Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (8/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/1)-(1/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/1)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-2   WIN (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/6)-(1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/6)-(1/8/2)-(5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(5/6/1)-(6/9/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(6/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(6/9/7)-(8/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-5   WIN (6/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/7)-(6/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/9/7)-(6/9/7)-(6/9/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/9/7)-(8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/7)-(8/2/4)-(5/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-6   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4)-(5/3/7)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-7   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE JOHNNY Sep13 Jun12       (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I WANNA ROCK Sep13 Aug01 Jul07 Jun22 Jun07 (cronk samue)ROBLES O 119 12.00    
BOURBON EXPRESS Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 May22 Apr12 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
SLEIPNIR Sep08 Aug10 May18 Mar03 Feb10 (avila car)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.50    
DOWNPATRICK Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jun20 Jun12 (strauss bev)ASTUDILLO FELIX 114 15.00    
OUTWORK U Aug15         (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
GOLDEN AL Sep18 Aug31 Aug15 Jul17 Jun29 (bailon nesvi)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 8.00    
JEDI'S WAY Sep13         (de)LUNA PAUL 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
JOEL'S BOY Sep08 Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 Jul21 (sepulveda)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
 
DEL-2   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELOFCANTERBURY Aug30 Jul12 Jun08 May12 Apr13 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
BEACHGRASS Sep20 Sep07 Aug21 Jul27 Jun29 (nazario pedro)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
GO MARGIE GO Aug22 Jul27 Jun13 Apr20 Mar13 (nazario p)HERNANDEZ A 117 10.00    
ABBY THE BULL DAWG Aug09 Jul20 Jun22 May26 May03 (ward dan)CENTENO E 120 4.00 13% 6.90    
SULLIVAN STREET Aug17 Jul12 Jun13 Jan14 Dec22 (eppler mary)ROBLES O 115 8.00    
DIVINE ROMANCE Sep15 Aug14 Jul24 Jul02 Jun09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Jul27 Jul11 Jun12 May15 May01 (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 120 20.00    
SCR  HONOR THE TRUTH Sep02 Jul24 Jun16 May12 Apr05 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 2.00    
HELEONORTIZ Aug28 Aug08 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (nicholson ju)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 15.00    
 
DEL-3   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GURT'S WARRIOR Sep07 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 122 5.00 34% 1.90    
DUDLEY DICKERSON Sep09 Aug21 Jul27 Jul09 Jun26 (perez rup)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  CONNECTING Sep11 Aug24 Aug02 Jul23 Jul01 (castillo michel)MENA E 122 20.00    
CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Sep17 Aug23 Jul26 Jun28 May21 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50    
SAL N LOUIE Sep10 Jul03 Jun18 May29 May07 (wyner ha)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 6.00    
SCR  KAZ SWEET HEIST Jul06 Jun09 May19 Mar15 Feb29 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  DAREDAVITE Sep14 Aug28 Jul05 Jun14 Oct19 (albert l)HIRALDO JOHN 118 15.00    
SPINNING MUSICIAN Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 17% 4.90    
PRINS FIRE Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 (serey mario)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 10.00    
SCR  DESANTIS Sep18 Sep07 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 (simone mich)ROBLES O 115 4.50    
 
DEL-4   09/28/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD SPUN FANTASY Sep07 Aug31 Aug11 Jul26 Jul04 (serey mario )BATISTA A 120 12.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  HUSBAND MATERIAL Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  K'S PICK Sep14 Aug24 Jun22 Apr21 Mar06 (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 120 5.00    
SCR  GETTIN'DOWNONIT Aug29 Jul20 Jun13 May27 Nov04 (beecher m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00    
SAM STORMY Sep11 Aug29 Jul27 Jul07 Jun08 (salinas g)VARGAS A 120 12.00 28% 2.60    
RUM TUM TUGGER Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Jun20 Jun08 (katz gary)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 12.00 18% 4.50    
FERRARI KID Sep03 Jun26 Jun16 May21 May06 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
SCR  GO TAKE CHARGE Sep14 Aug24 Aug16 Jul27 Jul11 (neilson kathy)MENA E 120 15.00    
SCR  ROLLERCOASTER MAN Sep14 Jun15 May30 Apr27 Apr07 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00    
SCR  BATTUTA D'ORO Aug17 Jul27 Jun26 Mar16 Feb16 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 12.00    
11  FINGER ROLL Sep14 Jun14 May18 Mar06 Jan19 (deiter kell)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 15.00    
SCR  LAVINIA SPIRIT Aug21 Aug14 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 114 8.00    
SCR  HE'S FANCY FREE Aug28 Aug16 Jul19 Jul10 Jun25 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
SCR  STORM CAT EYES Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 Jul07 Jun22 (compton gre)ROBLES O 112 20.00    
 
