Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - November 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (6/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2)-(6/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/2)-(8/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/2)-(8/7/3/4)-(6/3/8/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-2   WIN (8/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/4)-(8/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/4)-(8/7/3/4)-(8/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/4)-(6/3/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/4)-(6/3/8/2/7)-(1/5/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/3/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2/7)-(6/3/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2/7)-(6/3/8/2/7)-(6/3/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2/7)-(1/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/2/7)-(1/5/2/3)-(9/2/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/3)-(9/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/3)-(9/2/4/5)-(8/6/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (9/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/5)-(9/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/5)-(9/2/4/5)-(9/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/4/5)-(8/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/5)-(8/6/3/1)-(7/8/6/9/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (8/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/1)-(7/8/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/1)-(7/8/6/9/2)-(4/9/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/8/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/9/2)-(7/8/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/9/2)-(7/8/6/9/2)-(7/8/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/6/9/2)-(4/9/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/9/2)-(4/9/1/5)-(8/9/4/5/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-8   WIN (4/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/5)-(4/9/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/1/5)-(8/9/4/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (8/9/4/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/5/10)-(8/9/4/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/5/10)-(8/9/4/5/10)-(8/9/4/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. MONICA Oct18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 (journet albert)ROSIER R 121 6.00    
KASENS TRIBE May24 Apr27 Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 (shamsie mi)RAMIREZ JR 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
CRITICAL VELOCITY Aug16 Jun29 Jun15     (charle)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
DON'T BE BOSSY Oct18 Aug23 Jun29 Apr20 Mar08 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
GRACE'S VISION Oct29 Jun27 Jun08 May30 May14 (shamsie mike)HERNANDEZ V 121 12.00    
BAILEYS SHOT Nov18 Oct28 Sep30     (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
FREE WILL Sep26 Aug03 Jun04 May04 Aug18 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
DED-2   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO MAFIA Oct16 Aug26 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
AMERICAN SMOOTH Sep28 Sep14 Sep02 Jun27 May25 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
BUTLER CABIN Oct19 Aug09 Jun29 Jun07 May22 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.50 8% 11.20    
SHUT UP MAN Sep26 Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
VETERANS DAY Aug16 Jul26 May04 Mar06 Feb21 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 3.50    
LIKEN IT Oct17 Sep14 Aug09 Jun27 May11 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
FIRE SWORD Oct09 Jun23 Jun01 May03 Apr05 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
EL ORIENTE (CHI) Aug15 Jul19 Jun27 Jun10 May18 (charles keit)BARRERA J 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
DED-3   11/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S THE REPORT         (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of ANYTHING BUT AMIE by ALGORITHMS)
IMPERIAL DYNASTY Oct10         (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00 6% 15.10    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of HENNY BETTY by HENNY HUGHES)
MARDI GRAS MAMBO Oct10 Aug31 Aug15 Jul29   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
  (by HALF OURS out of BOURBON N BOOTS by PROSPECTOR'S GIFT)
KOODIE         (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
  (by STEALCASE out of FANCY PANTS JEN by LAMPEDUSA)
HE'S READY TO WIN Oct10         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
HOLD MY HAT Oct10 Aug10 Jul13     (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by IRON FIST out of TOO CLOSE TO PUNCH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
STAR DECINCODEMAYO         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FANCEY FAITH by LYDGATE)
DUBAIAN MONEY Oct25 Aug10 Jul25     (leblanc ric)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by MR. MONEY out of DUBAIAN by HANSEN)
SENOR SMOKE         (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of MY GAL LAYLA by MY PAL CHARLIE)
10  TAP THE TEQUILA Jul25 Jun29 Jun01     (gelner scott)BARRERA J 120 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ANOTHERTEQUILASHOT by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  HINT OF FAITH         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of NO FAIRY TALE by IDE)
 
DED-4   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHANIE'S MARIA Oct25 Oct10 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
NEW DESTINY Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 4.00 11% 8.00    
EMILYHASHERTURN Oct18 Sep02 Aug01 Jul05 Jun07 (jeansonne ju)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00 5% 17.70    
STHEPANIE PRINCESS Oct25 Oct10 Aug09 May29 May06 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
FRONT AND SILVER Oct26 Sep02 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
SARA'S SAPPHIRE Aug17 Jun19 Jun05 Apr29 Apr10 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
IN B. J.'S HONOR Oct25 Sep14 Aug23 Jul16 Jun12 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00    
SUE'S LITTLE ZING Oct18 Aug19 Jun05 May07 Apr10 (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 6.00    
 
