Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/2/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/2/7/6)-(6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6)-(6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6)-(6/1/8)-(4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8)-(4/1/7)-(3/8/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(3/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(3/8/2)-(6/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2)-(6/1/5)-(9/2/11/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(9/2/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(9/2/11/5)-(7/5/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (9/2/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/11/5)-(9/2/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/11/5)-(9/2/11/5)-(9/2/11/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/11/5)-(7/5/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/11/5)-(7/5/8/10)-(2/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/5/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/10)-(7/5/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/10)-(7/5/8/10)-(7/5/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/10)-(2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACEDAY ATTIRE Aug25 Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 Jun14 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
2  FIRST KITTEN Aug25 Jul28 Jun29 Jun18 Apr27 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 2.50    
3  SAMARITA Aug25 Jul28 Jun21 Jun01 May04 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 125 1.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  MY LADY SLEW Aug22 Aug01 Jun23 May11 Apr07 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 8.00    
5  TRIPLE SCOUT Aug25 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 May20 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 125 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
HAW-2   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAFTSMAN Aug25 Jun22 Aug20     (perez )ORTEGA JOSEPH 111 15.00    
2  ULTIMATE FIGHTER Sep01 Oct31 Sep30 Sep05 Aug20 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 8% 11.00    
3  MALIBU BRAD Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
4  CAPTAIN'S FLAG Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul31 Jul06 (meraz antonio)EMIGH A 121 3.50    
5  GRAY MIKE Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 May25 (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 8.00    
6  KEYSER Sep01 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00 5% 17.80    
7  CUCUY Aug25 Jul06 May26 Apr28   (winebaugh cher)COLON H 121 6.00 6% 16.50    
 
HAW-3   09/22/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLANE Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul07 Jun08 (campbell joel)FELIX E 121 4.50 26% 2.80    
2  I O FEDRO Sep05 Aug15 Aug08     (block chris)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
3  RICKY'S BEST Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 Jun29 Dec30 (mitchell antho)COLON H 124 10.00    
SCR  SHARP STRIKE Sep05 Aug08 Jun08 Apr13 Mar07 (roussel j)COHEN DAVID 121 2.00    
5  WOLF HUNTER Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00    
6  ALL ABOUT TONITE Aug15 Jul25 Jul18 Jun16 Jun02 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  RAYFIELD Aug25 Aug15 Jun08     (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 20.00    
8  MY BROTHER MIKE Jul14 Jul07 May25 May04 Apr27 (simonovich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHWOOD Aug31 Jul25 Jun02 May17 Apr20 (tracy tan)ULLOA JOAN 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
2  ACCELERATING BABE Sep01 Jun16 Jun01 Apr28 Apr07 (candelas blanca)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50    
3  SEQUAYA Sep01 Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 Jun08 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
4  DIAMONDS JOY Aug29 Aug11 Jul18 Jul06 Jun09 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  GREEN GRACE Sep07 Aug20 Aug03 Jul23 Jun29 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
6  FOREVER BLESSED Sep05 May29 May07 Oct18 Oct02 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
7  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Sep01 Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 Jun09 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   09/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Jul11 Jun29 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
2  BALADINE Sep01 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jun22 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 9% 10.60    
3  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Sep01 Aug08 May18 Aug26 Jul01 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  TABLE MONEY Sep12 Jun08 May12 Apr19 Mar24 (haran john)FELIX E 122 6.00    
SCR  DINOS DIXIE Sep05 Aug18 Jul28 Dec03 Nov23 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
6  YO DAWG Aug29 Aug03 Jul07 Jun06 May26 (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 122 3.50    
SCR  HURTS SO BAD Aug29 Aug04 Jul21 Jun22 Jun02 (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
8  CALL ME Q Aug24 Aug05 Jun03 May13 Apr14 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
9  LUCKY SHOT Jul14 Jun15 May25 Apr27 Mar30 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
 
HAW-6   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO STORMIN GIRL Sep05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May19 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  QUEENIES WAY May03 Mar22 Oct22 Jul28 May29 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
3  MAIDEN ROCK Sep12 Aug11 Jul25 Jun30 Jun16 (candelas blanca)COHEN DAVID 122 10.00    
4  LUCY JANE Sep12 Aug15 Jun02 Apr08 Nov11 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 3.00 ★    
5  LADY ATLANTIC Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 May19 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THINK BLUE Sep05 Jul06 May25 May11 Apr14 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
7  RUNNERS HEAT Sep05 Aug22 Jun30 May25 May12 (wilson l)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
 
HAW-7   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) Sep05 Apr03 Mar11 Feb19 Dec30 (cook brian)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 30.00    
2  CAT ATTACK Aug22 Jul14 Jun15 Apr14 Dec23 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  WANDA STRONG Aug18 Aug08 Jun16 Jun09 Aug24 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
SCR  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 Sep10 Aug10 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50    
5  GUANA CAY Sep05 Jul14 Jun09 Apr30 Sep03 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS RIVER RAT Aug22 Aug08 Jul06 Jun01 May05 (goldfine a)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
SCR  FACCIA BELLA Aug22 Jul28 Jul06 Jun09 May04 (block chris)COLON H 122 2.50    
8  WILD BOUT HILARY Aug22 Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 May11 (tracy tanner)EMIGH A 119 10.00    
9  JOURNEYIST Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 May19 Aug31 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 49% 1.00    
10  CALISUE Aug18 Jul11 Jun16 May25 May05 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 6.00    
11  BABY GUNDIN Sep05 Jul14 May04 Apr14 Mar13 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
 
HAW-8   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER THE MAINE Sep15 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul07 (castro isi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 30.00    
2  RUSSIAN TO WIN Sep15 Aug29 Jun22 Jun07 May19 (villa francisco)FELIX E 124 6.00    
3  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Aug15 Aug04 Jun29 Jun23 Jun09 (cook brian)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 5.00    
SCR  PERFECT WAGER Sep01 Aug22 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
5  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Aug25 Jul28 Jun22 May25 May12 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CAN MAN DO Aug29 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
7  CHARLIE LIGHTNING Aug22 Aug04 Jun23 Jun01 May11 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
8  ALYANAABI Aug29 Aug08 Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  FASTNFURIOUS Sep07 Aug13 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
10  RISKY BOY Aug22 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 Jun15 (banks chris)GILES EMMANUEL 122 15.00 6% 16.90    
 
HAW-9   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ABOUT ME Aug18 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May01 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 8.00 27% 2.70    
2  TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL Aug04 Jul25 Jun25 May23 Apr25 (martinez ralph )COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  KINGSBURY DREAM Aug25 Aug04 Jun16 Aug02 Jun21 (childers vance)EMIGH A 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME May19 Apr26 Apr07 Feb22 Jan27 (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 5.00    
SCR  TAPERINEA Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun25 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
6  ROMANTIC ATTACK Aug25 Aug04 May12 Aug23 Jul30 (childers v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
7  LOTTA ROSES Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Jun02 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
8  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Aug04 Jul11 May19 Apr07 Feb09 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  APRIL'S GEM Aug25 Aug04 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 (rosas rigo)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00    
10  SHE BE SHEEHAN Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 May26 May03 (divito jam)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.