Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/2)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/2)-(5/1/3)-(7/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(7/6/5/1)-(5/2/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/1)-(5/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/1)-(5/2/7/3)-(1/5/9/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/3)-(1/5/9/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/3)-(1/5/9/7/3)-(2/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/5/9/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/7/3)-(1/5/9/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/7/3)-(1/5/9/7/3)-(1/5/9/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/9/7/3)-(2/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/9/7/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/5/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(2/5/6)-(7/9/1/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(7/9/1/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/9/1/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/6/3)-(7/9/1/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/6/3)-(7/9/1/6/3)-(7/9/1/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEAR THE FACTS Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug01 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
2  VERNOR'S JUNCTION Oct27 Aug31       (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FREED FROM DESIRE         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  FIRENZE FOREVER         (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 18% 4.50    
5  RICK'SWARMHEART         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 18% 4.40    
6  ALTOBELLI Oct30 Oct05 Jun27     (ennis john)ORANTES CESAR 112 2.00    
7  BAYTOWN SUNDANCE May09 Apr21       (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80    
 
CT-2   11/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LANDON JACK Oct19 Oct03 Sep01 Aug10 Jul12 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 6.00 29% 2.50    
2  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Oct18 Sep27 Sep21 Sep01 Aug02 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
3  DISCREET DEVIL Oct19 Oct03 Sep26 Sep12 Sep01 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROLL ON OUT Oct25 Oct03 May04 Apr19 Feb23 (knudsen kent)THORPE DARIUS 120 20.00    
5  DICEY GREY Oct10 Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
6  MONCRIEF Oct25 Oct19 Sep29 Sep20 Aug30 (robb troy)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.40    
 
CT-3   11/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHING LASS Sep28 Aug12 Jul13 Jun01 May23 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHAYMYNAME Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug24 Aug10 (siculietano )LEWIS M 117 15.00    
3  P B FOXY Oct24 Oct11 Sep20 Aug23 May30 (venham d)MAYHEW W 118 20.00    
4  LOVE NOTION Oct19 Oct03 Sep12 Jul18 Jun27 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00    
5  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Oct19 Oct10 Sep26 Aug16 Aug02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 18% 4.50    
6  TIDBIT Oct19 Sep28 Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  VINO FROM ERNIES Oct18 Sep22 Aug08 Jul13 Mar17 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 0.60 31% 2.20    
8  SPEEDY N SMART Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug04 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   11/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD DEM Nov02 Oct18 Oct05 Sep14 Aug16 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
2  ADDY MAE Oct04 Sep14 Jul25 Jun21   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 35% 1.80    
3  JUNE BELLE Oct24 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (tobin l)GILPIN SEAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHESA BABE Oct24 Oct04 Sep21 Aug01   (barber bobb)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 15.00    
5  THE GODMOTHER Oct04 Sep21       (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
6  FLATTERING WAY Oct24 Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 Oct06 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
7  QUINN ELIA Oct24 Sep14 Jul25 Jun07 May24 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.00 6% 15.60    
 
CT-5   11/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE TRILLION Oct03 Sep08 Aug17 Jul14 Jun02 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  AUNT JO Oct31 Oct23 Sep09 Aug30 Aug21 (smith m)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
3  S S ITS FUN TO RUN Sep12 Aug10 Jul20 Jun15 May30 (lucas a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEGEND OF LIGHT Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 Aug12 Jul02 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
5  BOBBI TWO STEPS Oct03 Sep12 Aug09 Jul20 Jun15 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
6  FROSTY MAYA Oct19 Sep26 Aug30 Aug17 Jul14 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 4.50    
7  MISS PEARL HART Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug01 Jul06 (comi ralp)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SERENA'S SERENADE Oct30 Apr12 Feb23 Feb08 Jan06 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 30.00    
9  LOVELY LUCY Oct24 Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 Mar13 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 9% 10.40    
 
CT-6   11/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Oct03 Aug07 Jun20 Mar29 Mar08 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
2  TWO BRONZE STARS Oct03 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 38% 1.60    
3  EVANESCO Oct30 Oct03 Aug03 Jul13 May31 (wilhelm tabi)LEWIS M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  POWERED BY LOVE Aug15 Jul04 May18 May02 Apr13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
5  TAKE YOUR TIME Oct30 Sep26 Aug15 Jul20 Jun29 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
6  WHALE OF A RUN Nov06 Sep27 Aug15 Jul25 Jun21 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
SCR  NAY'S ONLY ONE Oct25 Oct03       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00    
 
CT-7   11/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY SQUALL Oct19 Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jun28 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
2  DREAMY SONDE Oct12 Sep26 Aug23 May25 Apr25 (runco )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
3  SILVER RULES Oct19 Sep12 Feb09 Dec02 Nov10 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
4  REMY'S HOTSHOT Oct19 Sep25 Sep12 Aug20 Jul27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 3.00    
5  FULL MOON LOVER Sep12 Aug24 Aug03 Jul04 Jun13 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 2.00 19% 4.20    
6  MISS BEE BOP Oct31 Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 Aug03 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   11/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS ME MORE Oct24 Oct03 Aug16 Jul13 Jun16 (carlisl)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00 9% 9.80    
2  SWAG SHOP Oct11 Sep20 Jun06     (lane scott )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 15.00    
3  ONE WITH THE FORCE Oct11 Aug30       (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HERECOMESPUDD Sep04 Jun06 Apr04 Mar07 Nov02 (locklear james)GILPIN SEAN 124 15.00    
5  ALI'S HANNAH Oct24 Sep12 Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
6  MIDNIGHT IN PRAGUE Oct03 Sep17 Sep04 Oct26 Oct19 (morris neil)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  EIGHT OZ MOCHA Oct24 Sep02 Aug24 Jul18 Jul06 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  PRETTY COAST Oct26 Oct11 Oct04 Sep12 Jul12 (ramos agosto)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
9  WAC IS FAST Nov01 Oct03 Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
10  IN RETROSPECT Oct24 Oct11 Oct03 Aug17 Jul26 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  TAPWRIT WARRIOR Oct05 Sep25 Jul22 Jun27 May30 (hernand)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
SCR  MARGARET'S LADY Oct19 Sep04 Aug09 Mar29 Dec20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40    
SCR  WOKE UP A DIVA Oct12 Aug31 Aug21 Aug14 Jun05 (nicholso)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.