DED-5   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVE OF MY HEART Oct17 Sep25 Aug06 Jul01 Jun05 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50    
FULL SPIRIT Oct17 Sep09 Aug16 Aug05 Jul27 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
REINA DEL SUR Sep23 Sep02 Aug16 Jul21 Jun30 (birzer bon)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 12.00    
MARY JACK Oct23 Aug17 Jun22 May10 Apr26 (gomez david)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00 9% 9.80    
CHROME RACER Sep23 Sep07 Aug19 Jul12 Jun09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 8.00 8% 11.80    
SUMMERTIME BANDIT Aug10 Jul25 Jul01 Jun20 May24 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 112 15.00    
LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Oct18 Aug22 Jul30 Jul15 May10 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Oct18 Aug10 Jun22 May16 Apr26 (toups brent)POMPELL L 121 3.50    
TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL Oct08 Sep22 Aug04 Jul25 Jun25 (martinez r)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 44% 1.30    
 
DED-6   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAL WITH IT DADDY Oct30 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (ali and)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
RACY BILLE Jun13 May18 Apr12 Mar08 Jan18 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
STEEL ARGUMENT Aug03 Jun01 Mar07 Feb02   (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 3.50 7% 12.50    
HABANERO TOM Oct26 Oct12 Jun21 May24 May02 (ward ronnie)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
JOEY'S LIGHTENING Oct29 Aug09 Jun29 May18 Apr19 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
MY PAL SWEET Jul12 May22 May01 Mar22 Feb24 (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
FLASH N CLASS Sep14 Sep03 Jul24 Jun25 May28 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
MOKINGS Sep25 Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  CAJUN AMI Nov05 Oct17 Jun15 Jun01 May17 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 2.50    
 
DED-7   11/09/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CURIOSO (ARG) Jun28 May17 Apr18 Feb25 Feb10 (sanchez amad)BARRERA J 120 5.00    
ZONG TOUGH Sep25 Aug26 Jul17 Jun08 May22 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
DON'T BOX ME IN Sep09 Aug15 Jul13 May22 May02 (reeves jeff)MELANCON JANSEN 120 15.00    
AND FIFTY Oct19 Aug14 Jul11 Apr24 Mar13 (chevis vincen)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
MIDNIGHT RULES Sep23 Aug31 Aug12 Jul26 Jul03 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
PACIFICISLANDTIME Aug15 Jun22 May25 Apr24 Mar22 (diodoro rob)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 2.50 8% 11.20    
KEYS INCLUDED Oct19 Aug26 Aug09 Jul06 Jun22 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00 45% 1.20    
MOR BIG LEE Oct24 Oct02 Sep26 Aug26 May27 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 4.00 11% 8.40    
SARAH'S VISION Oct19 Aug14 Jun22 May25 Mar07 (chevis a)STOKES J 117 8.00 8% 11.90    
10  EASY BIG BOY Oct17 Sep18 Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 120 10.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Oct30 Jul19 Jul06 Jun27 Jun08 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00    
 
DED-8   11/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
USAIN D'ORO Oct17 Aug24 Jul12 Jun22 May31 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 5.00 5% 18.80    
HALF PAGE Jun28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec02 Oct11 (rubin donald)BARRERA J 117 15.00    
MISS SHIPMAN Aug22 Jul12 Apr20 Feb22 Jan12 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
CUSTOM PUNCH Jul06 May18 Apr11 Mar02   (bourgeois keith)FUSILIER C 115 4.50 41% 1.50    
GLAMOROUS LIFE Sep26 Sep02 Aug16 Jul14 Jun28 (guillory h)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BYE LOVE GOTTA GO Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 Aug05 Jul12 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00    
SHELLEY'S MONEY Jul12 May29 Feb03 Dec29 Dec07 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00    
JILLY'S WEST Oct29 Aug01 May17 Apr25 Apr06 (alberto an)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
BAYOU BERTIE Aug01 May24 Apr13 Mar02 Feb03 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 115 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
DED-9   11/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICKIETOWN STAR Oct18 Nov02 Oct18 Aug10 Jul06 (cormier winston)STOKES J 121 8.00    
BEAT THE DOUBLE Oct17 May30 Apr24 Apr10 Mar09 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 116 15.00    
GALAXY AFFAIR Oct12 Aug03 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 (west henry)HERNANDEZ V 121 15.00    
MEGANS MILLIONS Sep26 Aug20 Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
REAL DEAL RYAN Oct18 Aug27 Aug16 Jul19 Jul06 (cormier car)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00 14% 5.90    
RAGAZZA Sep02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun14 May31 (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 117 12.00    
ON THE MONEY LUV Sep24 Aug16 Jul30 Jul04 Jun24 (hewitt michael)ROSIER R 122 8.00    
EVERLYN'S ANGEL Aug03 Jul10 Jun13 May22 Apr13 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
SNOW FLURRY Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 Jun23 (litfin veronica)MCMAHON J 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
10  GOGO BOBBYJO Oct11 Aug16 May24 May03 Mar14 (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.