Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/8/1)-(6/3/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(2/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(2/1/8/7)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7)-(2/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/7)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/7)-(5/3/6)-(2/3/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/8)-(2/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/8)-(2/6/5/1)-(5/2/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/1)-(5/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/1)-(5/2/4/7)-(7/1/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(7/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7)-(7/1/5/6)-(9/5/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/6)-(9/5/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/8)-(9/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/8)-(9/5/3/8)-(9/5/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KURUMI GO GO Oct25 Oct03 Aug15 Jun13 May25 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUFF'S CAT Oct25 Jul05 Mar23 Nov15 Sep22 (pennella m)GILPIN SEAN 124 30.00    
3  CASTLE OF CORK Sep21 Jun27 Apr25 Apr11   (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
4  LEPRECHAUN May29 May19 Aug12     (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 6.00    
5  BRAVE SAND RIDER Nov08 Oct25 Aug14 Aug01 Jun22 (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 5.00    
6  NO BLUSHING HERE Oct25 Oct03 Sep13     (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
7  LATIN JET Oct19 Sep20 Aug28 Jul27   (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00    
8  COOLKID Oct25 Apr06 Mar14 Feb10 Feb01 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 ★    
 
CT-2   11/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESCORLA         (brown ronney)LEWIS M 117 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  BRD COMPUTING Oct30         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Nov07 Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
SCR  MAIN LINE CIPHER Feb21 Jan25 Jan11 Nov22 May04 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50    
5  CHAPIN ELEVEN Oct30 Oct03       (deiter ke)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
6  CALL ME KAT Oct30 Oct03 Sep13 Jul27 Jul06 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 30.00    
7  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL Oct30 Oct03 Sep13 Aug15 Jul27 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHADED SILVER         (keller )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
CT-3   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 Aug24 Aug10 (clatterbuck)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00    
2  NOCASHREFUNDS Apr06 Mar02 Dec16 Nov18 Oct27 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
3  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 Aug15 Jul04 (murdock)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.00 28% 2.60    
4  VOODOO DEVIL Oct30 Sep19 Jun26 Apr16   (knudsen kent)THORPE DARIUS 118 30.00    
5  JUDGEMENT DAY Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Jul20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.20 41% 1.40    
6  VAGABOND VIRGIN Oct25 Oct04 Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
 
CT-4   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME FRIEND Jul07 Jun22 Jan24 Dec06 Nov02 (siculieta)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  WELL SPOTTED Oct30 Oct17 Sep28 Aug22 Apr12 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 1.20 60% 0.70    
3  JOEL'S BOY Oct30 Oct16 Sep28 Sep08 Sep02 (ovando melvi)LEWIS M 117 2.50 7% 12.50    
4  RAMBUNCTIOUS RIDE Jul13 May18 Mar20 Feb22 Oct13 (soldo elaine)GILPIN SEAN 122 30.00    
5  IT'S SAUL GOODMAN Aug29 Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 Jan27 (galligan gerar)REYNOLDS C 120 4.00    
6  GOLDEN AL Nov08 Oct16 Sep28 Sep18 Aug31 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 120 6.00    
7  JANES JENSEN Oct30 Sep28 Sep13 Aug15 Jul06 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 15.00    
8  HURRICANE JIM Oct30 Oct17 Jul27     (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUMOROUS         (mckee cyn)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PILIPHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  BOLD ROCK Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug24 Aug02 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
3  SWIFT WATERS Oct26 Oct05 Sep13     (kirlew le)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
4  T REX UNION Oct25 Oct05       (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MS. T REX by TWIRLING CANDY)
5  BLESSINGS BESTOWED Oct26         (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PRACTICAL IDEAS by PROSPECT BAY)
6  CONNECT THE DOTS         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY NUMBERS by POLISH NUMBERS)
7  JUBA DO RIGHT         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of I'LL DO RIGHT by DENIS OF CORK)
SCR  SAPPHIRUS Oct26 Oct04 Sep21 Sep13   (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
 
CT-6   11/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Oct26 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
2  MOONLIT NOTION         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MOONLIT SONG by FIBER SONDE)
3  FORBIDDEN SPIRIT Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 Sep13   (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 6.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  THE HOUND         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of TWO TURN TAMMY by JERSEY TOWN)
5  COAL COUNTRY Nov06         (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by JUBA out of THREE BELLES by FLATTER)
6  SPOTAFREEONE         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
7  GIMMETHATSUGAR         (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
8  HEY MR POSTMAN         (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EARLY ANNUITY by LUFTIKUS)
 
CT-7   11/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C R'S MANDATE Oct31 Oct12 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00 18% 4.40    
2  WASHINGTON'S UNION Oct31 Oct11 Sep29 Aug12 Jul28 (farrior)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00    
3  TUBTIMSIAM Oct20 Aug17 Jul26 Jul19 Jun29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00    
4  CAP COM Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 Aug10 Jul19 (singh somraj)ACOSTA D 118 1.60    
5  SOUL CATCHER Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 Jul20 Jun07 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 113 12.00 10% 8.80    
6  LOGSTRADAMUS Oct25 Oct04 Aug24 Aug10 Jul05 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MARK DID IT Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 Aug10 Jul27 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
CT-8   11/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASS THE CASH Oct25 Sep28 Sep05 Jul19 Jul06 (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
SCR  SISTER SPIRIT Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 (aylor l)MAWING A 122 30.00    
3  INTERCEPTION Oct04 Sep19 Aug15 Jun21 Jun06 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  CATALINA CRUZIN Oct23 Oct07 Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 (pecoraro ant)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
5  PHAT CHANCE FANCY Oct31 Jul21 Feb21 Feb02 Jul22 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 6.00 18% 4.40    
6  THE MONEY MACHINE Oct25 Sep13 Aug09 Jul11 Apr26 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
7  SEAFARER Nov01 Oct24 Oct06 Sep20 Aug31 (juarez cali)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 12.00    
8  INSTPARTY Nov01 Oct10 Aug30 Aug12 Jul26 (payne )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  TRAIN WRECK Oct22 Oct01 Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 (lane j)BATISTA A 122 1.40 50% 1.00    
10  STYLISH ANNA Nov09 Sep19 Aug31 Aug22 Jul31 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.