )CRUZ JOEL 122 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of AUNTIE'S THE ONE by EXCHANGE RATE)
FRISBEE BEE Nov06 Oct22       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREUD out of BEA BEA by CITY ZIP)
STUNNING SUGAR Oct28         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DEEP TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  MOODY GIRL Oct13         (gid)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SWIMSUIT ISSUE by SCAT DADDY)
11  STELLA BROWN Nov06         (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BLINDSIDEHIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
FL-7   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRAL LOVE Oct30 Oct09 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
BROTHER JEREMIAH Oct16 Sep17 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 122 3.50    
CIVIL SERVICE Oct22 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
DROSEL DIEM Nov04 Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 Aug27 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 120 6.00    
N Y RIESLING Nov04 Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 Aug06 (morales samuel)COA J 118 6.00 8% 11.10    
GUACO Sep11 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 Jun12 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
NOBLE JOURNEY Oct22 Oct04 Sep03 Jun26 May29 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
TRAPPE THE DREAM Nov05 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-8   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Tin Cup Chalice Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO FACTOR Nov06 Oct22       (ferraro michae)COA J 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOVING AWAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BLAMICKER Oct28         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 116 2.00 57% 0.80    
  (by BLAME out of THICKER THAN WATER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CAST A COIN Oct16 Sep23 Sep09     (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 116 2.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SOBIESKI Oct23 Oct08 Sep09     (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 114 12.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of NORTHERN ANALYST by FREUD)
NOTFANUTIN Oct23 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 (kintz matthew)PEREZ E 116 4.00    
  (by UPSTART out of FU PEGGI SUE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
ONE MOREREP Nov06 Oct16       (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LEE out of PRETTY COZZY by BROKEN VOW)
MR. SUGAR DADDY Sep23 Aug14       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 116 6.00 12% 7.40    
  (by BLAME out of CRACK YOUR WHIP by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
FL-9   11/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REITERATE Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 6.00    
1A  MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Oct30 Oct21 Sep25 Aug21 Aug05 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
IN TRAFFIC Oct30 Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 (rivera david)HARKIE K 124 10.00    
THIN LEGS Oct30 Sep25 May28 May07 Apr29 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
PRINCESS SONYA Oct30 Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug13 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
OUCH THAT HURT Nov06 Oct15 Sep25 Aug05 Jul24 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 14% 6.40    
MAGGIE Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 Sep02 Jul31 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS PAB Nov06 Oct15 Oct02 Aug21 Jul31 (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 124 20.00    
SHE LOVES TO MOVE Oct22 Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 Jul29 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00    
SCR  BAD CONNECTION Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 Aug05 Jul09 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.