Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(4/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(7/2/4/3)-(7/6/2/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/3)-(7/6/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/2/1)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/5/2/6)-(1/8/4/10/5) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-7   WIN (4/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6)-(4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/6)-(1/8/4/10/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/8/4/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/10/5)-(1/8/4/10/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/10/5)-(1/8/4/10/5)-(1/8/4/10/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAZILIAN SEA Oct02 Sep23 Sep10 Aug25 Jul28 (sipp burton )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 20.00    
2  BIG WAY Sep25 Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul23 (silva pa)CEDILLO MAURO 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Oct02 Sep23 Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
SCR  MALPRACTICE MEUSER (GB) Sep25 Aug13 Jul22 Jun26 Jun03 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.00    
5  MINELLA Oct06 Sep25 Aug19 Jul16 Jun11 (schneider k)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
6  HARPERSGONEFISHING Sep23 Sep09 Aug17 Jul30 Mar09 (cuttino marion )VEGA L 120 15.00    
7  MOON OVER DUBAI Oct06 Sep25 Sep11 Aug13 Aug04 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
MNR-2   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUR TROPHY GIRL Sep23         (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 3.00 ★    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
2  ISLE BE THERE Oct05 Aug24 Aug10 Jul18 Sep18 (axmaker co)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 12.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BARBADOS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  LASTSHOTATLIGHTNIN Sep23 Sep09 Jun30 Jun18   (baird michael)PAUCAR E 118 5.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of ARBITRAGEUR by BERNARDINI)
4  SHE'S ALL ABOUT IT Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Aug05   (hayes leland)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of RETURN ENGAGEMENT by PUT IT BACK)
5  BIT OF BLESSINGS Sep19 Sep09 Aug21 Jul26 Jul22 (collins tim)WHITACRE B 123 4.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BIT BUSTIN by BUSTIN STONES)
6  GENEROUS WOMAN Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Jul22 Jun14 (ewell )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
7  NEUTRAL CAUSE Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Feb23   (axmaker cody)TAPARA BRANDON 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LAUGH N YODEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MNR-3   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATNAPPING Sep12 Sep04 Aug17 Jun28 Jun12 (aguirre r)DIAZ R 123 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DREAM PROSPECT by MINESHAFT)
2  LETMENOWHENURREADY         (reed r)WHITACRE B 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MORE'N LIKELY by BLAME)
3  MADAM LEOTA Sep17 Sep10 Aug01 Feb03 Dec16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of LITTLE SWOON by YOU AND I)
4  WOMP Sep30 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 Jul31 (sipp k)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of JASMINE JEWEL by MR. GREELEY)
5  HIGHWAY ROBBERY Oct06 Sep17 Aug20 Aug07 Jul31 (sipp burto)CASTELLANO JESUS 123 20.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
6  HIGH FLYING GRACIE Sep22 Sep15 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY LOVE MAGNET by BODEMEISTER)
7  DREAMWIFEDREAMLIFE         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LA BELLE by DIXIE UNION)
 
MNR-4   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUST FUND ROBBER Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul31 (lopez e)VEGA L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  OLD FORTY FIVE Oct06 Sep25 Sep15 Aug07 Jul23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 10.00 12% 7.20    
3  MAKE IT SPEND IT Sep19 Aug22 Jul15 May19 Apr26 (donjuan serg)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00    
4  IN THE GOSPEL Oct02 Sep24 Sep11 Dec11 Nov13 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 15.00    
5  NECCO Sep10 Aug18 Aug07 Jul03 Jun18 (murtough steph)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00    
6  NEW JERSEY HEIST Oct02 Sep18 Sep08 Aug06 Jul21 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 1.80 27% 2.60    
7  DRUM AND DRUMMER Sep11 Sep05 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.00 37% 1.70    
 
MNR-5   10/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUVESAIDITALL Oct01 Sep22 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 (clouston edward)TAPARA LUIS 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
2  CLASSIC FILM Aug07 Sep03 Aug27 Aug09 May05 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 10.00    
3  SCORSESE Sep22 Aug20 Jul24 Jul10 Jun17 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 123 2.00    
4  ALMASHRIQ Sep30 Sep23 Aug18 Jul27 Mar13 (cordero-lope)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  DUEL FUEL Sep30 Sep18 Sep08 Aug20 Jul31 (lopez-olm)HERNANDEZ H 123 6.00    
6  INDOCTRINATE Sep30 Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 Jul15 (viands gr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 6.00 8% 12.10    
 
MNR-6   10/16/2024 1320ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSBIN Sep25 Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 (maddox mark)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SKYLAS GOLD Sep24 Sep11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 127 6.00    
3  JOSHY JAK Sep23 Aug11 Jul03 Jun09 May12 (poole jam)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 1.80 65% 0.50    
4  CASH CUSTOMER Oct07 Aug26 Aug11 Jul24 Jul14 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 2.50 9% 9.90    
5  SOMERSET BAY Sep29 Sep16 Sep03 Aug04 Jul14 (stanoszek sara)YARANGA Y 123 30.00    
6  INSPIRING JUSTICE Sep24 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 (fairma)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 ★    
7  KRUSIN ROCKET Sep21 Sep11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 (meeks karl)GONZALEZ KEVIN 125 4.50    
 
MNR-7   10/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR TITO'S Oct03 Sep17 Sep02 Aug14 Jul23 (allen lisa)RAMGEET R 120 4.50    
2  TAP EM Sep25 Sep16 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 (inirio car)CASTELLANO JESUS 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
3  SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR Sep09 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jun26 (kintz matth)CEDILLO MAURO 120 6.00    
4  DON'T CROSS JACK Sep29 Aug11 Jul24 Jun18 May27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  DISCRETIONARY DAY Sep29 Sep11 Sep01 Aug04 Jul29 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGO Aug27 Jul22 Jul02 Jun04   (reed r)WHITACRE B 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOOEY STRONG Sep18 Aug21 Aug06     (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 121 10.00    
 
MNR-8   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROTHER SKYE Sep30 Sep17 Sep01 Aug25 Jul14 (langley c)WHITACRE B 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
2  RED GUN Sep15 Aug21 Aug13 Jul24 Jul01 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.50    
SCR  ESTILO VARONIL Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 Jul23 Jul08 (boyd l)VEGA JOSE 120 20.00    
4  QUICK ENTRY Sep23 Sep01 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 5.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  PROFESSIONAL Oct06 Sep23 Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 (spiess shan)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ACT OF VALOR Oct06 Sep23 Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 (murtough )HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
7  BEASTFROMTHEEAST Aug18 Oct25 Sep27 Sep05 Aug08 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 20.00    
8  SILENT TIGER Jun26 Jun04 May21 May06 Mar06 (fairma)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  CUMBER Sep23 Sep02 Aug05 Jun22 Jun08 (urieta joha)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
10  CATES SWOOSH Oct06 Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  ALFIE SOLOMONS Oct07 Sep23 Aug25 Jul21 Jun17 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 5.00    
SCR  MON CAMO Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 123 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.