Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - October 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/7/3)-(5/6/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(5/6/3/2)-(6/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/2)-(6/1/2)-(7/3/10/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/3/10/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(7/3/10/2/8)-(8/7/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/3/10/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/10/2/8)-(7/3/10/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/10/2/8)-(7/3/10/2/8)-(7/3/10/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/10/2/8)-(8/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/10/2/8)-(8/7/5/4)-(2/3/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/4)-(2/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/4)-(2/3/4/1)-(5/4/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/1)-(5/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTY STARKEY Sep21 Aug24 Jun21     (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 112 3.50    
2  EL PROFETO         (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHUFFLE Aug15 Jul11       (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 6.00 ★    
4  BIG BOY OVI Aug15 Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 0.60 73% 0.40    
5  THOR'S LAD Sep28 Sep21 Aug24 Aug15 Jun28 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 119 30.00    
6  NO CONVERSATION         (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BEST HOP IS A DROP Sep21 Sep14 Aug24 Jul11 Jun21 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 119 12.00    
 
CT-2   10/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE B Aug18 Jul20 Mar23 Jan04 Dec01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60    
2  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Aug15 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 May25 (peltroche v)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 15.00    
3  JIMMY THE KID Sep21 Aug15 Jul06 Jun26 May25 (martin augu)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 10.00 8% 11.70    
4  THE ILLUSIONIST Jun29 Jun20 May16 Apr05 Jan25 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.00 57% 0.70    
5  ROCKING TO HOME Sep14 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 Feb08 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
6  KING OF LUCK Sep26 Aug15 Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00    
7  MY BLUE EYES Sep26 May10 Apr20 Mar07 Feb01 (martinez jose)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 13% 6.40    
 
CT-3   10/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWISS HORIZON Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May24 May02 (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 122 20.00    
2  HOLY MOAT Oct05 Mar06 Feb23 Feb02   (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ODDS OF JOY Oct11         (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOLD DEM Oct05 Sep14 Aug16 Aug05 Jul12 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 114 20.00    
5  HEART STOPPING Oct05 May30 Apr06 Mar20 Feb23 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 116 0.80 52% 0.90    
6  FAR MORE Sep14 Aug10 Aug01 Feb14 Dec09 (groves janice)PELTROCHE F 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
7  VIESTE Oct05 Sep19 Aug16 Jul05 Jun28 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
 
CT-4   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD LINEAGE Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 Jun06 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
2  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Sep27 Aug24 Jul25 Jun22 Jun06 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 11% 8.30    
3  DEFIANT GIANT Aug24 Jul19 Jun01 May11 Apr25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00    
4  ZIGGY STARDUST Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50    
5  MY BOY CLYDE Sep26 Aug27 Jul09 Jun24 Jun07 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
6  MR. DUMBLEDORE Sep27 Aug24 Jul25 Jun29 Jun01 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 4.50 24% 3.10    
 
CT-5   10/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEL REY DOLLY Oct05 Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 Jul10 (rodriguez j)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 15.00    
2  SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Sep29 Sep13 Aug02 Jul20 Jun29 (frock l)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS FUSSY PANTS Sep01 Jun26 May04 Apr10 Mar27 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  WATERLOO ROSE Sep27 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May11 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
5  RIDE THE RAPIDS Oct04 Sep27 Sep14 Aug23 Aug09 (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
6  FLAT DISCOUNT Sep27 Sep18 Aug03 Jul20 Jul12 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
7  DIVINE FASHION Sep27 Sep01 Aug02 Jul12 Mar29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 51% 0.90    
8  TRAVEL SMART Aug23 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (harris)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BOUNDTOBEOK Oct04 Sep14 Aug09 Jul20 Jun22 (brown kelt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
10  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Sep27 Sep03 Aug14 Aug02 Jul12 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Sep28 Aug09 Jul20 Jun22 May26 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
 
CT-6   10/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET YOUR BOOTS Sep27 Aug24 Jun15 Apr20 Feb17 (groves janice)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
2  MAD SWANN Sep27 Sep14 Aug24 Jul06 Jun14 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00    
3  CREME DE LA QUEEN Sep27 Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 May23 (brown kelton)LEWIS M 115 8.00    
4  CHARITABLE ANY Jul06 Jun13 May28 Dec14 Oct18 (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Sep27 Sep13 Aug17 Aug02 Jul16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
6  LIME STAR Sep27 Aug16 Jun08 May17 Apr05 (conn linda )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 12.00    
7  MAMA MARGE Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jun15 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
8  ALL CAPS Sep28 Dec14 Sep29 Aug11 Jul21 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
CT-7   10/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET APPEAL Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 Jun14 Jun01 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIELDSTONE Aug12 Jul01 Jun08 May17 Apr27 (hetrick kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  SUTTON VALLEY Sep19 Sep12 Aug12 Jul24 Jun23 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
4  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Sep02 Aug17 Nov29 Nov17 Sep21 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.50 6% 14.50    
5  BARGAINING POWER Sep27 Sep07 Sep01 Aug10 Aug04 (serey jr)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
6  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Sep19 Aug03 Jul04 Jun08 Apr20 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
7  MATH MAN MARCO Sep13 Jul18 Jun20 May25 Apr19 (mangual mano)LEWIS M 115 5.00    
8  BODYSLAM Oct03 Sep19 Aug03 Jun21 Jul28 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
 
CT-8   10/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINEY GHOST Aug17 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (aylor l)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
2  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Sep22 Jul18 May26 Apr26 Apr06 (garrido raul)LARROSA G 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  SUPER BOURBON Sep27 Sep07 Aug25 Mar16 Mar08 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.40    
4  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 Jun08 Jun01 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
5  ADIOS PLUMA Sep13 Aug17       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 45% 1.20    
6  CATCHING STARS Sep27 Aug22 Aug01 Jul21 Jun21 (reyes ruben)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  J. WICK Sep14 May18 May02 Apr06 Mar21 (bass w)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
8  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Sep27 Sep21 Sep01 Aug02 Jul25 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.