Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Monday - November 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(1/4/2)-(7/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(7/6/1)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(3/2/4)-(5/8/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (5/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1)-(5/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (5/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/4)-(8/3/6/9/5)-(1/2/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (8/3/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/9/5)-(8/3/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/9/5)-(8/3/6/9/5)-(8/3/6/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/6/9/5)-(1/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (1/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/3)-(1/2/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/3)-(1/2/9/3)-(1/2/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CITYONTHENILE Sep08 Feb18 Nov21 Nov06 Oct11 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
LOANA Sep08 Aug10 Jun30 Apr15 Mar14 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
OLIVIA TWIST Sep08 Aug03 Jul06 Apr27 Mar22 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 0.60 45% 1.20    
CANDY AISLE Mar30 Feb18 Jan19 Nov28 Oct14 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 1.50    
CHARLEE MAE Sep08 May19 Mar22 Feb18 Jan05 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-2   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 35 ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEVS DISTANT DRUM Sep18 Sep06       (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 121 1.60 38% 1.70    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of FLYING DRUM by FORESTRY)
ULTIMATE DECISION Oct18 Apr15 Mar12     (martinez e)CARRENO J 123 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of AMERICAN LADY by STARSPANGLEDBANNER)
BRAVE TOEWS Oct25 Sep22 Sep05 Aug16 Jun14 (muniz jr)ZAVALA JULIAN 123 20.00    
  (by TOEWS ON ICE out of DIVINE DEBUTANTE by DIVINE PARK)
COMPELLING UNCLE Oct02 Jul28 Apr21 Apr07   (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMS TO REALITY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
TIME TRAVELIN Oct02 Sep18 Dec08     (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121 3.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of ALWAYS A CHAMP by CHAMPALI)
APURO Oct16 May25 Apr21 Mar14 Feb10 (crawford cl)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.40 37% 1.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LUCKY FOLIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
ZIA-3   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D D S EXPRESS Sep25 Aug24 Jul28 May27 Apr07 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 3.00    
BRADY BOY Sep28 Sep11 Aug31 Apr24 Apr08 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.50    
CENTRAL PARK Sep21 Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul11 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LIBERTY FOREVER Sep29 Aug31 Oct09 Aug17 Jul21 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 121 1.60 36% 1.80    
UNDER OATH Sep28 Sep11 Jul03 Jun09 Mar09 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
LIGHTNING STRUCK Oct12 Sep20 Sep08 Aug10 Jul10 (green ike)JUAREZ J 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-4   11/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE'LL DO IT LIVE Oct16 Aug25 Jul28 Jun09 May11 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 0.60 47% 1.10    
MARQUIS LIGHTS Oct18 Sep19 Jul28 Apr14 Mar28 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 6% 15.30    
LONE MOUNTAIN GIRL Sep28 May11 Mar21 Feb23 Dec05 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
BRAND LOYALTY Sep28 Sep13 Mar14 Feb23 Dec05 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 1.80 23% 3.30    
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Oct04 Sep26 Sep11 Aug23 Aug16 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
RUN LIKE KATE Oct18 Sep18 Aug16 May12 Apr04 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-5   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAPP DADDY Sep25 Sep08 Aug24 Jul28 Oct29 (barton )FUENTES T 123 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  USUALLY WRONG Oct10 Jun08 Mar08     (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00    
ZIA ZAPPER Jun16 Feb22 Jan25 Jan11 Dec20 (marr h)FUENTES A 121 15.00    
FREE AGAIN Aug31 Jul21 Jun01 Mar29 Feb07 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 6.00    
GREY STORM Oct16 Sep27 Sep15 Aug17 Jun21 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 20.00    
HERE COMES BRAYLON Sep29 Sep08 Aug15 May04   (fincher w)ROSENDO J 121 2.00 12% 7.20    
AMERICAN OUTLAW Sep25 May19 Apr21 Mar15 Feb23 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 1.80 57% 0.80    
 
ZIA-6   11/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VALENTINO WHO Oct11 Sep28 Oct07 Jul23 May07 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 30.00    