DEL-5   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YELENA BELOVA         (penaloza miguel)MENA E 119 10.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of ANGEL WAVE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SPARKLING RUBY Sep14         (sacco gre)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of RUNNIN RUBY by TAPIT)
SCR  SUPER COSTLY Sep11         (robertson m)ROBLES O 114 5.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SUPERIOR STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CAROUSEL QUEEN Sep21         (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 8.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of LA PADRINA by EL PADRINO)
SCR  POWER DRIVER         (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 119 6.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of DRIVING MRS B by FACTUM)
QUEEN'S WREATH Sep13         (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 66% 0.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of IANTHE by SKY MESA)
SUITEFOURFOURTHREE         (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of WARRANTY by ARTIE SCHILLER)
QUIVIRA CRANE         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 119 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
LUCKY FLAY Jul20         (smith robert)BATISTA A 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of FLAY MIGNON by YESBYJIMMINY)
 
DEL-6   09/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAND SWEETHEART Aug14 Jun19 May03 Mar30 Mar02 (cudworth pau)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
SISTER SUPREAM Sep04 Jul27 Jul02 Jun11 May23 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  ANAITA Sep14 Aug30 Aug14 Jul20 Jul12 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 3.00    
BELLA PRIMA Sep20 Aug18 Jul12 May04 Mar14 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 6.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  SHORTY MAC Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 Jul12 (rogers r)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 10.00    
SCR  FLIRTINI Aug20 Jul31 May23 May03 Apr12 (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 121 12.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE LIMIT Aug14 Jul20 Jun27 Jun02 Nov04 (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 5.00    
SPEIGHTFUL SIS Aug14 Jul14 Jun27 Jun08 May03 (richards )HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  AWESOMENEWYEAR Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 Jul04 Jun12 (collazo )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 15.00    
10  DELTA CHARM Sep05 Jun27 Jun07 Mar28 Feb24 (smith g)CENTENO E 121 10.00    
 
DEL-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTT TWENTYTWO Aug28         (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 116 6.00    
TWENTY ONE KID Sep03 Aug20       (wyner ha)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 10.00    
GREAT QUALITY Jun15         (capuano gar)ROBLES O 113 3.00 34% 1.90    
WILLIAMS EMPIRE Sep01 Aug15 Jul06     (morey willia)BATISTA A 118 4.00    
SACRED THUNDER Sep07 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03   (capuano g)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
SUPREME MIND Sep01 Jul28       (siculietano d)IORIO MELISSA 120 12.00    
CHIPOTLE (GB) Aug31 Aug10       (gorham michael )MENA E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-8   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASPIRING COMEDIAN Sep14 Aug29 Jul20 Jul04 Jun12 (gerlach freya)LUNDIE KEVIN 118 5.00    
SAN ANDRES Sep14 Aug17 Jul27 Apr20 Mar30 (perkinson c)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 15.00 13% 6.90    
MAT MATTERS Aug31 Aug18 Jul24 Jul12 Jun18 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 10.00 20% 4.00    
AMANI'S TIGER Sep13 Aug18 Jul20 Jun11 May30 (ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
BALI ROLLING TIDE Sep14 Aug13 Jul25 Jun26 Jun14 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 10.00    
SCR  INTEGRATED Sep09 Jun14 May22 Feb29   (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
TIO TONY Sep09 Aug19 Jul27 Jun20 Jun07 (preciado)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 8.00    
DARVESH Sep12 Aug21 Jul07 Jun20 Jun01 (compton g)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.