Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (3/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/7)-(6/10/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/7)-(6/10/5/8/2)-(4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/10/5/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/5/8/2)-(6/10/5/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/5/8/2)-(6/10/5/8/2)-(6/10/5/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/5/8/2)-(4/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/5/8/2)-(4/1/6)-(9/3/2/7/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(9/3/2/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(9/3/2/7/1)-(6/5/4/9/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-6   WIN (9/3/2/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/7/1)-(9/3/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/7/1)-(9/3/2/7/1)-(9/3/2/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/2/7/1)-(6/5/4/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2/7/1)-(6/5/4/9/8)-(4/7/2/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/5/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/9/8)-(6/5/4/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/9/8)-(6/5/4/9/8)-(6/5/4/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/4/9/8)-(4/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/9/8)-(4/7/2/5)-(5/1/2/8/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/5)-(5/1/2/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-9   WIN (5/1/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/8/6)-(5/1/2/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/8/6)-(5/1/2/8/6)-(5/1/2/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   11/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS EFFORT Aug17 Aug04 May12 Apr23 Apr02 (fig)VALENZUELA RAUL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BRANDYN Oct16 Sep29 Sep08 Jun01 Apr15 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00    
SILVERBULLITBADGER Sep12 Aug25 Aug04 May19 May05 (lewis kevin)MOJICA O 122 3.50 63% 0.60    
GONZAGA BAY Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 May25 May02 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 119 5.00    
BIYOMBO Sep21 Sep02 Jul29 Jun29 May31 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 2.50 12% 7.50    
SHUDDER Sep29 Sep08 Jun01 Mar12 Feb15 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 119 4.50    
SMOOTH PAPA Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jun30 (fearon john)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   11/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW MY HEINEKEN Sep14 Sep02 Aug25     (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 20.00    
SCR  THREE PLUS ONE         (essex charles)REYES R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOODBYE NOW Sep05 Aug22       (fuentes ru)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 12.00    
WAR IS HELL Oct06 Sep07 Aug10     (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00    
SHADOW ON THE SUN Sep15         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 10.00 7% 13.80    
F B I BOB Sep23 Aug31 Aug10 Jul22 Jul13 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  TRYDENT Oct20         (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
BARKLEY'S IMAGE Sep07         (pe)DA FAUSTO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
RUSTY'S LEGACY Oct06         (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 121 15.00    
10  KARAOKE HERO Oct12 Sep14       (gleason m)TOHILL S 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
11  ODE TO MY BRO BOB Sep21 Aug24       (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 121 4.50    
12  BY DECREED Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 May04 Apr11 (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 121 6.00    
 
TUP-5   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTSA STEEL Oct13 Sep28 Aug31 Jul26 Jun30 (alvarez se)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50 29% 2.40    
HARD TO FORGET Sep13         (gleason m)MOJICA O 121 4.00    
SHEZA HIGH CLIMBER Sep14 Aug31 Aug17     (essex charles)REYES LUIS 121 3.50    
SEEKING QUALITY Sep22 Sep15 Aug18 Aug03 Jun23 (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
WHAT A JOKE Aug24         (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 121 5.00    
MAGIC TIP Sep22 Sep05 Aug03 Jun14 Jun02 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 5.00 11% 8.10    
PURR TIGER Sep26 Sep01 Aug24 Aug15 Jun30 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00    
BABY BLISS Aug17 Aug03 May19 May05 Apr04 (matt l)MONTALVO C 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   11/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRROR IMAGE Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun21 (garcia val)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
THIRD WHEEL Oct05 Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
CREATIVE BID Oct04 Aug25 Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
NATION OF FAITH Sep13 Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00    
SIR FLATTER Sep26 Sep07 Aug24 Jul26 Jun16 (rojero c)REYES R 122 8.00    
CORN POP Oct14 Oct04 Sep06 Aug25 Aug11 (bean a)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
STAR ENTRY Sep29 Jul20 Jun22 Jun07 May17 (ferguson cu)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ELECTROSTATIC Oct24 Oct09 Sep24 Aug19 Aug05 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00    
HOLDEN THE LUTE Jul17 Jul10 Feb29 Feb15 Dec20 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
TUP-7   11/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 2 F PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANGO GAL         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 10.00    
SCR  AINTAFRAIDTODREAM Oct19         (stevens satchel)CORBETT W 121 15.00    
FLEET NEILINA Sep28 Sep02 Aug24     (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 20.00    
BE AWARE         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 4.00 18% 4.70    
SAYUCAN Sep22         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
IMA MARGARITA GIRL Oct05 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10   (silva-mart)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00 27% 2.60    
STAY N LOV         (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 8.00    
PEPPER N MINT Sep12 Aug18 Aug03 Jul10   (woolley be)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
GIMME MO MONEY Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 Aug04   (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
10  CELTICA Oct14 Aug22       (story chad)REYES R 121 15.00    
11  FLATTERMEINCOURT         (di)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00    
12  TAKE THE HEAT Sep02         (silva gab)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
 
TUP-8   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASENA Aug10 Jul13 Apr25 Feb27 Feb01 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 8.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of MARQUET FORMULA by MARQUETRY)
CALEBS LADY Sep08 Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 Apr18 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 10.00 5% 18.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of LADY OF HONOR by ALGORITHMS)
PEPPER MILL Sep21 Aug10 Jul13 Jun30 Mar14 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
ALOHA BREEZE Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 Aug13 Jul16 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 124 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASHY DOLL by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
FRISCO FRILLS Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of TANGO TWIST by KENTUCKY LUCKY)
UNRIVALED QUEEN Sep09 Aug10 Jul13 Jun16 May02 (lund valorie)REYES R 124 8.00    
  (by EDDINGTON out of ANGIE'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
MISS UNION Sep22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun08 May18 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 122 5.00 8% 11.60    
  (by UNIONIZE out of RACHELS BELLE by PERFECT MANDATE)
SCR  JAMIES INHERITANCE Sep14 Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 Jun08 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
TUP-9   11/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE OF LORDS Sep21 Aug08 Jun02 May04 Apr04 (gu)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
FALSELY ACCUSED Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 Aug25 Jul27 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 13% 6.70    
YOU'REINTHEARMYNOW Sep15 Sep02 Aug23 Jul22 Jun08 (schnell don)TOHILL S 119 5.00    
FIREMAN DAN Oct19 Oct11 Sep01 Aug09 Jul05 (wallace jer)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 10.00    
ARREST Aug17 Jul24 Jul04 Jun13 May04 (gutierr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
INCREDIBE MO Oct06 Aug10 Jul13 Apr29 Apr03 (whitehouse wilt)CRUZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BUCK OWENS Sep29 Sep21 Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 (story chad)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
TABLE FOR TWO Aug17 Jul24 Jun08 Apr16 Mar26 (fuentes ru)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00 7% 13.20    
THE BLACK STRAT Sep20 Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 Jun26 (vitali j)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.