I'MAGAMBLER Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 May18 Apr27 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.80 28% 2.60    
BODIE GOT GOLD Oct27 Sep14 Aug23 May19 Apr07 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
LUCK IN MY EYES Oct20 Oct13 Oct06 Sep26 Jun07 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROLL PENNY ROLL Oct09 Sep02 Jun07 Apr21 Mar29 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
JET N G Oct11 Oct15 Jul22 May20 Apr22 (cros)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
MCTHANKS Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 Jun09 May19 (gonzalez jose)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-7   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILA TIME Sep12 Aug24 May19 Apr28 Mar28 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
ZE'BUL Oct16 Sep25 Aug24 Jul04 Jun09 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00    
ALL THAT GLORY Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 Jun13 May19 (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 10.00    
KING BARON Oct16 Sep29 Aug31 May19 Apr28 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00    
RED PILL Oct05 Sep08 Aug17 Jun01 Mar01 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
FLEET OF FLAGS Aug24 Apr29 Apr15 Mar19 Feb27 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 6% 16.40    
NO TROUBLE (IRE) Aug24 Jun14 May10 Apr07 Feb18 (marr h)FUENTES A 119 6.00    
CHIVALROUS (BRZ) Oct10         (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
ZIA-8   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELBERT TOO Oct27 Oct11 Sep14 Mar22 Mar08 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00    
STORM LEADER Oct16 Sep19 Sep02 Jan25 Nov27 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00    
SAMBAS MARK Oct12 Sep02 Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 (fincher w)HEBERT J 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
TUCUM Oct16 Mar22 Mar08 Jan18 Dec12 (b)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
LET HIM BE Sep14 Jun08 Apr07 Mar08 Jan18 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 0.80 36% 1.70    
SCR  ALL CHROME Oct16 Apr07 Mar08 Feb18 Feb02 (baldwin lyne)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
FLAGS FINALE Oct11 Sep19 Sep02 Jul27 Jun09 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
Z MARKS THE SPOT Oct12 Aug16 Nov20 Oct06 Sep10 (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 123 20.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLY BECKY Sep22 Sep05 Aug24     (martinez e)TORRES J 120 20.00    
  (by MARKING out of WAGE A PENNY by VALID WAGER)
CLAPPING TREES Sep27 Sep08 Jul21 Jun13   (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of AIR GUITAR by FIVE STAR DAY)
KLIMT'S GIRL         (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
MORA HOPPERTUNITY Sep26 Sep15 Jun23 May26   (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BIG MARA by BIG BROWN)
STREET COLORS Oct12         (singh joh)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of OCEAN COLORS by ORIENTATE (GB))
DANJERUS CLOUD         (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00 12% 7.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of HAY BABY GIRL by YES IT'S TRUE)
TONI THE GRRREAT Oct20 Oct12       (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of POLITE SMILE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TALENT CONNECTION         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GOALTENDING by A.P. INDY)
RETIRED BLESSING         (norris a)HEBERT J 120 12.00 12% 7.50    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of SEAPORT by BARTOK (IRE))
 
ZIA-10   11/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENOR ROJO         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FOLLOW MY TAIL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
GOZER Sep20 Aug31 Jul26     (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 2.50 8% 11.90    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLY LIGHTING by SILVER MAX)
CORIE'S BOY         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of MY GIRL COREY by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
BLAZING TO GOLD         (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of GOLD NECKLACE by GALILEO)
WICKED TROUBLE         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FUNNY FILM by CONGRATS)
COME ON MULITCH         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 120 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BIG ROSE by FRATELLO ED)
I'M A DUDE TO Sep28         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
SCR  ITSMYBIRTHDAY         (diodoro roberti)ROSENDO J 120 3.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of AFTER THE ROSE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
GOLDEN SERENADE         (h)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 6% 16.60    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GOLD SERENADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.