Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/4)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/4)-(5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/4)-(5/3/6)-(2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/4/1)-(7/1/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(7/1/5/4)-(1/4/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4)-(7/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/5/4)-(1/4/3/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5/4)-(1/4/3/6)-(3/2/5/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6/2)-(1/4/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/3/6)-(3/2/5/4/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(3/2/5/4/8)-(12/1/11/8/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
PID-7   WIN (3/2/5/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/4/8)-(3/2/5/8/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/4/8)-(3/2/5/8/7)-(3/2/5/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/5/4/8)-(12/1/11/8/2) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
PID-8   WIN (12/1/11/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/1/11/8/2)-(12/11/8/2/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (12/1/11/8/2)-(12/11/8/2/9)-(12/11/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEROKEE CHATTER Sep24 Aug27 Aug21 Aug14 Jul22 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
2  LA PANDA Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul27 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  ANIPPE Sep02 Aug27 Aug07 Jun25 May28 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  BOURBON BLAST Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul16 (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.00    
SCR  VACCINA Oct02 Sep16 Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
6  ANADOR (FR) Sep17 Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
 
PID-2   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOP THERE IT IS Sep16 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 6.00    
2  WILD LOOKER Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug13 Jul22 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
3  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Oct02 Sep16 Aug28 Jul30 Jul10 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  EMERALD CITADELLE Sep24 Aug21 Aug12 Jul04 Jun19 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRAIGHT MADNESS Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 (wilson ariane)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
6  ULTIMATE BARONESS Sep24 Sep16 Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 (morrell)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
7  TUDOR PEAK Sep26 Aug27 Aug14 Aug06 Jun25 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.00    
 
PID-3   10/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLATILITY Sep05 Aug19 Aug07 Jun18 May27 (lawrence l)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50    
2  OMIKAMI Sep30 Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul15 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
3  LOUISE BROOKS Sep23 Aug24 Aug17 Aug08 Jul11 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
4  A CASE OF YOU (IRE) Sep09 Jul26 Jun18 Jun08 Oct10 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 122 2.00    
5  REIGERT GIRLS Sep23 Sep03 Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 1.80 55% 0.80    
6  ZORA Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-4   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMORTALLOVE Jul31 Jul08 Jun17 Mar31 Feb17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  FLEUR DELACOUR Sep23 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
3  LIFE ADVICE Sep16 Aug28 Jun24 Jun06 May14 (sharp jo)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50    
4  SICKLE DANCE Sep19 Jun18 Dec21 Nov24 Sep02 (danner k)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
5  INTO STARS Sep16 Aug07 Jul16 Jan26 Dec16 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
6  DWELLER Sep23 Aug29 Aug01 Jul10 Jun11 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   10/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAEL Sep24 Sep09 Aug21 Aug07 Jul23 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  LEGIO Sep24 Sep04 Aug20 Aug14 Jul30 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00    
SCR  PORSUPUESTO Aug30 Aug24 Jul23 Jul09 Jul01 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
4  LITTLE BIG Sep24 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MEROKEE Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 Jul27 Jul07 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
6  ELECTROSTATIC Sep24 Aug19 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50    
7  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Sep20 Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
8  BARFLY Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 Jun12 May22 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00    
 
PID-6   10/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMBAT HOOFS Sep24 Aug22 Jul31 Jun27 May30 (girten t)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
2  ISA LEI Sep21 Sep11 Aug29 Jul17 Jun09 (estvanko richard)MARTINEZ W 119 8.00 ★    
3  VERBAL GEYSER (FR) Sep30 Sep09 Jul23 Jul10 Feb25 (potts ro)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  GOOGLY EYES Sep09 Aug26 Jul31 Jun19 May27 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
5  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Sep24 Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 Apr08 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
6  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul08 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BETTER HALF Sep11 Aug22 Jul27 Jul12 Jun07 (hamm timothy)BAYS BROOKE 115 20.00    
8  AZTEC PRINCESS Sep09 Jul29 Apr07 Feb25 Oct24 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
9  PATH TO VICTORY Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 Jun04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   10/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAP EM Sep25 Sep16 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 5.00    
2  NINJA STAR Sep20 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Apr12 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 4.00 24% 3.30    
3  SHY DA RUNNER Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  TAP THE SKY Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 (connelly)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 6% 17.10    
5  IRONSIDES Sep05 Jul20 Jun13 Apr25 Mar23 (oliver victoria)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 8% 11.10    
6  MARINARA SAUCED Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul31 (antus lawrence)SPIETH S 124 10.00    
7  HUNTIN' THE RUT Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
8  TEMPUS Sep20 Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BERNIN TUNE Sep01 Jul31 Aug27     (morey wi)GALLARDO A 119 10.00    
 
PID-8   10/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCK BULLET Sep20 Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 May27 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
2  CHAPS KNIGHT Sep30 May28 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAGNUS EFFECT Sep03 Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 Jul02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 30.00    
4  OVERTIME CHARLIE Sep26 Aug21 Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 (markgra)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 30.00    
SCR  GRUIT Sep24 Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 (mckinley mary )ALLEN D 124 30.00    
SCR  HOPPERTULLIO Sep25 Sep09 Jul11 Jun26 Jun11 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 20.00    
7  SOUTH OF BIRMINHAM Sep16 Aug22 May31     (delong ben)BAYS BROOKE 114 12.00    
8  THIRD CITY Sep24 Sep03 Jul31 Jul25 Jun11 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  THAT'S JUST GREAT Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 Jul29 Jul15 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 12.00 ★    
10  WARRIOR ON TAP Sep25 Sep02 Jul31 Jul11   (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 5.00    
11  BROMISTA Sep24 Sep03 Aug26 Aug14 Jun29 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 3.50 12% 7.30    
12  HURRICANE DUDE Sep11 Aug05 Jul01     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
13  MY DUDE BILLY Sep11 Aug26       (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.